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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 13, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Hornets22%107104
7Heat78%119115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Richards
C · 6'11" 245 · 26.0
39.9
24.1
6
55%
10
0
0
0
4
2
1
9
0-1
0%
3-5
3-5
60%
62%
0-0
-
Brandon Miller
F · 6'9" 200 · 21.1
38.6
31.2
18
56%
2
3
2
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
4-10
40%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.7
37.3
37.6
28
91%
3
7
4
1
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
49%
5-6
83%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 33.7
34.7
31.9
20
70%
5
7
0
1
0
4
1
4
5-5
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
51%
1-2
50%
Miles Bridges
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
34.4
34.9
19
50%
5
4
3
1
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
8-11
5-9
73%
56%
1-8
13%
Bryce McGowens
G · 6'6" 175 · 21.1
18.3
17.1
7
72%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 35.4
17.1
14.1
6
60%
2
4
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-1
0%
JT Thor
F · 6'9" 203 · 21.3
16.1
7.6
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-2
0%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 25.3
3.7
29.0
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
53%
0-0
-
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.4
6.0
0
0-1
42%
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 22.5
2.9
0
0-1
44%
James Bouknight
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.2
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Nick Smith Jr.
G · 6'5" 185 · 19.7
Amari Bailey
G · 6'5" 185 · 19.8
Leaky Black
F · 6'9" 209 · 24.5
Mark Williams
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.0
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 22.3
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.6
40.4
30.1
23
93%
2
3
2
1
0
4
0
2
3-3
100%
1-2
3-4
50%
60%
6-9
67%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.2
36.3
34.1
9
35%
6
4
0
1
1
4
3
3
0-0
-
3-10
5-8
30%
57%
1-3
33%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 34.2
29.2
34.2
15
68%
6
10
1
2
0
4
2
4
7-7
100%
4-8
7-12
50%
55%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 37.7
24.0
31.4
17
134%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
53%
4-4
100%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.4
12.3
22.0
6
60%
4
1
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-4
60%
60%
0-0
-
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
33.2
27.5
17
52%
6
8
1
1
0
2
2
4
1-1
100%
5-14
4-7
36%
60%
2-2
100%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 24.7
28.9
3.6
14
54%
3
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-6
0-1
50%
61%
2-6
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 35.3
20.0
20.8
3
15%
9
1
2
0
1
2
0
9
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
53%
0-6
0%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.4
15.7
4.0
11
74%
9
0
0
0
0
1
6
3
1-1
100%
5-7
1-1
71%
65%
0-0
-
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
25.4
1
7-12
57%
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.6
2.7
0
0-0
59%
R.J. Hampton
G · 6'4" 175 · 22.8
0.5
0
0-0
44%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.5
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.0
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.2
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.