Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 17, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Pelicans	68%	120	146	135.2	108	117.7
	27	Spurs	32%	114	110	100.9	109	100.6

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+15

-13

110

SAS

+11

-13

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.33 66.4%

SAS

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 26	26.9	26	76%	3	4	1	1	1	1	0	3	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	5-7	71%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 32	26.3	29	91%	2	2	1	0	3	2	0	2	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	6-7	86%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 23	25.9	15	54%	8	3	2	1	1	2	5	3	1-4	25%	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	23.1	15	58%	15	3	1	1	1	3	3	12	2-3	67%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25	19.0	2	17%	1	3	1	0	2	3	1	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%

Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 23	24.7	14	64%	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	4	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26	21.7	16	89%	3	4	1	0	1	0	0	3	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	3-5	60%
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	19.6	11	79%	3	7	2	0	2	3	0	3	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31	18.4	2	50%	5	4	0	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	17.6	5	63%	4	4	1	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	12.4	7	58%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	4.4	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23	INACTIVE
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Surgery
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	146	66%	51	38	11	3	13	19	11	40	14-22	64%	33-56	59%	22-42	52%

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8 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 26	26.9	26	76%	3	4	1	1	1	1	0	3	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	5-7	71%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 32	26.3	29	91%	2	2	1	0	3	2	0	2	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	6-7	86%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 23	25.9	15	54%	8	3	2	1	1	2	5	3	1-4	25%	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	23.1	15	58%	15	3	1	1	1	3	3	12	2-3	67%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25	19.0	2	17%	1	3	1	0	2	3	1	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%

Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 23	24.7	14	64%	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	4	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26	21.7	16	89%	3	4	1	0	1	0	0	3	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	3-5	60%
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	19.6	11	79%	3	7	2	0	2	3	0	3	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31	18.4	2	50%	5	4	0	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	17.6	5	63%	4	4	1	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	12.4	7	58%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	4.4	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23	INACTIVE
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Surgery
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	146	66%	51	38	11	3	13	19	11	40	14-22	64%	33-56	59%	22-42	52%

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27 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 24	31.6	13	34%	8	3	4	0	5	2	4	4	1-2	50%	6-14	43%	0-4	0%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	31.1	17	57%	13	4	1	4	3	2	1	12	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	2-6	33%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 23	29.7	13	50%	2	3	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	3-7	43%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	29.7	11	61%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 21	25.5	5	28%	3	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	3-4	75%	1-7	14%	0-0	-

Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	16.8	14	78%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	16.2	2	33%	5	2	0	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	15.9	4	40%	0	5	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	15.0	7	44%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	13.8	15	125%	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-6	83%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	8.0	2	25%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	6.8	7	88%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Charles Bediako #27 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	51%	39	29	6	6	13	15	9	30	15-21	71%	25-52	48%	15-42	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.33 66.4%

SAS

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

61%

SAS

55%

Midrange

NOP

57%

SAS

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

33.0

52%

79%

SAS

22.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

NOP

64%

SAS

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	29	91%	14.5 / 16
B. Ingram	26	76%	13.0 / 17
J. Alvarado	16	89%	8.0 / 9
Z. Williamson	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Valančiūnas	15	58%	7.5 / 13
T. Murphy	14	64%	7.0 / 11
N. Marshall	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Hawkins	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Daniels	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Robinson-Earl	4	100%	2.0 / 2
H. Jones	2	17%	1.0 / 6
C. Zeller	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	17	57%	8.5 / 15
J. Champagnie	15	125%	7.5 / 6
C. Osman	14	78%	7.0 / 9
K. Johnson	13	34%	6.5 / 19
D. Vassell	13	50%	6.5 / 13
M. Branham	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. McDermott	7	44%	3.5 / 8
D. Graham	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Sochan	5	28%	2.5 / 9
T. Jones	4	40%	2.0 / 5
Z. Collins	2	33%	1.0 / 3
S. Mamukelashvili	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 116.6 26 109.4	NOP 135.2 +34.3 SAS 100.9
Pace	16 98.6 3 101.7	NOP 117.7 +17.0 SAS 100.6
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.4 25 14.1	NOP 12.2 −2.1 SAS 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.8% 23 53.2%	NOP 67.3% +16.8% SAS 50.5%
TO %	15 12.6% 26 14.3%	NOP 12.2% SAS 11.2% −1.0%
ORB %	15 24.4% 23 22.9%	NOP 26.8% +8.4% SAS 18.4%
FTrt	7 26.1 28 22.0	NOP 22.4 +0.1 SAS 22.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.4% 1 71.2%	NOP 69.1% SAS 72.5% +3.4%
STL %	2 8.4% 23 6.9%	NOP 10.2% +4.7% SAS 5.5%
BLK %	8 9.9% 10 9.7%	NOP 5.8% SAS 10.7% +4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.7% 25 55.1%	NOP 66.4% +15.0% SAS 51.4%
Rim FG%	19 63.2% 16 64.1%	NOP 60.6% +6.1% SAS 54.5%
Mid FG%	12 44.3% 24 40.5%	NOP 56.5% +19.7% SAS 36.8%
3P %	4 38.3% 28 34.7%	NOP 52.4% +16.7% SAS 35.7%
FT %	21 77.1% 14 78.2%	NOP 63.6% SAS 71.4% +7.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 34.7% 13 34.2%	NOP 33.7% SAS 35.1% +1.4%
Mid Att. %	22 28.0% 9 25.7%	NOP 23.5% SAS 20.2% −3.3%
3P Att. %	22 37.3% 12 40.1%	NOP 42.9% SAS 44.7% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOP	SAS
Possessions	108	109
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	146	110
Rebounds	51	39
Assists	38	29
Steals	11	6
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (2)	13 (0)
Fouls	19	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (3)	30 (2)
Field Goals	55-98	40-94
At-the-Rim FG	20-33	18-33
Midrange FG	13-23	7-19
2-Point FG	33-56	25-52
3-Point FG	22-42	15-42
Free Throws	14-22	15-21
Fast Break Pts	19	3
2nd Chance Pts	16	7
Points in Paint	56	46
Pts off Turnovers	16	20
Bench Points	59	51
Biggest Lead	40	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg