Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 16, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Jazz	36%	113	104	105.1	99	99.0
	21	Kings	64%	118	125	127.6	98	99.3

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+11

-12

SAC

+12

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.06 53.1%

SAC

1.30 65.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 25	32.6	28	67%	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	6-7	86%	8-12	67%	2-6	33%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	29.2	9	75%	5	13	1	1	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 27	27.9	18	64%	6	3	0	0	2	2	1	5	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Kris Dunn #11 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 30	27.0	11	55%	4	3	1	1	6	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	25.4	7	39%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%

Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23	26.0	12	50%	3	5	3	0	1	0	1	2	2-3	67%	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	23.3	5	36%	4	0	1	0	0	2	3	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	21.4	12	60%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	18.4	2	50%	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	2-4	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	4.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	4.4	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Josh Christopher #13 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Keyonte George #3 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	37	28	8	3	12	12	9	28	16-21	76%	26-49	53%	12-37	32%

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25 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 25	32.6	28	67%	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	6-7	86%	8-12	67%	2-6	33%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	29.2	9	75%	5	13	1	1	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 27	27.9	18	64%	6	3	0	0	2	2	1	5	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Kris Dunn #11 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 30	27.0	11	55%	4	3	1	1	6	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	25.4	7	39%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%

Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23	26.0	12	50%	3	5	3	0	1	0	1	2	2-3	67%	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	23.3	5	36%	4	0	1	0	0	2	3	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	21.4	12	60%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	18.4	2	50%	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	2-4	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	4.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	4.4	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Josh Christopher #13 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Keyonte George #3 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	37	28	8	3	12	12	9	28	16-21	76%	26-49	53%	12-37	32%

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21 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	36.1	47	94%	8	2	2	0	0	1	1	7	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	12-15	80%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	34.7	20	91%	10	8	2	0	6	1	2	8	2-4	50%	9-9	100%	0-1	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	32.7	16	73%	4	2	1	0	0	1	2	2	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Keon Ellis #23 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 24	26.0	2	25%	1	7	1	0	3	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	24.7	11	79%	3	5	0	0	0	4	1	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	26.1	18	53%	4	8	0	1	1	0	0	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	4-12	33%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	18.4	4	40%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	17.6	0	0%	8	0	0	1	2	4	1	7	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	11.4	3	50%	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	3.9	4	67%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	3.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 31	2.4	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right High Ankle; Sprain
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	65%	45	36	6	2	14	17	8	37	11-15	73%	24-40	60%	22-45	49%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.06 53.1%

SAC

1.30 65.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

68%

SAC

70%

Midrange

UTA

28%

SAC

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

18.0

32%

49%

SAC

33.0

49%

73%

Free Throws

UTA

76%

SAC

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Sexton	28	67%	14.0 / 21
L. Markkanen	18	64%	9.0 / 14
T. Horton-Tucker	12	50%	6.0 / 12
T. Hendricks	12	60%	6.0 / 10
K. Dunn	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Olynyk	9	75%	4.5 / 6
S. Fontecchio	7	39%	3.5 / 9
O. Agbaji	5	36%	2.5 / 7
W. Kessler	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Juzang	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Potter	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Murray	47	94%	23.5 / 25
D. Sabonis	20	91%	10.0 / 11
M. Monk	18	53%	9.0 / 17
H. Barnes	16	73%	8.0 / 11
K. Huerter	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. Mitchell	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. McGee	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Vezenkov	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Ellis	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. Lyles	0	-	0.0 / 2
C. Duarte	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Toscano-Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 114.6 13 116.3	UTA 105.1 SAC 127.6 +22.5
Pace	9 100.5 14 99.4	UTA 99.0 SAC 99.3 +0.3
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.6 26 14.1	UTA 14.5 SAC 14.5 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 53.9% 14 55.6%	UTA 51.2% SAC 67.1% +15.9%
TO %	30 14.8% 12 12.5%	UTA 12.0% −4.4% SAC 16.4%
ORB %	2 28.1% 14 24.5%	UTA 19.6% SAC 22.2% +2.6%
FTrt	11 25.1 22 22.9	UTA 24.4 +6.8 SAC 17.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 64.8% 7 65.4%	UTA 73.7% SAC 78.3% +4.6%
STL %	29 6.5% 14 7.6%	UTA 8.1% +2.0% SAC 6.1%
BLK %	3 11.1% 27 8.6%	UTA 7.5% +3.4% SAC 4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.5% 14 57.0%	UTA 53.1% SAC 65.1% +12.0%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 6 66.0%	UTA 67.7% SAC 70.0% +2.3%
Mid FG%	20 41.3% 9 44.9%	UTA 27.8% SAC 30.0% +2.2%
3P %	22 35.4% 16 36.6%	UTA 32.4% SAC 48.9% +16.5%
FT %	1 83.0% 30 74.5%	UTA 76.2% +2.9% SAC 73.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 32.6% 27 30.0%	UTA 36.0% +0.8% SAC 35.3%
Mid Att. %	15 26.8% 14 26.8%	UTA 20.9% SAC 11.8% −9.2%
3P Att. %	10 40.6% 3 43.2%	UTA 43.0% SAC 52.9% +9.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	SAC
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	24.0	23.7
Points	104	125
Rebounds	37	45
Assists	28	36
Steals	8	6
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	14 (4)
Fouls	12	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	37 (2)
Field Goals	38-86	46-85
At-the-Rim FG	21-31	21-30
Midrange FG	5-18	3-10
2-Point FG	26-49	24-40
3-Point FG	12-37	22-45
Free Throws	16-21	11-15
Fast Break Pts	2	16
2nd Chance Pts	15	13
Points in Paint	52	48
Pts off Turnovers	17	20
Bench Points	31	29
Biggest Lead	0	30

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg