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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 28, 2023
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Grizzlies30%105105
3Nuggets70%113142
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.3
30
28
5
11
2
0
1
0
0
4
7
2-2
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
56%
1-4
25%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 24.3
28
31
14
4
2
2
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
4-11
5-10
36%
54%
1-3
33%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
25
35
23
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
6-8
5-10
75%
53%
3-5
60%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.8
23
24
17
3
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
4-8
2-4
50%
52%
2-6
33%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 31.3
22
22
2
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
57%
0-0
-
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 22.8
29
13
15
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-8
50%
4-7
1-2
57%
52%
1-2
50%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.8
25
10
10
7
3
2
0
1
1
3
4
1-1
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
55%
1-5
20%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 22.3
24
16
7
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
54%
1-3
33%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 25.0
22
21
6
3
4
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
56%
1-4
25%
Jacob Gilyard
G · 5'9" 160 · 25.5
12
6
6
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
2-3
67%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.4
33
1
7-14
51%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 23.0
16
0
2-3
55%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 35.2
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 19.0
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 22.1
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.4
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.5
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 27.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.9
30
35
26
14
10
0
1
1
3
0
14
3-3
100%
10-10
9-14
100%
63%
1-1
100%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.8
26
31
23
3
9
2
1
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
5-6
6-11
83%
53%
4-6
67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.9
25
31
12
2
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
2-5
40%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.3
23
19
20
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
57%
4-10
40%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.5
23
34
8
4
0
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
59%
2-3
67%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.7
25
12
12
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
53%
2-8
25%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
23
15
11
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
3-6
2-3
50%
56%
1-2
50%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.7
18
5
8
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.7
17
16
9
2
7
1
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
1-1
100%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.4
13
4
4
9
2
0
0
2
0
5
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
68%
0-0
-
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.9
7
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
63%
0-0
-
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.0
6
9
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
62%
0-0
-
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.2
6
2
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
1-2
50%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.5
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.3
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.7
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.