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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 14, 2023
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Thunder51%117123
22Kings49%116128
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 25.4
38.2
31.7
43
62%
6
9
2
2
0
3
2
4
16-18
89%
12-22
8-15
55%
55%
1-5
20%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 24.7
32.0
27.8
17
83%
4
0
2
1
2
1
2
2
4-5
80%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
3-5
60%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 21.6
30.0
26.5
14
54%
11
1
0
1
3
1
2
9
2-2
100%
6-10
4-7
60%
60%
0-2
0%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 21.2
28.8
23.1
18
64%
8
4
3
1
1
4
5
3
0-0
-
6-11
4-8
55%
52%
2-3
67%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 22.7
28.6
27.0
5
17%
4
3
1
1
1
1
2
2
1-1
100%
2-10
5-8
20%
58%
0-4
0%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.1
19.0
23.3
3
50%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
58%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 24.5
15.4
16.6
6
40%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
15.1
9.7
3
50%
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
1-3
33%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.0
10.8
9.4
2
20%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
57%
0-2
0%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 20.6
10.4
15.0
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
2-4
50%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 24.9
7.0
10.0
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
59%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 31.1
4.7
5.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-1
0%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 22.9
11.6
0
1-2
48%
Vasilije Micic
G · 6'4" 188 · 29.9
10.2
0
1-1
51%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.8
3.4
0
0-1
61%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 22.0
Keyontae Johnson
F · 6'6" 230 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 27.6
40.2
30.4
18
60%
16
7
0
1
0
2
2
14
1-2
50%
7-12
6-10
58%
60%
1-2
50%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.0
34.2
30.1
41
69%
3
7
2
1
0
5
0
3
8-11
73%
9-14
6-11
64%
55%
5-11
45%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.3
31.3
30.5
15
65%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
7-8
88%
4-6
3-6
67%
55%
0-2
0%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 31.5
20.9
24.7
5
36%
3
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
55%
1-4
25%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 25.3
20.2
18.2
4
25%
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
56%
0-3
0%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.9
32.8
24.8
18
60%
1
9
0
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
52%
4-8
50%
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 23.9
27.6
12.8
17
106%
6
3
1
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
56%
5-7
71%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 28.1
18.8
19.7
5
50%
7
1
0
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
57%
1-4
25%
Sasha Vezenkov
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
10.0
15.4
3
38%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
1-4
25%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 35.9
3.9
6.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
62%
0-0
-
Kessler Edwards
F · 6'7" 203 · 23.3
0.1
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 25.3
8.6
0
1-1
53%
Chris Duarte
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.5
7.6
0
0-1
48%
Jordan Ford
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.6
5.1
0
0-1
49%
Colby Jones
G · 6'6" 207 · 21.5
2.0
0
0-1
53%
Jalen Slawson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.