Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 18, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Mavericks	35%	113	104	106.1	98	95.5
	3	Nuggets	65%	118	130	135.4	96	98.5

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+18

-11

105

DEN

+10

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

0.99 49.5%

DEN

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	36.4	38	66%	11	8	0	0	3	1	3	8	6-10	60%	7-12	58%	6-12	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	24.4	6	33%	1	1	2	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-5	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	23.3	8	67%	8	0	0	0	1	4	6	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Danté Exum #0 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 28	22.7	11	110%	1	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-1	100%
Grant Williams #3 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	22.3	7	44%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-2	50%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	21.8	8	33%	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-9	22%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 21	20.0	2	20%	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 21	18.6	9	45%	1	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	2-3	67%
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	14.8	6	60%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	13.3	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Greg Brown III #13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 22	8.7	5	63%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-5	20%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	7.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #20 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	6.6	2	20%	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Dexter Dennis #38 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Dislocation
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Contusion
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Sprain
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	50%	43	19	2	4	11	20	15	28	9-19	47%	28-54	52%	13-38	34%

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15 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	36.4	38	66%	11	8	0	0	3	1	3	8	6-10	60%	7-12	58%	6-12	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	24.4	6	33%	1	1	2	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-5	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	23.3	8	67%	8	0	0	0	1	4	6	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Danté Exum #0 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 28	22.7	11	110%	1	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-1	100%
Grant Williams #3 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	22.3	7	44%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-2	50%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	21.8	8	33%	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-9	22%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 21	20.0	2	20%	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 21	18.6	9	45%	1	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	2-3	67%
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	14.8	6	60%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	13.3	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Greg Brown III #13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 22	8.7	5	63%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-5	20%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	7.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #20 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	6.6	2	20%	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Dexter Dennis #38 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Dislocation
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Contusion
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Sprain
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	50%	43	19	2	4	11	20	15	28	9-19	47%	28-54	52%	13-38	34%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	27.8	8	44%	9	7	2	0	2	2	1	8	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	26.4	9	75%	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	24.8	22	73%	4	2	1	1	2	1	0	4	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	4-4	100%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	24.3	21	88%	5	5	1	0	0	1	1	4	5-6	83%	5-6	83%	2-3	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	22.7	8	50%	4	1	0	0	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-3	67%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	23.8	10	71%	7	3	1	1	0	1	1	6	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	21.1	12	60%	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	20.2	14	70%	4	2	1	1	1	4	2	2	4-4	100%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	20.1	6	60%	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	4	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	18.6	20	83%	1	4	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	8-9	89%	1-3	33%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	5.2	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	5.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	66%	46	29	7	0	8	19	9	37	18-22	82%	35-61	57%	14-26	54%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

0.99 49.5%

DEN

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

55%

DEN

86%

Midrange

DAL

48%

DEN

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

19.5

34%

51%

DEN

21.0

54%

81%

Free Throws

DAL

47%

DEN

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	38	66%	19.0 / 29
D. Exum	11	110%	5.5 / 5
J. Hardy	9	45%	4.5 / 10
D. Powell	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Hardaway	8	33%	4.0 / 12
G. Williams	7	44%	3.5 / 8
D. Jones	6	33%	3.0 / 9
A. Lawson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
G. Brown III	5	63%	2.5 / 4
O. Prosper	2	20%	1.0 / 5
M. Morris	2	33%	1.0 / 3
R. Holmes	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	22	73%	11.0 / 15
A. Gordon	21	88%	10.5 / 12
R. Jackson	20	83%	10.0 / 12
Z. Nnaji	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Strawther	12	60%	6.0 / 10
P. Watson	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	75%	4.5 / 6
N. Jokić	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Porter	8	50%	4.0 / 8
C. Braun	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 2
C. Gillespie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.0 5 117.9	DAL 106.1 DEN 135.4 +29.3
Pace	7 100.6 26 97.4	DAL 95.5 DEN 98.5 +3.0
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 4 15.0	DAL 15.1 DEN 14.6 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.2% 8 56.2%	DAL 51.6% DEN 64.4% +12.8%
TO %	5 12.0% 7 12.1%	DAL 9.9% DEN 8.5% −1.4%
ORB %	24 22.2% 6 25.5%	DAL 28.8% +4.5% DEN 24.3%
FTrt	13 25.1 24 22.4	DAL 20.7 DEN 25.3 +4.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 5 66.9%	DAL 46.3% DEN 59.2% +12.9%
STL %	27 6.8% 20 7.3%	DAL 2.0% DEN 7.3% +5.3%
BLK %	26 8.7% 25 8.7%	DAL 6.6% +6.6% DEN 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 58.1% 11 57.5%	DAL 49.5% DEN 66.3% +16.8%
Rim FG%	3 68.0% 17 63.6%	DAL 54.5% DEN 85.7% +31.2%
Mid FG%	10 44.7% 3 47.0%	DAL 47.6% +14.3% DEN 33.3%
3P %	13 36.9% 10 37.4%	DAL 34.2% DEN 53.8% +19.6%
FT %	27 75.8% 25 76.2%	DAL 47.4% DEN 81.8% +34.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 29.3% 4 36.0%	DAL 35.9% +3.7% DEN 32.2%
Mid Att. %	13 26.6% 25 28.8%	DAL 22.8% −15.1% DEN 37.9%
3P Att. %	2 44.1% 30 35.2%	DAL 41.3% +11.4% DEN 29.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	DEN
Possessions	98	96
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	104	130
Rebounds	43	46
Assists	19	29
Steals	2	7
Blocks	4	0
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	8 (1)
Fouls	20	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (3)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	37 (3)
Field Goals	41-92	49-87
At-the-Rim FG	18-33	24-28
Midrange FG	10-21	11-33
2-Point FG	28-54	35-61
3-Point FG	13-38	14-26
Free Throws	9-19	18-22
Fast Break Pts	13	32
2nd Chance Pts	14	6
Points in Paint	48	60
Pts off Turnovers	11	13
Bench Points	34	62
Biggest Lead	0	36

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg