Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, December 14, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Timberwolves	48%	112	119	117.8	101	99.3
	13	Mavericks	52%	113	101	101.0	100	101.7

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+16

-15

102

DAL

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.17 58.3%

DAL

1.09 54.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	34.6	9	21%	2	11	2	0	5	2	1	1	3-6	50%	3-16	19%	0-3	0%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	31.1	21	66%	17	2	0	0	3	1	5	12	4-5	80%	7-11	64%	1-3	33%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	29.9	8	57%	12	5	3	1	2	4	2	10	2-6	33%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	29.1	14	70%	2	3	1	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	23.8	11	61%	2	1	0	1	0	3	1	1	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	31.4	27	84%	6	3	1	0	2	2	2	4	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	7-11	64%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	20.4	13	108%	1	1	0	1	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	18.1	6	43%	2	2	2	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	14.6	5	63%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	1.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	1.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	1.8	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	58%	45	30	9	2	15	19	12	33	17-25	68%	30-57	53%	14-31	45%

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8 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	34.6	9	21%	2	11	2	0	5	2	1	1	3-6	50%	3-16	19%	0-3	0%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	31.1	21	66%	17	2	0	0	3	1	5	12	4-5	80%	7-11	64%	1-3	33%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	29.9	8	57%	12	5	3	1	2	4	2	10	2-6	33%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	29.1	14	70%	2	3	1	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	23.8	11	61%	2	1	0	1	0	3	1	1	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	31.4	27	84%	6	3	1	0	2	2	2	4	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	7-11	64%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	20.4	13	108%	1	1	0	1	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	18.1	6	43%	2	2	2	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	14.6	5	63%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	1.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	1.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	1.8	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	58%	45	30	9	2	15	19	12	33	17-25	68%	30-57	53%	14-31	45%

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13 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	39.3	39	67%	6	13	2	0	8	2	1	5	7-7	100%	13-20	65%	2-7	29%
Grant Williams #3 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	36.2	5	23%	3	1	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-7	14%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	31.9	15	75%	6	0	1	2	2	3	3	3	1-2	50%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	30.2	3	19%	4	0	2	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-6	17%
Danté Exum #0 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 28	28.0	14	100%	4	4	0	0	2	2	0	4	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	2-3	67%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	31.9	10	31%	4	0	0	0	2	2	0	4	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	0-7	0%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	13.4	2	100%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 21	12.8	5	63%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	7.1	4	100%	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	4-4	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 21	2.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #20 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	1.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Greg Brown III #13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 22	1.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dexter Dennis #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Contusion
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Sprain
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-COVID Illness
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Dislocation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	54%	34	21	6	4	15	19	4	30	16-18	89%	32-51	63%	7-32	22%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.17 58.3%

DAL

1.09 54.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

59%

DAL

74%

Midrange

MIN

44%

DAL

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

21.0

45%

68%

DAL

10.5

22%

33%

Free Throws

MIN

68%

DAL

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Reid	27	84%	13.5 / 16
K. Towns	21	66%	10.5 / 16
M. Conley	14	70%	7.0 / 10
N. Alexander-Walker	13	108%	6.5 / 6
J. McDaniels	11	61%	5.5 / 9
A. Edwards	9	21%	4.5 / 21
R. Gobert	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Anderson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
T. Brown Jr.	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Minott	3	150%	1.5 / 1
S. Milton	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	39	67%	19.5 / 29
D. Lively	15	75%	7.5 / 10
D. Exum	14	100%	7.0 / 7
T. Hardaway	10	31%	5.0 / 16
G. Williams	5	23%	2.5 / 11
J. Hardy	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Powell	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Jones	3	19%	1.5 / 8
M. Morris	2	100%	1.0 / 1
O. Prosper	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Lawson	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.7 8 117.0	MIN 117.8 +16.8 DAL 101.0
Pace	22 97.9 7 100.6	MIN 99.3 DAL 101.7 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.0 20 14.3	MIN 14.5 DAL 14.2 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.9% 7 56.2%	MIN 58.0% +6.8% DAL 51.2%
TO %	22 13.6% 5 12.0%	MIN 14.7% −0.3% DAL 15.0%
ORB %	22 23.1% 24 22.2%	MIN 28.6% +17.8% DAL 10.8%
FTrt	5 27.0 13 25.1	MIN 28.4 +6.7 DAL 21.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.6% 26 59.6%	MIN 68.2% +14.4% DAL 53.8%
STL %	6 8.0% 27 6.8%	MIN 8.9% +2.9% DAL 6.0%
BLK %	4 11.0% 26 8.7%	MIN 3.9% DAL 7.0% +3.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.7% 8 58.1%	MIN 58.3% +4.0% DAL 54.3%
Rim FG%	15 64.3% 3 68.0%	MIN 59.4% DAL 74.1% +14.7%
Mid FG%	16 42.6% 10 44.7%	MIN 44.0% DAL 50.0% +6.0%
3P %	3 38.7% 13 36.9%	MIN 45.2% +23.3% DAL 21.9%
FT %	18 77.7% 27 75.8%	MIN 68.0% DAL 88.9% +20.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 34.1% 30 29.3%	MIN 36.4% +3.8% DAL 32.5%
Mid Att. %	16 27.5% 13 26.6%	MIN 28.4% −0.5% DAL 28.9%
3P Att. %	17 38.4% 2 44.1%	MIN 35.2% DAL 38.6% +3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	DAL
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	119	101
Rebounds	45	34
Assists	30	21
Steals	9	6
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (2)	15 (1)
Fouls	19	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (4)	30 (2)
Field Goals	44-88	39-83
At-the-Rim FG	19-32	20-27
Midrange FG	11-25	12-24
2-Point FG	30-57	32-51
3-Point FG	14-31	7-32
Free Throws	17-25	16-18
Fast Break Pts	14	14
2nd Chance Pts	14	7
Points in Paint	54	58
Pts off Turnovers	16	15
Bench Points	56	25
Biggest Lead	22	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg