Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, December 28, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Mavericks	22%	103	110	108.9	101	104.6
	3	Timberwolves	78%	115	118	116.8	101	97.6

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+17

-16

102

MIN

+12

-22

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.08 53.9%

MIN

1.30 64.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 21	30.6	17	47%	2	1	1	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	3-8	38%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	30.4	15	58%	9	0	3	1	1	5	3	6	8-8	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Grant Williams #3 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	30.3	8	44%	3	3	1	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 28	24.1	11	50%	2	6	0	0	4	4	0	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	1-1	100%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	15.0	2	25%	4	2	0	0	2	5	3	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	32.0	32	73%	3	3	2	0	1	2	0	3	5-7	71%	6-8	75%	5-11	45%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	30.1	12	75%	14	6	2	1	1	3	7	7	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	29.9	11	61%	2	3	0	0	3	2	0	2	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	14.6	2	33%	0	5	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Richaun Holmes #20 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Williams #00 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Contusion
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Dislocation
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	39	29	9	3	16	27	13	26	16-19	84%	26-57	46%	14-33	42%

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25 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 21	30.6	17	47%	2	1	1	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	3-8	38%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	30.4	15	58%	9	0	3	1	1	5	3	6	8-8	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Grant Williams #3 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	30.3	8	44%	3	3	1	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 28	24.1	11	50%	2	6	0	0	4	4	0	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	1-1	100%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	15.0	2	25%	4	2	0	0	2	5	3	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	32.0	32	73%	3	3	2	0	1	2	0	3	5-7	71%	6-8	75%	5-11	45%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	30.1	12	75%	14	6	2	1	1	3	7	7	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	29.9	11	61%	2	3	0	0	3	2	0	2	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	14.6	2	33%	0	5	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Richaun Holmes #20 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Williams #00 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Contusion
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Dislocation
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	39	29	9	3	16	27	13	26	16-19	84%	26-57	46%	14-33	42%

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3 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	37.9	44	71%	3	4	3	1	6	2	0	3	14-18	78%	6-12	50%	6-11	55%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	37.6	20	100%	11	2	0	3	2	2	2	9	6-7	86%	7-7	100%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	33.7	12	75%	0	0	1	4	2	3	0	0	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	28.4	10	63%	2	6	0	1	1	5	1	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	27.2	10	36%	8	3	0	0	5	5	2	6	2-4	50%	1-6	17%	2-6	33%

Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	27.0	8	44%	10	3	0	0	3	0	1	9	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	23.7	3	50%	0	3	4	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	18.3	9	90%	4	2	0	0	3	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	6.3	2	100%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	65%	38	23	9	10	22	21	6	32	25-34	74%	21-41	51%	17-33	52%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	MIN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.08 53.9%

MIN

1.30 64.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

48%

MIN

73%

Midrange

DAL

42%

MIN

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

21.0

42%

64%

MIN

25.5

52%

77%

Free Throws

DAL

84%

MIN

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Hardaway	32	73%	16.0 / 22
J. Hardy	17	47%	8.5 / 18
D. Jones	15	58%	7.5 / 13
D. Powell	12	75%	6.0 / 8
D. Exum	11	50%	5.5 / 11
S. Curry	11	61%	5.5 / 9
G. Williams	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Lively	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Green	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Morris	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	44	71%	22.0 / 31
R. Gobert	20	100%	10.0 / 10
J. McDaniels	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Conley	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Towns	10	36%	5.0 / 14
N. Reid	9	90%	4.5 / 5
K. Anderson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
N. Alexander-Walker	3	50%	1.5 / 3
T. Brown Jr.	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.0 17 114.7	DAL 108.9 MIN 116.8 +7.9
Pace	7 100.6 22 97.9	DAL 104.6 +7.0 MIN 97.6
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 3 15.0	DAL 13.8 −1.0 MIN 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.2% 10 55.9%	DAL 52.2% MIN 62.8% +10.6%
TO %	5 12.0% 22 13.6%	DAL 15.5% −4.3% MIN 19.8%
ORB %	24 22.2% 22 23.1%	DAL 28.9% +10.1% MIN 18.8%
FTrt	13 25.1 5 27.0	DAL 21.1 MIN 45.9 +24.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 12 64.6%	DAL 72.5% +12.0% MIN 60.5%
STL %	27 6.8% 6 8.0%	DAL 8.9% MIN 8.9%
BLK %	26 8.7% 4 11.0%	DAL 7.3% MIN 17.5% +10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 58.1% 10 57.7%	DAL 53.9% MIN 64.8% +10.9%
Rim FG%	3 68.0% 15 64.3%	DAL 48.4% MIN 73.3% +24.9%
Mid FG%	10 44.7% 16 42.6%	DAL 42.3% +3.8% MIN 38.5%
3P %	13 36.9% 3 38.7%	DAL 42.4% MIN 51.5% +9.1%
FT %	27 75.8% 18 77.7%	DAL 84.2% +10.7% MIN 73.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 29.3% 14 34.1%	DAL 34.4% +14.2% MIN 20.3%
Mid Att. %	13 26.6% 16 27.5%	DAL 28.9% −6.2% MIN 35.1%
3P Att. %	2 44.1% 17 38.4%	DAL 36.7% MIN 44.6% +7.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	MIN
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	110	118
Rebounds	39	38
Assists	29	23
Steals	9	9
Blocks	3	10
Turnovers (Team)	16 (2)	22 (0)
Fouls	27	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	6 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (3)	32 (2)
Field Goals	40-90	38-74
At-the-Rim FG	15-31	11-15
Midrange FG	11-26	10-26
2-Point FG	26-57	21-41
3-Point FG	14-33	17-33
Free Throws	16-19	25-34
Fast Break Pts	9	13
2nd Chance Pts	16	15
Points in Paint	38	34
Pts off Turnovers	29	22
Bench Points	57	22
Biggest Lead	3	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg