Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 27, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Raptors	66%	119	132	126.9	104	110.3
	27	Wizards	34%	113	102	99.0	103	97.4

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+17

-17

104

WAS

+12

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.27 63.5%

WAS

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · SG · 6'8" 237 · 22	33.5	20	63%	12	8	3	2	2	0	5	7	0-0	-	4-8	50%	4-8	50%
Pascal Siakam #43 · SF · 6'8" 245 · 30	31.8	22	65%	6	11	1	0	4	3	1	5	4-5	80%	9-13	69%	0-2	0%
OG Anunoby #3 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 26	29.3	26	81%	6	2	0	0	1	1	2	4	1-2	50%	8-9	89%	3-7	43%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 25	26.4	12	55%	2	4	2	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	21.4	10	63%	8	2	2	1	2	4	3	5	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-

Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 30	28.4	9	75%	4	10	0	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	18.9	6	38%	4	1	1	0	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Otto Porter Jr. #32 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 31	12.9	6	100%	2	2	1	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	12.3	6	60%	4	0	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 24	10.6	3	50%	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 26	4.9	6	100%	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	4.9	3	150%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	4.9	3	150%	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Markquis Nowell #24 · SG · 5'8" 160 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jontay Porter #11 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Respiratory Issue
Garrett Temple #14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	64%	53	43	12	5	17	18	14	39	13-19	68%	37-53	70%	15-38	39%

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18 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · SG · 6'8" 237 · 22	33.5	20	63%	12	8	3	2	2	0	5	7	0-0	-	4-8	50%	4-8	50%
Pascal Siakam #43 · SF · 6'8" 245 · 30	31.8	22	65%	6	11	1	0	4	3	1	5	4-5	80%	9-13	69%	0-2	0%
OG Anunoby #3 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 26	29.3	26	81%	6	2	0	0	1	1	2	4	1-2	50%	8-9	89%	3-7	43%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 25	26.4	12	55%	2	4	2	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	21.4	10	63%	8	2	2	1	2	4	3	5	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-

Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 30	28.4	9	75%	4	10	0	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	18.9	6	38%	4	1	1	0	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Otto Porter Jr. #32 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 31	12.9	6	100%	2	2	1	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	12.3	6	60%	4	0	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 24	10.6	3	50%	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 26	4.9	6	100%	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	4.9	3	150%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	4.9	3	150%	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Markquis Nowell #24 · SG · 5'8" 160 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jontay Porter #11 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Respiratory Issue
Garrett Temple #14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	64%	53	43	12	5	17	18	14	39	13-19	68%	37-53	70%	15-38	39%

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27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	30.6	11	46%	2	5	2	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-6	17%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	30.0	14	50%	4	7	0	0	5	3	2	2	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-5	20%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	30.0	12	60%	8	1	4	1	0	2	2	6	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	27.5	14	50%	4	4	0	1	2	1	2	2	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	1-7	14%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	24.4	12	67%	2	1	2	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-1	100%

Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 19	24.6	10	56%	4	2	0	0	1	2	0	4	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	20.7	13	81%	2	2	1	0	2	2	1	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	10.7	7	70%	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Mike Muscala #35 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	7.2	0	0%	6	0	0	0	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	6.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	6.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Ryan Rollins #9 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 21	6.3	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	6.3	7	70%	1	2	2	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Danilo Gallinari #88 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	4.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	Inactive – Rest \| Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	52%	34	25	11	3	16	17	10	24	10-15	67%	34-57	60%	8-33	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.27 63.5%

WAS

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

85%

WAS

75%

Midrange

TOR

45%

WAS

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

22.5

39%

59%

WAS

12.0

24%

36%

Free Throws

TOR

68%

WAS

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Anunoby	26	81%	13.0 / 16
P. Siakam	22	65%	11.0 / 17
S. Barnes	20	63%	10.0 / 16
G. Trent	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Poeltl	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Schröder	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. McDaniels	6	38%	3.0 / 8
O. Porter Jr.	6	100%	3.0 / 3
C. Boucher	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Flynn	6	100%	3.0 / 3
P. Achiuwa	3	50%	1.5 / 3
G. Dick	3	150%	1.5 / 1
T. Young	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	14	50%	7.0 / 14
J. Poole	14	50%	7.0 / 14
C. Kispert	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Gafford	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Avdija	12	67%	6.0 / 9
T. Jones	11	46%	5.5 / 12
B. Coulibaly	10	56%	5.0 / 9
L. Shamet	7	70%	3.5 / 5
E. Omoruyi	7	70%	3.5 / 5
R. Rollins	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Muscala	0	-	0.0 / 3
J. Davis	0	-	0.0 / 1
P. Baldwin	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Gallinari	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 111.9 25 110.3	TOR 126.9 +27.9 WAS 99.0
Pace	12 99.9 1 103.0	TOR 110.3 +13.0 WAS 97.4
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.9 30 13.6	TOR 13.1 −1.7 WAS 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 19 53.8%	TOR 65.4% +14.3% WAS 51.1%
TO %	21 13.4% 19 13.1%	TOR 16.8% WAS 15.0% −1.8%
ORB %	17 24.2% 29 20.0%	TOR 36.8% +16.4% WAS 20.4%
FTrt	16 24.1 27 22.1	TOR 20.9 +4.2 WAS 16.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 67.4% 9 64.9%	TOR 82.7% +23.2% WAS 59.5%
STL %	13 7.7% 19 7.3%	TOR 11.5% +0.8% WAS 10.7%
BLK %	15 9.5% 16 9.4%	TOR 8.8% +3.1% WAS 5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.5% 21 55.8%	TOR 63.5% +12.0% WAS 51.5%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 8 65.7%	TOR 84.8% +9.8% WAS 75.0%
Mid FG%	22 40.8% 28 39.8%	TOR 45.0% +5.0% WAS 40.0%
3P %	27 34.7% 25 34.8%	TOR 39.5% +15.3% WAS 24.2%
FT %	29 75.6% 24 76.4%	TOR 68.4% +1.7% WAS 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 7 35.4%	TOR 36.3% +0.7% WAS 35.6%
Mid Att. %	17 27.5% 8 25.7%	TOR 22.0% −5.8% WAS 27.8%
3P Att. %	26 36.9% 16 38.9%	TOR 41.8% +5.1% WAS 36.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	WAS
Possessions	104	103
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	132	102
Rebounds	53	34
Assists	43	25
Steals	12	11
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	17 (3)	16 (1)
Fouls	18	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (0)	24 (3)
Field Goals	52-91	42-90
At-the-Rim FG	28-33	24-32
Midrange FG	9-20	10-25
2-Point FG	37-53	34-57
3-Point FG	15-38	8-33
Free Throws	13-19	10-15
Fast Break Pts	28	8
2nd Chance Pts	22	5
Points in Paint	62	56
Pts off Turnovers	25	21
Bench Points	42	39
Biggest Lead	31	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg