Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 20, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Celtics	53%	115	144	151.6	95	91.0
	10	Kings	47%	114	119	124.0	96	101.9

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+15

-9

101

SAC

+16

-7

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.43 71.3%

SAC

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Sam Hauser #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 26	34.9	10	83%	5	1	0	0	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	33.9	21	75%	8	10	2	1	3	1	2	6	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	4-6	67%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 29	29.3	28	100%	2	7	1	3	1	1	1	1	2-3	67%	4-4	100%	6-9	67%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 28	29.2	24	92%	9	2	0	6	3	3	2	7	7-8	88%	4-7	57%	3-4	75%
Jaylen Brown #7 · PF · 6'6" 223 · 27	29.2	28	58%	5	6	0	0	0	2	1	4	6-7	86%	11-18	61%	0-3	0%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	29.5	20	77%	4	4	1	0	1	1	0	4	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	6-11	55%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 24	18.8	6	38%	8	0	1	0	1	5	4	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	16.7	3	150%	5	2	0	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27	16.2	2	17%	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Lamar Stevens #77 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	2.3	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	144	71%	50	35	6	8	9	17	14	36	20-24	83%	29-50	58%	22-42	52%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Sam Hauser #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 26	34.9	10	83%	5	1	0	0	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	33.9	21	75%	8	10	2	1	3	1	2	6	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	4-6	67%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 29	29.3	28	100%	2	7	1	3	1	1	1	1	2-3	67%	4-4	100%	6-9	67%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 28	29.2	24	92%	9	2	0	6	3	3	2	7	7-8	88%	4-7	57%	3-4	75%
Jaylen Brown #7 · PF · 6'6" 223 · 27	29.2	28	58%	5	6	0	0	0	2	1	4	6-7	86%	11-18	61%	0-3	0%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	29.5	20	77%	4	4	1	0	1	1	0	4	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	6-11	55%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 24	18.8	6	38%	8	0	1	0	1	5	4	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	16.7	3	150%	5	2	0	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27	16.2	2	17%	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Lamar Stevens #77 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	2.3	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	144	71%	50	35	6	8	9	17	14	36	20-24	83%	29-50	58%	22-42	52%

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10 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	30.1	10	71%	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	3	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	26.5	29	76%	3	3	3	0	3	4	2	1	5-6	83%	3-8	38%	6-8	75%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	26.4	13	41%	10	8	0	1	1	2	5	5	1-4	25%	6-13	46%	0-1	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	26.3	13	59%	1	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	16.2	7	70%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	26.6	11	79%	5	3	0	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	25.1	10	42%	2	5	0	0	1	1	0	2	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	19.4	12	86%	2	4	1	2	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-7	57%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	13.2	3	38%	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	11.8	4	50%	3	1	0	4	1	0	0	3	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	6.2	7	70%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	4.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	4.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 31	3.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right High Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	57%	37	29	4	10	7	15	12	25	12-23	52%	22-47	47%	21-44	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.43 71.3%

SAC

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

69%

SAC

52%

Midrange

BOS

43%

SAC

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

33.0

52%

79%

SAC

31.5

48%

72%

Free Throws

BOS

83%

SAC

52%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. White	28	100%	14.0 / 14
J. Brown	28	58%	14.0 / 24
K. Porziņģis	24	92%	12.0 / 13
J. Holiday	21	75%	10.5 / 14
P. Pritchard	20	77%	10.0 / 13
S. Hauser	10	83%	5.0 / 6
N. Queta	6	38%	3.0 / 8
O. Brissett	3	150%	1.5 / 1
S. Mykhailiuk	2	17%	1.0 / 6
L. Stevens	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	29	76%	14.5 / 19
D. Sabonis	13	41%	6.5 / 16
K. Murray	13	59%	6.5 / 11
K. Ellis	12	86%	6.0 / 7
T. Lyles	11	79%	5.5 / 7
H. Barnes	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Monk	10	42%	5.0 / 12
K. Huerter	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Edwards	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. McGee	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Vezenkov	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Mitchell	0	-	0.0 / 2
C. Duarte	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Toscano-Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 122.2 13 116.3	BOS 151.6 +27.6 SAC 124.0
Pace	19 98.0 14 99.4	BOS 91.0 SAC 101.9 +10.8
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 26 14.1	BOS 15.8 SAC 14.1 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.8% 14 55.6%	BOS 67.4% +8.6% SAC 58.8%
TO %	1 11.4% 12 12.5%	BOS 8.1% SAC 6.5% −1.6%
ORB %	12 24.9% 14 24.5%	BOS 35.9% +10.9% SAC 25.0%
FTrt	25 22.4 22 22.9	BOS 26.1 +0.8 SAC 25.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.3% 7 65.4%	BOS 68.6% +1.2% SAC 67.4%
STL %	26 6.9% 14 7.6%	BOS 6.3% +2.1% SAC 4.2%
BLK %	7 10.7% 27 8.6%	BOS 17.0% SAC 20.0% +3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 59.5% 14 57.0%	BOS 71.3% +14.6% SAC 56.7%
Rim FG%	2 68.1% 6 66.0%	BOS 69.0% +17.1% SAC 51.9%
Mid FG%	15 43.5% 9 44.9%	BOS 42.9% +2.9% SAC 40.0%
3P %	2 38.8% 16 36.6%	BOS 52.4% +4.7% SAC 47.7%
FT %	7 80.7% 30 74.5%	BOS 83.3% +31.1% SAC 52.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 30.1% 27 30.0%	BOS 31.5% +1.9% SAC 29.7%
Mid Att. %	1 22.8% 14 26.8%	BOS 22.8% SAC 22.0% −0.8%
3P Att. %	1 47.1% 3 43.2%	BOS 45.7% SAC 48.4% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	BOS	SAC
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	25.0	22.6
Points	144	119
Rebounds	50	37
Assists	35	29
Steals	6	4
Blocks	8	10
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	7 (0)
Fouls	17	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (1)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	25 (3)
Field Goals	51-92	43-91
At-the-Rim FG	20-29	14-27
Midrange FG	9-21	8-20
2-Point FG	29-50	22-47
3-Point FG	22-42	21-44
Free Throws	20-24	12-23
Fast Break Pts	30	6
2nd Chance Pts	18	20
Points in Paint	48	40
Pts off Turnovers	14	10
Bench Points	33	47
Biggest Lead	30	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg