Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 18, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Pistons	19%	113	124	121.6	102	116.1
	18	Hawks	81%	126	130	125.0	104	92.8

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+17

-13

106

ATL

+13

-17

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.16 57.9%

ATL

1.30 65.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 22	44.2	43	80%	5	7	3	1	3	1	1	4	8-9	89%	13-19	68%	3-5	60%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	39.0	25	66%	2	2	0	0	2	3	1	1	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	5-9	56%
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	29.0	15	54%	8	4	0	0	2	6	2	6	3-5	60%	6-11	55%	0-2	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	22.7	17	61%	1	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	3-4	75%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21	18.9	2	20%	8	3	1	0	2	2	3	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%

James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 23	25.0	10	83%	7	2	0	0	2	2	2	5	0-2	0%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Alec Burks #14 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	23.3	6	25%	2	2	1	0	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	0-2	0%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	21.3	5	83%	1	1	1	1	0	6	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Joe Harris #31 · SG · 6'6" 219 · 32	12.2	1	25%	2	2	1	1	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 25	4.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Kevin Knox II #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
Killian Hayes #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Malcolm Cazalon #20 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Monté Morris #5 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	58%	36	23	7	3	13	26	12	24	19-27	70%	39-72	54%	9-22	41%

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29 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 22	44.2	43	80%	5	7	3	1	3	1	1	4	8-9	89%	13-19	68%	3-5	60%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	39.0	25	66%	2	2	0	0	2	3	1	1	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	5-9	56%
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	29.0	15	54%	8	4	0	0	2	6	2	6	3-5	60%	6-11	55%	0-2	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	22.7	17	61%	1	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	3-4	75%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21	18.9	2	20%	8	3	1	0	2	2	3	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%

James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 23	25.0	10	83%	7	2	0	0	2	2	2	5	0-2	0%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Alec Burks #14 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	23.3	6	25%	2	2	1	0	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	0-2	0%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	21.3	5	83%	1	1	1	1	0	6	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Joe Harris #31 · SG · 6'6" 219 · 32	12.2	1	25%	2	2	1	1	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 25	4.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Kevin Knox II #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
Killian Hayes #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Malcolm Cazalon #20 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Monté Morris #5 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	58%	36	23	7	3	13	26	12	24	19-27	70%	39-72	54%	9-22	41%

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18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Saddiq Bey #41 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	42.2	21	62%	4	1	2	0	1	1	2	2	3-5	60%	6-8	75%	2-7	29%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	38.0	31	67%	4	15	0	0	5	3	0	4	11-12	92%	4-6	67%	4-11	36%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	33.0	20	71%	3	3	1	1	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	3-5	60%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	29.1	19	63%	6	2	1	2	4	5	1	5	0-0	-	2-9	22%	5-6	83%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	27.8	17	71%	15	2	1	3	1	3	7	8	3-3	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	23.2	14	88%	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	2	4-4	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	22.6	6	60%	3	0	0	2	2	5	1	2	0-1	0%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	15.4	2	50%	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	8.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
Miles Norris #0 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 24
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Inflammation
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Fracture
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Distal Radius; Fracture
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	65%	40	25	6	10	17	24	11	29	22-27	81%	30-49	61%	16-36	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	DET	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.16 57.9%

ATL

1.30 65.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

57%

ATL

70%

Midrange

DET

50%

ATL

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

13.5

41%

61%

ATL

24.0

44%

67%

Free Throws

DET

70%

ATL

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Cunningham	43	80%	21.5 / 27
B. Bogdanovic	25	66%	12.5 / 19
M. Bagley	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Ivey	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Wiseman	10	83%	5.0 / 6
A. Burks	6	25%	3.0 / 12
M. Sasser	5	83%	2.5 / 3
A. Thompson	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Harris	1	25%	0.5 / 2
I. Livers	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	31	67%	15.5 / 23
S. Bey	21	62%	10.5 / 17
D. Murray	20	71%	10.0 / 14
D. Hunter	19	63%	9.5 / 15
C. Capela	17	71%	8.5 / 12
O. Okongwu	14	88%	7.0 / 8
G. Mathews	6	60%	3.0 / 5
W. Matthews	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Lundy	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 109.1 12 116.4	DET 121.6 ATL 125.0 +3.4
Pace	10 100.4 6 100.9	DET 116.1 +23.3 ATL 92.8
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.1 21 14.2	DET 12.4 −3.1 ATL 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.6% 17 53.9%	DET 55.9% ATL 63.5% +7.6%
TO %	28 14.5% 13 12.5%	DET 10.9% −4.8% ATL 15.7%
ORB %	18 23.9% 5 27.1%	DET 29.3% ATL 31.4% +2.1%
FTrt	15 24.6 12 25.1	DET 28.7 ATL 31.8 +3.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 62.3% 19 61.8%	DET 47.9% ATL 54.3% +6.4%
STL %	30 6.4% 18 7.4%	DET 6.9% +1.1% ATL 5.8%
BLK %	17 9.3% 21 9.0%	DET 6.1% ATL 13.9% +7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 54.9% 16 56.3%	DET 57.9% ATL 65.0% +7.1%
Rim FG%	21 62.2% 28 60.3%	DET 56.5% ATL 69.7% +13.2%
Mid FG%	18 41.7% 6 45.2%	DET 50.0% +6.2% ATL 43.8%
3P %	26 34.8% 17 36.4%	DET 40.9% ATL 44.4% +3.5%
FT %	12 78.5% 8 79.7%	DET 70.4% ATL 81.5% +11.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 34.6% 18 32.8%	DET 48.9% +10.1% ATL 38.8%
Mid Att. %	26 29.5% 11 26.5%	DET 27.7% ATL 18.8% −8.8%
3P Att. %	27 36.0% 9 40.8%	DET 23.4% ATL 42.4% +18.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DET	ATL
Possessions	102	104
Possession Minutes	21.1	26.9
Points	124	130
Rebounds	36	40
Assists	23	25
Steals	7	6
Blocks	3	10
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	17 (1)
Fouls	26	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (4)	29 (4)
Field Goals	48-94	46-85
At-the-Rim FG	26-46	23-33
Midrange FG	13-26	7-16
2-Point FG	39-72	30-49
3-Point FG	9-22	16-36
Free Throws	19-27	22-27
Fast Break Pts	21	8
2nd Chance Pts	22	13
Points in Paint	68	54
Pts off Turnovers	22	16
Bench Points	22	22
Biggest Lead	0	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg