Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 16, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Pacers	23%	110	109	109.0	100	103.2
	4	Timberwolves	77%	120	127	128.3	99	96.1

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+15

-13

102

MIN

+10

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.07 53.4%

MIN

1.35 67.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	27.1	17	61%	5	2	0	1	3	1	1	4	0-0	-	7-11	64%	1-3	33%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	25.7	10	42%	4	6	2	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-1	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	21.1	12	55%	5	0	1	0	1	1	2	3	7-8	88%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Buddy Hield #7 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 31	18.2	0	0%	1	2	0	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	16.8	7	88%	4	1	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%

Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	26.2	17	61%	5	0	0	1	0	1	3	2	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	24.2	5	83%	2	3	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	23.4	6	27%	1	3	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-10	30%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	19.6	12	100%	3	4	3	2	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	17.0	8	57%	3	0	2	0	0	1	1	2	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	10.3	7	88%	1	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	7.3	8	57%	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	3.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone bruise, Left heel contusion
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bruise
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	40	25	10	4	13	15	13	27	13-16	81%	39-69	57%	6-21	29%

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24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	27.1	17	61%	5	2	0	1	3	1	1	4	0-0	-	7-11	64%	1-3	33%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	25.7	10	42%	4	6	2	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-1	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	21.1	12	55%	5	0	1	0	1	1	2	3	7-8	88%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Buddy Hield #7 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 31	18.2	0	0%	1	2	0	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	16.8	7	88%	4	1	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%

Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	26.2	17	61%	5	0	0	1	0	1	3	2	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	24.2	5	83%	2	3	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	23.4	6	27%	1	3	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-10	30%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	19.6	12	100%	3	4	3	2	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	17.0	8	57%	3	0	2	0	0	1	1	2	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	10.3	7	88%	1	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	7.3	8	57%	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	3.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone bruise, Left heel contusion
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bruise
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	40	25	10	4	13	15	13	27	13-16	81%	39-69	57%	6-21	29%

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4 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	35.0	40	71%	12	4	3	2	3	2	5	7	8-8	100%	13-22	59%	2-3	67%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	33.6	37	77%	2	4	3	0	4	3	0	2	2-2	100%	7-13	54%	7-10	70%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	25.2	5	50%	7	1	1	1	2	1	2	5	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	24.2	5	50%	2	9	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	17.7	5	63%	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	27.1	17	94%	5	0	0	0	1	2	0	5	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	3-5	60%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	25.6	3	25%	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	23.2	4	50%	4	10	0	0	2	4	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	16.2	11	92%	1	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	5.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	68%	36	33	10	6	15	16	8	28	13-16	81%	30-56	54%	18-30	60%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.07 53.4%

MIN

1.35 67.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

63%

MIN

52%

Midrange

IND

46%

MIN

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

9.0

29%

43%

MIN

27.0

60%

90%

Free Throws

IND

81%

MIN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Brown	17	61%	8.5 / 14
A. Nesmith	17	61%	8.5 / 14
M. Turner	12	55%	6.0 / 11
I. Jackson	12	100%	6.0 / 6
T. McConnell	10	42%	5.0 / 12
B. Sheppard	8	57%	4.0 / 7
O. Tshiebwe	8	57%	4.0 / 7
O. Toppin	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Nwora	7	88%	3.5 / 4
B. Mathurin	6	27%	3.0 / 11
J. Walker	5	83%	2.5 / 3
B. Hield	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Towns	40	71%	20.0 / 28
A. Edwards	37	77%	18.5 / 24
N. Reid	17	94%	8.5 / 9
T. Brown Jr.	11	92%	5.5 / 6
R. Gobert	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Conley	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. McDaniels	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Anderson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
N. Alexander-Walker	3	25%	1.5 / 6
S. Milton	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.6 17 114.7	IND 109.0 MIN 128.3 +19.3
Pace	2 102.3 22 97.9	IND 103.2 +7.1 MIN 96.1
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.7 3 15.0	IND 14.0 −1.0 MIN 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 10 55.9%	IND 53.3% MIN 66.3% +13.0%
TO %	6 12.0% 22 13.6%	IND 13.4% −0.5% MIN 13.9%
ORB %	20 23.8% 22 23.1%	IND 31.7% +8.8% MIN 22.9%
FTrt	26 22.2 5 27.0	IND 17.8 MIN 18.6 +0.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 65.4% 12 64.6%	IND 55.6% MIN 68.8% +13.2%
STL %	15 7.5% 6 8.0%	IND 10.0% MIN 10.1% +0.1%
BLK %	14 9.5% 4 11.0%	IND 7.1% MIN 8.7% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 10 57.7%	IND 53.4% MIN 67.6% +14.2%
Rim FG%	7 65.9% 15 64.3%	IND 63.4% +11.7% MIN 51.7%
Mid FG%	1 48.8% 16 42.6%	IND 46.4% MIN 55.6% +9.2%
3P %	9 37.4% 3 38.7%	IND 28.6% MIN 60.0% +31.4%
FT %	13 78.2% 18 77.7%	IND 81.3% MIN 81.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.5% 14 34.1%	IND 45.6% +11.8% MIN 33.7%
Mid Att. %	6 25.4% 16 27.5%	IND 31.1% −0.3% MIN 31.4%
3P Att. %	20 38.0% 17 38.4%	IND 23.3% MIN 34.9% +11.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	IND	MIN
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	109	127
Rebounds	40	36
Assists	25	33
Steals	10	10
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (2)	15 (0)
Fouls	15	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (2)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (3)	28 (2)
Field Goals	45-90	48-86
At-the-Rim FG	26-41	15-29
Midrange FG	13-28	15-27
2-Point FG	39-69	30-56
3-Point FG	6-21	18-30
Free Throws	13-16	13-16
Fast Break Pts	16	2
2nd Chance Pts	17	8
Points in Paint	70	50
Pts off Turnovers	15	14
Bench Points	63	35
Biggest Lead	6	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg