Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 17, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Rockets	44%	111	119	121.4	98	102.2
	10	Bucks	56%	113	128	129.3	99	95.1

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

-9

MIL

+21

-15

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.23 61.3%

MIL

1.22 61.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	39.3	22	65%	2	6	1	2	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	4-8	50%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	34.9	18	69%	4	1	2	0	2	4	1	3	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	30.7	20	56%	8	5	1	1	0	4	2	6	4-6	67%	8-12	67%	0-3	0%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	28.8	16	67%	2	7	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	27.9	16	62%	5	2	0	1	0	5	0	5	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%

Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	30.0	11	69%	6	1	2	0	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	18.6	0	0%	3	1	1	0	2	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	17.3	16	89%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	7-8	88%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	12.5	0	0%	1	2	1	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	61%	31	26	8	1	9	21	6	25	18-21	86%	34-58	59%	11-27	41%

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20 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	39.3	22	65%	2	6	1	2	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	4-8	50%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	34.9	18	69%	4	1	2	0	2	4	1	3	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	30.7	20	56%	8	5	1	1	0	4	2	6	4-6	67%	8-12	67%	0-3	0%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	28.8	16	67%	2	7	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	27.9	16	62%	5	2	0	1	0	5	0	5	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%

Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	30.0	11	69%	6	1	2	0	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	18.6	0	0%	3	1	1	0	2	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	17.3	16	89%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	7-8	88%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	12.5	0	0%	1	2	1	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	61%	31	26	8	1	9	21	6	25	18-21	86%	34-58	59%	11-27	41%

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10 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	39.2	26	50%	17	3	0	0	6	3	6	11	5-11	45%	9-19	47%	1-3	33%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	36.7	39	89%	5	11	3	0	3	2	0	5	12-13	92%	6-11	55%	5-8	63%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	36.4	9	75%	6	4	0	0	1	6	4	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	31.3	18	64%	6	0	0	1	0	2	1	5	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	3-8	38%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	29.4	20	59%	3	2	0	0	4	3	0	3	5-5	100%	6-10	60%	1-5	20%

Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	24.9	11	79%	6	0	0	0	0	3	4	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	17.1	5	63%	2	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	12.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	11.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 26	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marques Bolden #12 · C · 6'10" 249 · 26	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Robin Lopez #42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	61%	46	25	4	4	15	23	16	30	25-32	78%	32-54	59%	13-36	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.23 61.3%

MIL

1.22 61.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

62%

MIL

59%

Midrange

HOU

57%

MIL

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

16.5

41%

61%

MIL

19.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

HOU

86%

MIL

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. VanVleet	22	65%	11.0 / 17
A. Sengun	20	56%	10.0 / 18
D. Brooks	18	69%	9.0 / 13
J. Green	16	67%	8.0 / 12
J. Smith	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Green	16	89%	8.0 / 9
T. Eason	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Tate	0	-	0.0 / 2
A. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	39	89%	19.5 / 22
G. Antetokounmpo	26	50%	13.0 / 26
K. Middleton	20	59%	10.0 / 17
B. Lopez	18	64%	9.0 / 14
B. Portis	11	79%	5.5 / 7
A. Jackson	9	75%	4.5 / 6
P. Connaughton	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Payne	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.8 6 117.6	HOU 121.4 MIL 129.3 +7.9
Pace	13 99.6 8 100.6	HOU 102.2 +7.2 MIL 95.1
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 19 14.4	HOU 14.1 −1.1 MIL 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.9% 4 56.8%	HOU 59.4% +2.2% MIL 57.2%
TO %	8 12.1% 10 12.2%	HOU 9.6% −4.4% MIL 14.0%
ORB %	10 25.1% 25 21.8%	HOU 16.7% MIL 39.0% +22.3%
FTrt	9 25.7 4 27.0	HOU 24.7 MIL 35.6 +10.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.4% 20 61.5%	HOU 57.8% +2.2% MIL 55.6%
STL %	9 7.8% 28 6.7%	HOU 8.2% +4.2% MIL 4.0%
BLK %	11 9.7% 28 8.5%	HOU 1.9% MIL 6.9% +5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.2% 6 58.8%	HOU 61.3% +0.3% MIL 61.0%
Rim FG%	24 61.2% 4 67.9%	HOU 61.9% +2.9% MIL 59.0%
Mid FG%	21 41.2% 11 44.5%	HOU 56.8% MIL 60.0% +3.2%
3P %	23 35.2% 11 37.3%	HOU 40.7% +4.6% MIL 36.1%
FT %	20 77.3% 19 77.4%	HOU 85.7% +7.6% MIL 78.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.5% 24 31.5%	HOU 24.7% MIL 43.3% +18.6%
Mid Att. %	3 24.7% 7 25.4%	HOU 43.5% MIL 16.7% −26.9%
3P Att. %	13 39.7% 4 43.0%	HOU 31.8% MIL 40.0% +8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	MIL
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	119	128
Rebounds	31	46
Assists	26	25
Steals	8	4
Blocks	1	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	15 (2)
Fouls	21	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	16 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (3)	30 (2)
Field Goals	45-85	45-90
At-the-Rim FG	13-21	23-39
Midrange FG	21-37	9-15
2-Point FG	34-58	32-54
3-Point FG	11-27	13-36
Free Throws	18-21	25-32
Fast Break Pts	13	9
2nd Chance Pts	5	22
Points in Paint	52	54
Pts off Turnovers	22	13
Bench Points	27	16
Biggest Lead	4	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg