Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 15, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Hawks	51%	119	125	123.8	101	89.5
	17	Raptors	49%	118	104	104.0	100	114.7

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+19

-12

108

TOR

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.16 57.9%

TOR

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	37.4	10	42%	10	4	0	0	1	3	3	7	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-8	25%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	36.0	38	63%	5	11	1	0	8	2	1	4	1-2	50%	8-14	57%	7-15	47%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	34.7	18	75%	15	0	0	3	1	2	6	9	0-0	-	9-12	75%	0-0	-
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	33.4	14	100%	11	0	0	1	1	3	4	7	1-1	100%	5-5	100%	1-2	50%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	33.3	17	47%	7	9	1	0	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	7-12	58%	1-6	17%

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	32.9	20	59%	3	6	0	0	0	2	0	3	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	3-7	43%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	18.3	6	150%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	10.8	0	0%	3	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	1.1	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Norris #0 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Back; Stress Fracture
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Fracture
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Distal Radius; Fracture
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	58%	55	34	4	4	12	19	16	39	5-6	83%	36-60	60%	16-41	39%

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12 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	37.4	10	42%	10	4	0	0	1	3	3	7	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-8	25%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	36.0	38	63%	5	11	1	0	8	2	1	4	1-2	50%	8-14	57%	7-15	47%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	34.7	18	75%	15	0	0	3	1	2	6	9	0-0	-	9-12	75%	0-0	-
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	33.4	14	100%	11	0	0	1	1	3	4	7	1-1	100%	5-5	100%	1-2	50%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	33.3	17	47%	7	9	1	0	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	7-12	58%	1-6	17%

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	32.9	20	59%	3	6	0	0	0	2	0	3	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	3-7	43%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	18.3	6	150%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	10.8	0	0%	3	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	1.1	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Norris #0 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Back; Stress Fracture
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Fracture
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Distal Radius; Fracture
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	58%	55	34	4	4	12	19	16	39	5-6	83%	36-60	60%	16-41	39%

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17 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 22	34.3	23	64%	4	8	1	2	3	2	1	3	4-8	50%	8-10	80%	1-5	20%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	34.1	15	58%	5	4	2	0	1	1	0	5	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	2-3	67%
OG Anunoby #3 · SG · 6'7" 240 · 26	32.6	7	44%	2	4	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 30	31.2	6	43%	2	4	2	0	1	5	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	25.3	15	94%	8	0	2	1	3	4	2	6	1-2	50%	7-7	100%	0-0	-

Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	20.5	8	50%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 26	19.0	11	92%	4	1	0	1	2	4	0	4	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 24	17.3	9	56%	2	5	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	14.7	7	58%	3	0	1	2	1	1	0	3	2-5	40%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	2.7	3	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	2.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. #32 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Markquis Nowell #24 · SG · 5'8" 160 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jontay Porter #11 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Respiratory issue
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	58%	32	30	8	6	14	19	3	29	14-25	56%	30-46	65%	10-31	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.16 57.9%

TOR

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

62%

TOR

76%

Midrange

ATL

59%

TOR

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

24.0

39%

59%

TOR

15.0

32%

48%

Free Throws

ATL

83%

TOR

56%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	38	63%	19.0 / 30
B. Bogdanović	20	59%	10.0 / 17
C. Capela	18	75%	9.0 / 12
D. Murray	17	47%	8.5 / 18
O. Okongwu	14	100%	7.0 / 7
S. Bey	10	42%	5.0 / 12
G. Mathews	6	150%	3.0 / 2
S. Lundy	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Forrest	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Barnes	23	64%	11.5 / 18
P. Siakam	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Poeltl	15	94%	7.5 / 8
M. Flynn	11	92%	5.5 / 6
P. Achiuwa	9	56%	4.5 / 8
G. Trent	8	50%	4.0 / 8
O. Anunoby	7	44%	3.5 / 8
C. Boucher	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Schröder	6	43%	3.0 / 7
G. Dick	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. McDaniels	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 24 111.9	ATL 123.8 +19.8 TOR 104.0
Pace	6 100.9 12 99.9	ATL 89.5 TOR 114.7 +25.2
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 28 13.9	ATL 16.1 TOR 12.6 −3.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 21 53.5%	ATL 59.4% +1.0% TOR 58.4%
TO %	13 12.5% 21 13.4%	ATL 11.9% −1.8% TOR 13.7%
ORB %	5 27.1% 17 24.2%	ATL 35.6% +28.5% TOR 7.1%
FTrt	12 25.1 16 24.1	ATL 5.9 TOR 32.5 +26.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 2 67.4%	ATL 65.4% TOR 75.0% +9.6%
STL %	18 7.4% 13 7.7%	ATL 4.0% TOR 8.0% +4.0%
BLK %	21 9.0% 15 9.5%	ATL 8.7% TOR 10.0% +1.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 22 55.5%	ATL 57.9% TOR 58.4% +0.5%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 13 64.8%	ATL 61.5% TOR 76.2% +14.7%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 22 40.8%	ATL 58.8% +2.8% TOR 56.0%
3P %	17 36.4% 27 34.7%	ATL 39.0% +6.7% TOR 32.3%
FT %	8 79.7% 29 75.6%	ATL 83.3% +27.3% TOR 56.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 5 35.6%	ATL 25.7% TOR 27.3% +1.5%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 17 27.5%	ATL 33.7% TOR 32.5% −1.2%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 26 36.9%	ATL 40.6% +0.3% TOR 40.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	TOR
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	27.1	20.9
Points	125	104
Rebounds	55	32
Assists	34	30
Steals	4	8
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (2)	14 (0)
Fouls	19	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (3)	3 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (2)	29 (2)
Field Goals	52-101	40-77
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	16-21
Midrange FG	20-34	14-25
2-Point FG	36-60	30-46
3-Point FG	16-41	10-31
Free Throws	5-6	14-25
Fast Break Pts	10	16
2nd Chance Pts	24	3
Points in Paint	64	52
Pts off Turnovers	13	19
Bench Points	28	38
Biggest Lead	24	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg