Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 29, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Spurs	39%	109	128	123.1	104	110.1
	27	Blazers	61%	114	134	130.1	103	97.6

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+18

-14

108

POR

+19

-14

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.19 59.3%

POR

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	31.3	22	61%	3	5	4	1	0	1	0	3	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	3-6	50%
Malaki Branham #22 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 21	28.8	11	46%	6	3	1	0	3	1	3	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	28.6	2	25%	4	4	1	0	3	2	1	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 26	18.4	17	77%	3	2	0	1	1	3	1	2	1-3	33%	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	11.7	7	50%	3	0	1	1	1	1	2	1	4-5	80%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	32.2	29	63%	7	7	1	0	1	4	2	5	8-11	73%	6-10	60%	3-8	38%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	26.9	14	78%	8	5	0	0	3	2	3	5	0-0	-	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	22.6	18	100%	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	6-8	75%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	17.7	4	50%	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	14.3	2	17%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	7.5	2	50%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| “”; Illness
Victor Wembanyama #1 · PF · 7'4" 235 · 20	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	59%	42	31	9	6	14	19	13	29	18-25	72%	34-61	56%	14-33	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	31.3	22	61%	3	5	4	1	0	1	0	3	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	3-6	50%
Malaki Branham #22 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 21	28.8	11	46%	6	3	1	0	3	1	3	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	28.6	2	25%	4	4	1	0	3	2	1	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 26	18.4	17	77%	3	2	0	1	1	3	1	2	1-3	33%	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	11.7	7	50%	3	0	1	1	1	1	2	1	4-5	80%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	32.2	29	63%	7	7	1	0	1	4	2	5	8-11	73%	6-10	60%	3-8	38%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	26.9	14	78%	8	5	0	0	3	2	3	5	0-0	-	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	22.6	18	100%	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	6-8	75%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	17.7	4	50%	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	14.3	2	17%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	7.5	2	50%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| “”; Illness
Victor Wembanyama #1 · PF · 7'4" 235 · 20	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	59%	42	31	9	6	14	19	13	29	18-25	72%	34-61	56%	14-33	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

27 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	39.4	27	71%	6	4	0	0	4	2	0	6	5-6	83%	5-12	42%	4-5	80%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	36.7	22	50%	7	11	1	1	4	5	4	3	1-2	50%	6-16	38%	3-5	60%
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · SG · 6'5" 229 · 31	36.6	27	68%	1	7	1	0	1	2	0	1	4-4	100%	4-11	36%	5-7	71%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	36.4	13	54%	11	2	3	0	3	1	4	7	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	3.7	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	29.8	25	74%	9	1	1	1	1	4	6	3	10-13	77%	6-9	67%	1-2	50%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	27.4	7	58%	1	0	1	2	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Skylar Mays #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	19.7	11	55%	2	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-1	100%
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	10.3	2	100%	2	1	0	2	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	62%	43	28	8	3	14	19	16	27	22-27	81%	32-68	47%	16-27	59%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	POR
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	POR

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.19 59.3%

POR

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

65%

POR

54%

Midrange

SAS

33%

POR

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

21.0

42%

64%

POR

24.0

59%

89%

Free Throws

SAS

72%

POR

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	29	63%	14.5 / 23
D. Vassell	22	61%	11.0 / 18
D. McDermott	18	100%	9.0 / 9
Z. Collins	17	77%	8.5 / 11
T. Jones	14	78%	7.0 / 9
M. Branham	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Champagnie	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Osman	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Sochan	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Barlow	2	17%	1.0 / 6
S. Mamukelashvili	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Grant	27	71%	13.5 / 19
M. Brogdon	27	68%	13.5 / 20
J. Walker	25	74%	12.5 / 17
S. Henderson	22	50%	11.0 / 22
T. Camara	13	54%	6.5 / 12
S. Mays	11	55%	5.5 / 10
M. Thybulle	7	58%	3.5 / 6
I. Badji	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Brown	0	-	0.0 / 0

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.4 29 107.7	SAS 123.1 POR 130.1 +7.0
Pace	3 101.7 21 97.9	SAS 110.1 +12.5 POR 97.6
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.1 15 14.6	SAS 13.1 −1.7 POR 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.2% 30 50.3%	SAS 58.5% POR 58.9% +0.4%
TO %	26 14.3% 29 14.6%	SAS 11.8% POR 11.6% −0.2%
ORB %	23 22.9% 3 27.5%	SAS 32.5% POR 35.6% +3.1%
FTrt	28 22.0 23 22.8	SAS 26.6 POR 28.4 +1.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.2% 30 58.7%	SAS 64.6% +6.3% POR 58.3%
STL %	23 6.9% 12 7.7%	SAS 8.7% +0.9% POR 7.8%
BLK %	10 9.7% 20 9.0%	SAS 8.8% +3.9% POR 4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.1% 30 52.6%	SAS 59.3% POR 62.0% +2.7%
Rim FG%	16 64.1% 29 58.1%	SAS 65.1% +11.1% POR 54.0%
Mid FG%	24 40.5% 30 38.7%	SAS 33.3% +5.5% POR 27.8%
3P %	28 34.7% 30 34.5%	SAS 42.4% POR 59.3% +16.9%
FT %	14 78.2% 9 79.1%	SAS 72.0% POR 81.5% +9.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 34.2% 11 34.7%	SAS 45.7% POR 52.6% +6.9%
Mid Att. %	9 25.7% 23 28.3%	SAS 19.1% POR 18.9% −0.2%
3P Att. %	12 40.1% 24 37.0%	SAS 35.1% +6.7% POR 28.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	SAS	POR
Possessions	104	103
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	128	134
Rebounds	42	43
Assists	31	28
Steals	9	8
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	19	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (5)	16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	27 (3)
Field Goals	48-94	48-95
At-the-Rim FG	28-43	27-50
Midrange FG	6-18	5-18
2-Point FG	34-61	32-68
3-Point FG	14-33	16-27
Free Throws	18-25	22-27
Fast Break Pts	23	7
2nd Chance Pts	22	18
Points in Paint	62	60
Pts off Turnovers	23	18
Bench Points	69	45
Biggest Lead	5	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg