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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 18, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Pistons20%113124
18Hawks80%126130
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cade Cunningham
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
44.2
29.3
43
77%
5
7
3
1
1
3
1
4
8-9
89%
13-19
5-11
68%
49%
3-5
60%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
39.0
28.9
25
68%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-3
67%
4-8
4-7
50%
53%
5-9
56%
Jaden Ivey
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.8
29.1
26.4
15
49%
8
4
0
1
0
2
2
6
3-5
60%
6-11
3-7
55%
50%
0-2
0%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 24.8
22.7
12.0
17
62%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
7-12
2-4
58%
57%
0-0
-
Ausar Thompson
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.9
18.9
23.8
2
20%
8
3
1
1
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
55%
0-1
0%
James Wiseman
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.7
25.0
21.4
10
85%
7
2
0
0
0
2
2
5
0-2
0%
5-5
4-7
100%
59%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 32.4
23.3
10.8
6
25%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-9
1-2
22%
43%
0-2
0%
Marcus Sasser
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.2
21.3
12.7
5
83%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 32.3
12.2
7.2
1
27%
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Livers
F · 6'6" 232 · 25.4
4.4
23.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Killian Hayes
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.4
21.1
1
3-5
47%
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
17.0
0
1-3
55%
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.4
6.7
0
1-1
52%
Malcolm Cazalon
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.3
Stanley Umude
G · 6'6" 210 · 24.7
Jalen Duren
C · 6'11" 250 · 20.1
Jared Rhoden
G · 6'6" 210 · 24.3
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Saddiq Bey
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
42.2
35.8
21
61%
4
1
2
1
0
1
2
2
3-5
60%
6-8
3-6
75%
54%
2-7
29%
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 25.2
38.0
35.7
31
70%
4
15
0
1
0
5
0
4
11-12
92%
4-6
6-12
67%
52%
4-11
36%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 27.2
33.0
34.0
20
72%
3
3
1
2
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
5-8
6-11
63%
54%
3-5
60%
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.0
29.1
29.6
19
63%
6
2
1
1
2
4
1
5
0-0
-
2-9
4-6
22%
55%
5-6
83%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 29.6
27.8
31.6
17
69%
15
2
1
1
3
1
7
8
3-3
100%
7-11
7-10
64%
64%
0-0
-
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
23.2
30.1
14
90%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
5-6
4-6
83%
67%
0-0
-
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 27.1
22.6
14.9
6
55%
3
0
0
1
2
2
1
2
0-1
0%
0-0
0-0
-
56%
2-5
40%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 37.2
15.4
12.7
2
50%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Seth Lundy
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
8.8
1.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-1
0%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.3
22.6
1
2-4
56%
Trent Forrest
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
7.1
0
1-1
53%
Bruno Fernando
F · 6'10" 233 · 25.3
6.9
0
1-2
59%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.4
6.2
0
0-1
48%
Miles Norris
· 6'10" 210 · 23.7
3.2
0
0-1
59%
Kobe Bufkin
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.2
Mouhamed Gueye
F · 6'11" 210 · 21.1
AJ Griffin
F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 210 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.