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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 18, 2023
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies27%10597
6Thunder73%114116
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jacob Gilyard
G · 5'9" 160 · 25.4
34
11
12
1
7
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
45%
4-6
67%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
28
37
17
1
5
0
1
1
5
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
6-12
40%
52%
4-9
44%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 24.3
25
35
11
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
4-5
80%
2-3
7-13
67%
53%
1-4
25%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 24.9
25
6
0
8
2
1
0
1
1
0
8
0-0
-
0-5
1-1
0%
57%
0-3
0%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.3
23
27
5
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
1-5
20%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 22.7
22
28
8
4
1
1
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 22.3
22
16
19
7
5
0
0
0
4
0
7
5-5
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
53%
2-7
29%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 22.9
20
23
9
9
1
0
1
0
1
2
7
3-4
75%
0-3
3-5
0%
55%
2-7
29%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.7
17
10
5
2
2
2
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
55%
1-3
33%
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 22.1
12
10
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
1-4
25%
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 19.0
12
2
8
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 31.3
25
0
3-5
57%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.5
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.4
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 21.3
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.8
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.4
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 27.2
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 35.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 22.7
28
30
10
4
5
2
1
1
0
0
4
3-4
75%
2-6
6-10
33%
58%
1-3
33%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 25.4
28
35
30
9
5
4
2
0
2
0
9
13-14
93%
7-15
10-17
47%
56%
1-3
33%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 21.6
25
29
17
6
2
1
1
7
2
2
4
1-1
100%
5-10
5-8
50%
61%
2-4
50%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 21.2
24
21
16
12
4
1
1
0
1
3
9
4-4
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
53%
0-4
0%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 24.7
21
28
11
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
3-6
50%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 24.5
19
21
5
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 20.6
19
9
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
61%
0-2
0%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.1
17
19
7
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
59%
1-4
25%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.0
15
11
6
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
58%
2-3
67%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
12
10
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
61%
0-0
-
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
9
17
2
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Vasilije Micic
G · 6'4" 188 · 29.9
7
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 22.9
7
5
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.8
7
3
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
60%
0-2
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 31.1
3
0
0-0
56%
Keyontae Johnson
F · 6'6" 230 · 23.6
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.