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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 29, 2023
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Thunder48%113119
3Nuggets52%11493
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 24.7
32
29
4
4
1
3
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 22.7
31
30
11
7
9
2
1
1
3
1
6
1-2
50%
2-5
5-9
40%
57%
2-5
40%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 21.7
28
29
24
6
3
0
1
2
2
3
3
2-2
100%
5-10
5-8
50%
61%
4-4
100%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 21.2
21
24
12
8
4
1
1
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 25.5
33
34
40
4
3
2
2
1
1
0
4
10-10
100%
12-17
9-16
71%
55%
2-3
67%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.1
18
22
4
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
57%
0-2
0%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
17
7
0
8
4
1
0
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-2
0%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.1
15
18
5
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
56%
1-4
25%
Vasilije Micic
G · 6'4" 188 · 30.0
14
7
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 24.5
13
17
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
1-5
20%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
12
13
7
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
58%
1-1
100%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
3
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
61%
1-2
50%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.9
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
61%
0-0
-
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 22.9
5
0
0-1
47%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 31.1
3
0
0-0
56%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 22.0
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 20.6
Keyontae Johnson
F · 6'6" 230 · 23.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.5
31
29
12
6
1
0
1
1
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
57%
2-8
25%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.3
32
21
14
2
2
1
1
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
5-6
2-4
83%
56%
1-6
17%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.9
32
33
19
10
7
1
1
1
7
2
8
0-0
-
8-9
8-13
89%
62%
1-1
100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.9
27
28
8
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.8
36
29
9
3
11
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-1
0%
3-9
5-10
33%
51%
1-6
17%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
17
19
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
54%
0-2
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.7
16
12
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.7
15
16
8
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
2-5
40%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.4
13
8
6
8
1
1
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
67%
0-0
-
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.7
12
18
10
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
1-4
25%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.0
3
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
61%
0-0
-
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.2
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
54%
0-0
-
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.9
3
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.5
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.3
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.3
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.