Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 27, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Bucks	71%	120	144	142.6	101	98.3
	26	Nets	29%	112	122	120.8	101	103.8

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

-10

100

BKN

+22

-9

114

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.44 72.0%

BKN

1.07 53.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	31.7	27	71%	3	10	0	2	3	2	1	2	2-2	100%	8-11	73%	3-7	43%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	30.4	32	84%	10	8	0	2	2	2	2	8	12-17	71%	10-12	83%	0-0	-
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	28.9	12	60%	3	4	0	0	4	0	0	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	3-9	33%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	24.6	2	14%	6	2	0	3	0	3	2	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-6	0%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	22.0	17	94%	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-8	63%

Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	30.9	14	78%	6	4	2	1	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	22.8	18	100%	4	6	2	0	0	4	1	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	5-8	63%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	20.7	11	79%	5	2	1	0	0	2	0	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	18.1	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	3.9	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	1.4	2	100%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	1.4	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Robin Lopez #42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 36	1.4	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Marques Bolden #12 · C · 6'10" 249 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	144	72%	41	41	6	8	10	18	8	33	17-23	74%	29-38	76%	23-51	45%

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3 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	31.7	27	71%	3	10	0	2	3	2	1	2	2-2	100%	8-11	73%	3-7	43%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	30.4	32	84%	10	8	0	2	2	2	2	8	12-17	71%	10-12	83%	0-0	-
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	28.9	12	60%	3	4	0	0	4	0	0	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	3-9	33%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	24.6	2	14%	6	2	0	3	0	3	2	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-6	0%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	22.0	17	94%	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-8	63%

Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	30.9	14	78%	6	4	2	1	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	22.8	18	100%	4	6	2	0	0	4	1	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	5-8	63%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	20.7	11	79%	5	2	1	0	0	2	0	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	18.1	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	3.9	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	1.4	2	100%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	1.4	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Robin Lopez #42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 36	1.4	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Marques Bolden #12 · C · 6'10" 249 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	144	72%	41	41	6	8	10	18	8	33	17-23	74%	29-38	76%	23-51	45%

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26 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dennis Smith Jr. #4 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 26	30.0	14	41%	7	8	1	0	2	0	1	6	0-0	-	7-13	54%	0-4	0%
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · C · 6'10" 265 · 22	16.4	12	86%	4	4	0	1	0	3	2	2	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Mikal Bridges #1 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	12.0	6	75%	3	1	1	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 22	11.9	8	44%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Royce O'Neale #00 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 31	10.0	3	38%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

Jalen Wilson #22 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	29.9	21	66%	10	2	0	0	1	4	7	3	11-11	100%	5-10	50%	0-3	0%
Armoni Brooks #13 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 26	28.9	12	43%	4	2	1	0	2	1	2	2	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	3-9	33%
Trendon Watford #9 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 23	27.9	17	71%	5	4	2	0	1	1	0	5	5-6	83%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Noah Clowney #21 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 19	24.1	14	70%	4	2	0	0	1	3	3	1	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Dariq Whitehead #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 19	21.4	2	20%	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Keon Johnson #45 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	20.9	12	60%	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Harry Giles III #14 · C · 6'10" 240 · 26	6.7	1	13%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Dorian Finney-Smith #28 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Lonnie Walker IV #8 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Ben Simmons #10 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Back; Nerve Impingement
Cameron Johnson #2 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain - Injury Maintenance
Nic Claxton #33 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain- Injury Maintenance
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 31	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	54%	47	29	7	2	9	17	17	30	25-29	86%	38-69	55%	7-32	22%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	BKN
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	BKN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.44 72.0%

BKN

1.07 53.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

86%

BKN

61%

Midrange

MIL

63%

BKN

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

34.5

45%

68%

BKN

10.5

22%

33%

Free Throws

MIL

74%

BKN

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	32	84%	16.0 / 19
K. Middleton	27	71%	13.5 / 19
C. Payne	18	100%	9.0 / 9
M. Beasley	17	94%	8.5 / 9
B. Portis	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. Lillard	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Beauchamp	11	79%	5.5 / 7
P. Connaughton	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Green	3	75%	1.5 / 2
R. Lopez	3	150%	1.5 / 1
B. Lopez	2	14%	1.0 / 7
C. Livingston	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Wilson	21	66%	10.5 / 16
T. Watford	17	71%	8.5 / 12
D. Smith	14	41%	7.0 / 17
N. Clowney	14	70%	7.0 / 10
D. Sharpe	12	86%	6.0 / 7
A. Brooks	12	43%	6.0 / 14
K. Johnson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
C. Thomas	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Bridges	6	75%	3.0 / 4
R. O'Neale	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Whitehead	2	20%	1.0 / 5
H. Giles	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.6 23 112.5	MIL 142.6 +21.8 BKN 120.8
Pace	8 100.6 25 97.6	MIL 98.3 BKN 103.8 +5.6
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.4 9 14.8	MIL 14.7 BKN 13.9 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.8% 25 53.1%	MIL 71.3% +23.3% BKN 48.0%
TO %	10 12.2% 14 12.6%	MIL 9.2% BKN 7.3% −1.9%
ORB %	25 21.8% 8 25.2%	MIL 21.1% BKN 34.0% +12.9%
FTrt	4 27.0 20 23.4	MIL 25.8 BKN 28.7 +2.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 16 63.0%	MIL 78.8% +14.4% BKN 64.4%
STL %	28 6.7% 25 6.9%	MIL 5.9% BKN 6.9% +1.0%
BLK %	28 8.5% 12 9.5%	MIL 11.6% +6.3% BKN 5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.8% 27 54.8%	MIL 72.0% +18.5% BKN 53.5%
Rim FG%	4 67.9% 22 61.9%	MIL 86.4% +25.4% BKN 61.0%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 27 40.1%	MIL 62.5% +16.1% BKN 46.4%
3P %	11 37.3% 19 36.2%	MIL 45.1% +23.2% BKN 21.9%
FT %	19 77.4% 28 75.6%	MIL 73.9% BKN 86.2% +12.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 31.5% 19 32.7%	MIL 24.7% BKN 40.6% +15.9%
Mid Att. %	7 25.4% 10 26.1%	MIL 18.0% −9.7% BKN 27.7%
3P Att. %	4 43.0% 8 41.2%	MIL 57.3% +25.6% BKN 31.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	BKN
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	144	122
Rebounds	41	47
Assists	41	29
Steals	6	7
Blocks	8	2
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	9 (0)
Fouls	18	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	30 (1)
Field Goals	52-89	45-101
At-the-Rim FG	19-22	25-41
Midrange FG	10-16	13-28
2-Point FG	29-38	38-69
3-Point FG	23-51	7-32
Free Throws	17-23	25-29
Fast Break Pts	15	13
2nd Chance Pts	15	25
Points in Paint	48	70
Pts off Turnovers	10	11
Bench Points	54	79
Biggest Lead	22	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg