Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 29, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Thunder	48%	113	119	119.0	100	93.7
	3	Nuggets	52%	114	93	93.0	100	107.9

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+13

-11

102

DEN

+10

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.17 58.3%

DEN

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 25	33.4	40	80%	4	3	2	1	1	3	0	4	10-10	100%	12-17	71%	2-3	67%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	32.5	4	33%	4	1	3	1	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 23	30.9	11	50%	7	9	2	1	3	2	1	6	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22	28.4	24	80%	6	3	0	2	2	1	3	3	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	4-4	100%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 21	21.3	12	60%	8	4	1	0	3	1	2	6	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-1	0%

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 20	17.6	4	40%	3	2	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	16.8	0	0%	8	4	1	1	0	3	0	8	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	14.8	5	36%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Vasilije Micić #29 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 30	13.7	2	25%	1	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 24	13.3	5	42%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	12.0	7	70%	5	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	2.7	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	2.7	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Davis Bertans #9 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 22	INACTIVE
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keyontae Johnson #18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	58%	51	29	10	8	11	20	10	41	15-16	94%	34-56	61%	12-35	34%

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4 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 25	33.4	40	80%	4	3	2	1	1	3	0	4	10-10	100%	12-17	71%	2-3	67%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	32.5	4	33%	4	1	3	1	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 23	30.9	11	50%	7	9	2	1	3	2	1	6	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22	28.4	24	80%	6	3	0	2	2	1	3	3	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	4-4	100%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 21	21.3	12	60%	8	4	1	0	3	1	2	6	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-1	0%

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 20	17.6	4	40%	3	2	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	16.8	0	0%	8	4	1	1	0	3	0	8	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	14.8	5	36%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Vasilije Micić #29 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 30	13.7	2	25%	1	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 24	13.3	5	42%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	12.0	7	70%	5	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	2.7	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	2.7	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Davis Bertans #9 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 22	INACTIVE
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keyontae Johnson #18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	58%	51	29	10	8	11	20	10	41	15-16	94%	34-56	61%	12-35	34%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	35.6	9	30%	3	11	1	1	2	1	0	3	0-1	0%	3-9	33%	1-6	17%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 21	32.4	14	54%	2	2	1	2	1	4	0	2	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	1-6	17%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	31.5	19	95%	10	7	1	1	7	2	2	8	0-0	-	8-9	89%	1-1	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	30.8	12	46%	6	1	0	1	0	1	0	6	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-8	25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	27.2	8	80%	0	2	1	0	1	3	0	0	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	16.7	4	40%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	15.7	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	15.3	8	40%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-5	40%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	13.1	6	75%	8	1	1	0	1	0	3	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	11.6	10	56%	1	0	0	0	3	3	0	1	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	3.4	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Face/hand; Lacerations
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	50%	36	30	6	5	16	17	5	31	11-15	73%	26-48	54%	10-37	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.17 58.3%

DEN

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

54%

DEN

63%

Midrange

OKC

68%

DEN

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

18.0

34%

51%

DEN

15.0

27%

41%

Free Throws

OKC

94%

DEN

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	40	80%	20.0 / 25
C. Holmgren	24	80%	12.0 / 15
J. Giddey	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Williams	11	50%	5.5 / 11
A. Wiggins	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Williams	5	36%	2.5 / 7
I. Joe	5	42%	2.5 / 6
L. Dort	4	33%	2.0 / 6
C. Wallace	4	40%	2.0 / 5
L. Waters	3	75%	1.5 / 2
V. Micić	2	25%	1.0 / 4
O. Sarr	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	19	95%	9.5 / 10
P. Watson	14	54%	7.0 / 13
M. Porter	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Strawther	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Murray	9	30%	4.5 / 15
K. Caldwell-Pope	8	80%	4.0 / 5
R. Jackson	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Jordan	6	75%	3.0 / 4
C. Braun	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Key	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 3
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.3 5 117.9	OKC 119.0 +26.0 DEN 93.0
Pace	5 100.9 26 97.4	OKC 93.7 DEN 107.9 +14.2
Avg. Poss. Time	27 14.0 4 15.0	OKC 15.4 DEN 13.3 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 57.3% 8 56.2%	OKC 57.1% +8.9% DEN 48.2%
TO %	3 11.7% 7 12.1%	OKC 10.9% −4.8% DEN 15.7%
ORB %	28 21.1% 6 25.5%	OKC 24.4% +13.5% DEN 10.9%
FTrt	17 24.0 24 22.4	OKC 17.6 DEN 17.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.9% 5 66.9%	OKC 63.0% DEN 83.3% +20.3%
STL %	3 8.3% 20 7.3%	OKC 10.0% +4.0% DEN 6.0%
BLK %	2 11.3% 25 8.7%	OKC 16.7% +7.8% DEN 8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 59.2% 11 57.5%	OKC 58.3% +8.8% DEN 49.5%
Rim FG%	10 65.4% 17 63.6%	OKC 53.6% DEN 63.0% +9.4%
Mid FG%	4 46.6% 3 47.0%	OKC 67.9% +25.0% DEN 42.9%
3P %	1 38.9% 10 37.4%	OKC 34.3% +7.3% DEN 27.0%
FT %	4 82.5% 25 76.2%	OKC 93.8% +20.5% DEN 73.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 33.2% 4 36.0%	OKC 30.8% DEN 31.8% +1.0%
Mid Att. %	24 28.5% 25 28.8%	OKC 30.8% DEN 24.7% −6.1%
3P Att. %	18 38.3% 30 35.2%	OKC 38.5% DEN 43.5% +5.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	DEN
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.2
Points	119	93
Rebounds	51	36
Assists	29	30
Steals	10	6
Blocks	8	5
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls	20	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	5 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (1)	31 (2)
Field Goals	46-91	36-85
At-the-Rim FG	15-28	17-27
Midrange FG	19-28	9-21
2-Point FG	34-56	26-48
3-Point FG	12-35	10-37
Free Throws	15-16	11-15
Fast Break Pts	25	13
2nd Chance Pts	11	7
Points in Paint	46	48
Pts off Turnovers	25	14
Bench Points	28	31
Biggest Lead	26	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg