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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 16, 2023
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Thunder
118
5Nuggets
117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 25.4
37
35
25
6
8
2
2
0
2
0
6
7-8
88%
9-18
9-17
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 22.7
33
28
24
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
11-19
5-8
58%
56%
0-1
0%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 21.6
32
28
17
11
1
0
1
9
1
1
10
4-6
67%
5-8
4-7
63%
59%
1-4
25%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 24.7
26
30
13
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 21.2
15
26
4
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
4-9
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 24.5
27
16
12
2
1
1
1
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
3-3
1-1
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
22
13
11
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
49%
3-4
75%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.1
18
21
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.0
13
10
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
56%
0-1
0%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
12
9
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 20.6
5
12
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
58%
0-1
0%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 22.9
7
0
1-1
46%
Vasilije Micic
G · 6'4" 188 · 29.9
6
0
0-1
50%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 31.1
5
0
0-0
56%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.8
3
0
0-0
59%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 22.0
Keyontae Johnson
F · 6'6" 230 · 23.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.8
37
29
24
6
12
2
1
0
3
4
2
7-8
88%
7-13
8-13
54%
62%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.2
33
27
16
9
5
2
1
0
0
6
3
6-7
86%
5-10
4-7
50%
59%
0-0
-
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.5
32
28
20
11
0
0
1
0
1
0
11
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
58%
4-8
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.8
28
26
15
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-5
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
51%
0-6
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.7
25
18
6
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
2-3
67%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
25
20
14
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
56%
2-5
40%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.7
22
24
7
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.3
16
22
13
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
3-7
3-5
43%
56%
2-2
100%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.7
15
19
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
53%
0-2
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.4
6
13
2
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
67%
0-0
-
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.9
7
0
1-1
61%
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.5
2
0
0-0
50%
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.8
1
0
0-0
50%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.2
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.8
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.7
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.