Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 29, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Kings	43%	121	117	117.0	100	101.4
	9	Hawks	57%	123	110	110.0	100	98.7

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

-12

ATL

+21

-15

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.21 60.3%

ATL

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	40.8	31	67%	5	8	5	0	3	3	1	4	3-7	43%	2-4	50%	8-16	50%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	36.3	9	38%	5	0	2	2	0	5	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	35.1	25	66%	10	7	0	0	1	2	2	8	1-4	25%	12-17	71%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	11.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	9.8	7	58%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	30.7	15	75%	4	8	1	1	5	3	0	4	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	25.0	19	79%	6	1	0	0	2	3	0	6	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	4-9	44%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	24.6	5	50%	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	13.0	2	33%	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	12.9	2	50%	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	60%	38	35	9	4	12	20	5	33	8-15	53%	29-44	66%	17-45	38%

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14 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	40.8	31	67%	5	8	5	0	3	3	1	4	3-7	43%	2-4	50%	8-16	50%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	36.3	9	38%	5	0	2	2	0	5	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	35.1	25	66%	10	7	0	0	1	2	2	8	1-4	25%	12-17	71%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	11.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	9.8	7	58%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	30.7	15	75%	4	8	1	1	5	3	0	4	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	25.0	19	79%	6	1	0	0	2	3	0	6	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	4-9	44%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	24.6	5	50%	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	13.0	2	33%	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	12.9	2	50%	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	60%	38	35	9	4	12	20	5	33	8-15	53%	29-44	66%	17-45	38%

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9 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	38.5	24	60%	3	9	4	0	4	4	1	2	7-7	100%	4-8	50%	3-10	30%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	36.8	18	45%	6	3	1	0	3	3	1	5	0-0	-	3-12	25%	4-8	50%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	35.1	16	53%	15	4	0	1	4	2	2	13	5-6	83%	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	32.5	15	47%	7	4	1	0	1	2	5	2	4-4	100%	1-6	17%	3-8	38%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	28.2	12	75%	12	3	1	2	2	1	6	6	2-4	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	26.8	12	40%	4	5	0	0	1	1	2	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-10	20%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	22.8	7	50%	3	1	1	1	0	2	1	2	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	11.2	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	8.2	3	75%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	52%	51	29	9	3	15	16	18	33	21-25	84%	22-51	43%	15-43	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	ATL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.21 60.3%

ATL

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

68%

ATL

47%

Midrange

SAC

62%

ATL

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

25.5

38%

57%

ATL

22.5

35%

52%

Free Throws

SAC

53%

ATL

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	31	67%	15.5 / 23
D. Sabonis	25	66%	12.5 / 19
T. Lyles	19	79%	9.5 / 12
M. Monk	15	75%	7.5 / 10
K. Murray	9	38%	4.5 / 12
K. Huerter	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Duarte	5	50%	2.5 / 5
H. Barnes	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Mitchell	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Len	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	24	60%	12.0 / 20
D. Murray	18	45%	9.0 / 20
J. Johnson	16	53%	8.0 / 15
S. Bey	15	47%	7.5 / 16
C. Capela	12	75%	6.0 / 8
B. Bogdanović	12	40%	6.0 / 15
O. Okongwu	7	50%	3.5 / 7
P. Mills	3	150%	1.5 / 1
G. Mathews	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 12 116.4	SAC 117.0 +7.0 ATL 110.0
Pace	14 99.4 6 100.9	SAC 101.4 +2.7 ATL 98.7
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 21 14.2	SAC 14.2 −0.4 ATL 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 17 53.9%	SAC 61.2% +13.9% ATL 47.3%
TO %	12 12.5% 13 12.5%	SAC 11.2% −1.3% ATL 12.5%
ORB %	14 24.5% 5 27.1%	SAC 13.2% ATL 35.3% +22.1%
FTrt	22 22.9 12 25.1	SAC 16.9 ATL 26.6 +9.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 19 61.8%	SAC 76.1% ATL 78.4% +2.3%
STL %	14 7.6% 18 7.4%	SAC 9.0% ATL 9.0%
BLK %	27 8.6% 21 9.0%	SAC 7.8% +1.0% ATL 6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 16 56.3%	SAC 60.3% +8.4% ATL 51.9%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 28 60.3%	SAC 67.7% +20.6% ATL 47.1%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 6 45.2%	SAC 61.5% +26.2% ATL 35.3%
3P %	16 36.6% 17 36.4%	SAC 37.8% +2.9% ATL 34.9%
FT %	30 74.5% 8 79.7%	SAC 53.3% ATL 84.0% +30.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 18 32.8%	SAC 34.8% ATL 36.2% +1.3%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 11 26.5%	SAC 14.6% −3.5% ATL 18.1%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 9 40.8%	SAC 50.6% +4.8% ATL 45.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	ATL
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	117	110
Rebounds	38	51
Assists	35	29
Steals	9	9
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	20	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (4)	18 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (4)	33 (5)
Field Goals	46-89	37-94
At-the-Rim FG	21-31	16-34
Midrange FG	8-13	6-17
2-Point FG	29-44	22-51
3-Point FG	17-45	15-43
Free Throws	8-15	21-25
Fast Break Pts	8	11
2nd Chance Pts	11	26
Points in Paint	52	40
Pts off Turnovers	9	17
Bench Points	43	25
Biggest Lead	7	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg