Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 22, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Wizards	17%	112	118	116.8	101	104.4
	6	Warriors	83%	126	129	126.5	102	98.7

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+12

-9

104

GSW

+17

-12

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.12 56.2%

GSW

1.18 59.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	26.9	25	52%	3	3	2	0	1	3	1	2	8-9	89%	4-9	44%	3-12	25%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	25.0	14	88%	3	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-2	100%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	24.7	7	32%	9	3	0	0	3	2	0	9	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	23.5	15	75%	4	1	1	0	1	1	1	3	5-6	83%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	20.2	7	58%	4	4	1	0	0	1	2	2	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 19	32.0	7	44%	3	2	1	1	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	25.0	18	56%	1	0	0	1	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	2-7	29%
Mike Muscala #35 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	13.8	2	20%	6	0	0	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	12.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31	10.7	8	80%	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Ryan Rollins #9 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 21	10.7	7	88%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	7.5	8	80%	1	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	7.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Left calf strain
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left knee sprain
Danilo Gallinari #88 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	Inactive – Rest \| Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	56%	39	25	7	4	9	16	9	30	19-24	79%	33-62	53%	11-35	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	26.9	25	52%	3	3	2	0	1	3	1	2	8-9	89%	4-9	44%	3-12	25%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	25.0	14	88%	3	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-2	100%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	24.7	7	32%	9	3	0	0	3	2	0	9	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	23.5	15	75%	4	1	1	0	1	1	1	3	5-6	83%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	20.2	7	58%	4	4	1	0	0	1	2	2	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 19	32.0	7	44%	3	2	1	1	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	25.0	18	56%	1	0	0	1	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	2-7	29%
Mike Muscala #35 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	13.8	2	20%	6	0	0	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	12.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31	10.7	8	80%	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Ryan Rollins #9 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 21	10.7	7	88%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	7.5	8	80%	1	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	7.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Left calf strain
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left knee sprain
Danilo Gallinari #88 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	Inactive – Rest \| Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	56%	39	25	7	4	9	16	9	30	19-24	79%	33-62	53%	11-35	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	28.9	10	50%	7	5	1	0	1	2	3	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	27.2	22	92%	4	3	1	0	1	2	2	2	3-3	100%	8-9	89%	1-2	50%
Klay Thompson #11 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 34	27.1	20	59%	3	2	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	4-10	40%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	26.9	30	75%	4	7	0	1	2	0	0	4	4-5	80%	1-5	20%	8-13	62%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 28	11.3	5	83%	5	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	25.0	4	29%	7	10	1	0	1	2	0	7	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	24.6	10	71%	15	3	0	1	1	2	5	10	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	20.2	13	54%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	18.6	5	42%	3	0	1	0	2	1	1	2	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Cory Joseph #1 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	13.5	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	6.1	3	50%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	6.1	7	88%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	2.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 34	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	59%	57	33	5	2	12	17	14	43	17-20	85%	29-52	56%	18-45	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.12 56.2%

GSW

1.18 59.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

63%

GSW

70%

Midrange

WAS

36%

GSW

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

16.5

31%

47%

GSW

27.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

WAS

79%

GSW

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	25	52%	12.5 / 24
C. Kispert	18	56%	9.0 / 16
D. Gafford	15	75%	7.5 / 10
T. Jones	14	88%	7.0 / 8
A. Gill	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Butler	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Kuzma	7	32%	3.5 / 11
D. Avdija	7	58%	3.5 / 6
B. Coulibaly	7	44%	3.5 / 8
R. Rollins	7	88%	3.5 / 4
M. Muscala	2	20%	1.0 / 5
L. Shamet	0	-	0.0 / 2
P. Baldwin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	30	75%	15.0 / 20
J. Kuminga	22	92%	11.0 / 12
K. Thompson	20	59%	10.0 / 17
D. Šarić	13	54%	6.5 / 12
B. Podziemski	10	50%	5.0 / 10
T. Jackson-Davis	10	71%	5.0 / 7
G. Santos	7	88%	3.5 / 4
K. Looney	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. Moody	5	42%	2.5 / 6
C. Paul	4	29%	2.0 / 7
L. Quinones	3	50%	1.5 / 3
C. Joseph	0	-	0.0 / 3
U. Garuba	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 110.3 10 116.9	WAS 116.8 GSW 126.5 +9.6
Pace	1 103.0 11 100.0	WAS 104.4 +5.7 GSW 98.7
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.6 17 14.4	WAS 13.8 −0.8 GSW 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 53.8% 12 55.7%	WAS 51.0% GSW 57.7% +6.7%
TO %	19 13.1% 23 13.6%	WAS 7.7% −2.5% GSW 10.2%
ORB %	29 20.0% 4 27.5%	WAS 17.3% GSW 31.8% +14.5%
FTrt	27 22.1 29 21.9	WAS 24.7 +4.1 GSW 20.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 64.9% 4 67.1%	WAS 56.8% GSW 70.2% +13.4%
STL %	19 7.3% 24 6.9%	WAS 6.9% +2.0% GSW 4.9%
BLK %	16 9.4% 23 8.8%	WAS 7.7% +4.5% GSW 3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.8% 12 57.2%	WAS 56.2% GSW 59.2% +3.0%
Rim FG%	8 65.7% 5 66.3%	WAS 62.5% GSW 69.7% +7.2%
Mid FG%	28 39.8% 19 41.4%	WAS 36.4% +4.8% GSW 31.6%
3P %	25 34.8% 7 38.0%	WAS 31.4% GSW 40.0% +8.6%
FT %	24 76.4% 17 78.0%	WAS 79.2% GSW 85.0% +5.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 35.4% 25 31.0%	WAS 41.2% +7.2% GSW 34.0%
Mid Att. %	8 25.7% 12 26.5%	WAS 22.7% GSW 19.6% −3.1%
3P Att. %	16 38.9% 6 42.5%	WAS 36.1% GSW 46.4% +10.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	GSW
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	118	129
Rebounds	39	57
Assists	25	33
Steals	7	5
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	16	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	43 (2)
Field Goals	44-97	47-97
At-the-Rim FG	25-40	23-33
Midrange FG	8-22	6-19
2-Point FG	33-62	29-52
3-Point FG	11-35	18-45
Free Throws	19-24	17-20
Fast Break Pts	23	18
2nd Chance Pts	19	13
Points in Paint	60	50
Pts off Turnovers	19	5
Bench Points	50	42
Biggest Lead	8	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg