Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 22, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Nuggets	58%	114	122	128.4	95	98.2
	13	Nets	42%	111	117	125.8	93	90.7

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+13

-6

102

BKN

+18

-10

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.20 59.8%

BKN

1.16 57.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	34.3	32	67%	5	9	0	2	1	0	1	4	6-8	75%	7-13	54%	4-6	67%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	34.1	31	82%	11	7	3	2	0	4	2	9	5-5	100%	10-15	67%	2-2	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	34.1	15	75%	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	32.1	18	90%	5	2	1	0	1	1	2	3	8-9	89%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	30.2	3	25%	5	4	2	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	19.6	9	90%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	16.1	2	25%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	15.6	8	31%	2	3	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-5	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	10.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	7.0	2	50%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	6.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	41	29	6	7	6	19	8	33	21-25	84%	34-61	56%	11-26	42%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	34.3	32	67%	5	9	0	2	1	0	1	4	6-8	75%	7-13	54%	4-6	67%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	34.1	31	82%	11	7	3	2	0	4	2	9	5-5	100%	10-15	67%	2-2	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	34.1	15	75%	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	32.1	18	90%	5	2	1	0	1	1	2	3	8-9	89%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	30.2	3	25%	5	4	2	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	19.6	9	90%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	16.1	2	25%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	15.6	8	31%	2	3	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-5	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	10.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	7.0	2	50%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	6.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	41	29	6	7	6	19	8	33	21-25	84%	34-61	56%	11-26	42%

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13 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 22	34.0	23	50%	0	2	0	0	2	5	0	0	6-6	100%	7-15	47%	1-6	17%
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 31	32.8	6	75%	1	3	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Mikal Bridges #1 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	29.0	14	44%	3	6	0	0	3	2	2	1	0-1	0%	7-13	54%	0-3	0%
Nic Claxton #33 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	28.2	10	50%	16	6	0	3	1	1	1	15	2-4	50%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Cameron Johnson #2 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	25.5	17	85%	1	2	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	3-6	50%

Dorian Finney-Smith #28 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 31	30.3	14	78%	4	1	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-5	80%
Royce O'Neale #00 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 31	22.3	13	72%	6	3	0	2	1	1	2	4	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Dennis Smith Jr. #4 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 26	19.4	7	44%	4	5	1	0	0	5	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · C · 6'10" 265 · 22	18.5	13	65%	10	4	2	2	0	2	5	5	3-6	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Trendon Watford #9 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Wilson #22 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harry Giles III #14 · C · 6'10" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dariq Whitehead #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Noah Clowney #21 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keon Johnson #45 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Armoni Brooks #13 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ben Simmons #10 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Back; Nerve Impingement
Lonnie Walker IV #8 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	58%	45	32	4	5	10	23	14	31	18-26	69%	30-56	54%	13-33	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	BKN
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	BKN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.20 59.8%

BKN

1.16 57.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

70%

BKN

61%

Midrange

DEN

42%

BKN

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

16.5

42%

63%

BKN

19.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

DEN

84%

BKN

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	32	67%	16.0 / 24
N. Jokić	31	82%	15.5 / 19
A. Gordon	18	90%	9.0 / 10
M. Porter	15	75%	7.5 / 10
P. Watson	9	90%	4.5 / 5
R. Jackson	8	31%	4.0 / 13
K. Caldwell-Pope	3	25%	1.5 / 6
C. Braun	2	25%	1.0 / 4
Z. Nnaji	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Jordan	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Strawther	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Thomas	23	50%	11.5 / 23
C. Johnson	17	85%	8.5 / 10
M. Bridges	14	44%	7.0 / 16
D. Finney-Smith	14	78%	7.0 / 9
R. O'Neale	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. Sharpe	13	65%	6.5 / 10
N. Claxton	10	50%	5.0 / 10
D. Smith	7	44%	3.5 / 8
S. Dinwiddie	6	75%	3.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 23 112.5	DEN 128.4 +2.6 BKN 125.8
Pace	26 97.4 25 97.6	DEN 98.2 +7.5 BKN 90.7
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 9 14.8	DEN 14.7 −1.2 BKN 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 25 53.1%	DEN 58.0% +2.4% BKN 55.6%
TO %	7 12.1% 14 12.6%	DEN 5.8% −4.1% BKN 9.9%
ORB %	6 25.5% 8 25.2%	DEN 20.5% BKN 29.8% +9.3%
FTrt	24 22.4 20 23.4	DEN 28.7 BKN 29.2 +0.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 16 63.0%	DEN 64.4% BKN 74.4% +10.0%
STL %	20 7.3% 25 6.9%	DEN 6.3% +2.0% BKN 4.3%
BLK %	25 8.7% 12 9.5%	DEN 12.5% +4.3% BKN 8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 27 54.8%	DEN 59.8% +1.9% BKN 57.9%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 22 61.9%	DEN 70.0% +8.9% BKN 61.1%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 27 40.1%	DEN 41.9% +1.9% BKN 40.0%
3P %	10 37.4% 19 36.2%	DEN 42.3% +2.9% BKN 39.4%
FT %	25 76.2% 28 75.6%	DEN 84.0% +14.8% BKN 69.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 19 32.7%	DEN 34.5% BKN 40.4% +6.0%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 10 26.1%	DEN 35.6% BKN 22.5% −13.2%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 8 41.2%	DEN 29.9% BKN 37.1% +7.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	BKN
Possessions	95	93
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.6
Points	122	117
Rebounds	41	45
Assists	29	32
Steals	6	4
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	19	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	31 (2)
Field Goals	45-87	43-89
At-the-Rim FG	21-30	22-36
Midrange FG	13-31	8-20
2-Point FG	34-61	30-56
3-Point FG	11-26	13-33
Free Throws	21-25	18-26
Fast Break Pts	9	16
2nd Chance Pts	13	18
Points in Paint	54	58
Pts off Turnovers	12	9
Bench Points	23	47
Biggest Lead	11	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg