Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 15, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Lakers	66%	116	115	115.0	100	100.9
	27	Spurs	34%	109	129	130.3	99	97.7

Scoring Opportunities

LAL

+11

-6

105

SAS

+13

-8

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.10 54.8%

SAS

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 30	36.0	12	60%	3	1	1	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 39	35.9	23	52%	7	14	2	0	2	1	2	5	7-10	70%	5-11	45%	2-6	33%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 26	34.1	22	58%	7	4	0	0	2	0	2	5	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	4-10	40%
Max Christie #10 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 21	23.3	2	17%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 24	19.8	8	80%	7	0	1	1	0	5	3	4	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	34.1	20	59%	5	4	0	1	0	1	0	5	4-5	80%	8-10	80%	0-5	0%
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28	30.4	17	61%	8	3	1	2	0	1	2	6	3-8	38%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25	12.9	0	0%	5	1	0	0	0	4	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
D'Moi Hodge #55 · SG · 6'4" 188 · 25	8.1	5	83%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24	5.5	6	100%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Not Available; Migraine
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; /Hip Spasm
Alex Fudge #17 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 21	INACTIVE
Maxwell Lewis #21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasm
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	55%	43	32	5	5	6	15	9	34	18-28	64%	32-53	60%	11-36	31%

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16 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 30	36.0	12	60%	3	1	1	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 39	35.9	23	52%	7	14	2	0	2	1	2	5	7-10	70%	5-11	45%	2-6	33%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 26	34.1	22	58%	7	4	0	0	2	0	2	5	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	4-10	40%
Max Christie #10 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 21	23.3	2	17%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 24	19.8	8	80%	7	0	1	1	0	5	3	4	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	34.1	20	59%	5	4	0	1	0	1	0	5	4-5	80%	8-10	80%	0-5	0%
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28	30.4	17	61%	8	3	1	2	0	1	2	6	3-8	38%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25	12.9	0	0%	5	1	0	0	0	4	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
D'Moi Hodge #55 · SG · 6'4" 188 · 25	8.1	5	83%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24	5.5	6	100%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Not Available; Migraine
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; /Hip Spasm
Alex Fudge #17 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 21	INACTIVE
Maxwell Lewis #21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasm
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	55%	43	32	5	5	6	15	9	34	18-28	64%	32-53	60%	11-36	31%

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27 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 23	35.2	36	82%	6	3	1	1	1	1	0	6	7-7	100%	7-9	78%	5-10	50%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	32.6	12	75%	4	8	1	1	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	30.8	13	46%	15	5	2	2	2	3	3	12	2-3	67%	4-11	36%	1-2	50%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 24	30.7	17	53%	2	6	0	0	2	1	1	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	3-8	38%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 21	26.9	11	55%	8	2	1	1	1	3	1	7	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	0-3	0%

Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	24.9	15	68%	2	6	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	18.8	16	67%	6	1	0	0	1	4	4	2	5-6	83%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	17.4	6	75%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	9.7	0	0%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	9.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	1.8	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	1.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| “”; Illness
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	INACTIVE
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	INACTIVE
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bediako #27 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	62%	45	35	5	5	8	19	9	36	17-19	89%	29-53	55%	18-42	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.10 54.8%

SAS

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

77%

SAS

65%

Midrange

LAL

28%

SAS

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

16.5

31%

46%

SAS

27.0

43%

64%

Free Throws

LAL

64%

SAS

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	23	52%	11.5 / 22
A. Reaves	22	58%	11.0 / 19
R. Hachimura	20	59%	10.0 / 17
C. Wood	17	61%	8.5 / 14
T. Prince	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Hayes	8	80%	4.0 / 5
C. Castleton	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Hodge	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. Christie	2	17%	1.0 / 6
J. Vanderbilt	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	36	82%	18.0 / 22
K. Johnson	17	53%	8.5 / 16
Z. Collins	16	67%	8.0 / 12
C. Osman	15	68%	7.5 / 11
V. Wembanyama	13	46%	6.5 / 14
M. Branham	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Sochan	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. McDermott	6	75%	3.0 / 4
S. Mamukelashvili	3	150%	1.5 / 1
D. Graham	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Champagnie	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 115.4 26 109.4	LAL 115.0 SAS 130.3 +15.3
Pace	4 101.4 3 101.7	LAL 100.9 +3.2 SAS 97.7
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.2 25 14.1	LAL 14.3 −0.5 SAS 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.6% 23 53.2%	LAL 54.5% SAS 58.9% +4.4%
TO %	18 13.1% 26 14.3%	LAL 5.6% −2.4% SAS 8.0%
ORB %	30 19.9% 23 22.9%	LAL 20.0% SAS 20.9% +0.9%
FTrt	2 27.6 28 22.0	LAL 31.5 +11.5 SAS 20.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 65.4% 1 71.2%	LAL 74.4% SAS 74.5% +0.1%
STL %	21 7.2% 23 6.9%	LAL 5.0% SAS 5.1% +0.1%
BLK %	19 9.1% 10 9.7%	LAL 9.4% SAS 9.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.8% 25 55.1%	LAL 54.8% SAS 62.0% +7.2%
Rim FG%	1 68.9% 16 64.1%	LAL 77.1% +11.7% SAS 65.4%
Mid FG%	25 40.4% 24 40.5%	LAL 27.8% SAS 44.4% +16.6%
3P %	8 37.7% 28 34.7%	LAL 30.6% SAS 42.9% +12.3%
FT %	15 78.2% 14 78.2%	LAL 64.3% SAS 89.5% +25.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 36.6% 13 34.2%	LAL 39.3% +12.0% SAS 27.4%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 9 25.7%	LAL 20.2% −8.2% SAS 28.4%
3P Att. %	28 35.8% 12 40.1%	LAL 40.4% SAS 44.2% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAL	SAS
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.3
Points	115	129
Rebounds	43	45
Assists	32	35
Steals	5	5
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	8 (1)
Fouls	15	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	36 (2)
Field Goals	43-89	47-95
At-the-Rim FG	27-35	17-26
Midrange FG	5-18	12-27
2-Point FG	32-53	29-53
3-Point FG	11-36	18-42
Free Throws	18-28	17-19
Fast Break Pts	20	19
2nd Chance Pts	12	15
Points in Paint	58	44
Pts off Turnovers	13	16
Bench Points	48	40
Biggest Lead	0	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg