Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 2, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Spurs	26%	107	98	100.0	98	104.9
	20	Grizzlies	74%	116	106	109.3	97	91.0

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+14

-14

MEM

+10

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.00 50.0%

MEM

1.14 57.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	34.1	11	61%	2	3	1	1	2	2	1	1	4-5	80%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	27.7	12	75%	2	1	0	2	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	26.1	20	56%	7	1	0	4	1	0	0	7	2-4	50%	6-11	55%	2-5	40%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	22.5	12	86%	4	2	1	0	1	4	0	4	3-3	100%	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Malaki Branham #22 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 21	7.5	2	20%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	31.2	19	53%	6	4	1	0	3	4	1	5	4-5	80%	6-12	50%	1-4	25%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	25.0	2	17%	4	4	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	21.4	10	56%	1	1	2	0	1	4	0	1	0-2	0%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	16.2	3	38%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	13.8	4	33%	7	2	0	0	2	4	4	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	12.5	0	0%	6	2	0	0	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	2.0	3	150%	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mamadi Diakite #29 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	50%	40	21	6	8	14	24	6	34	16-23	70%	26-54	48%	10-31	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	34.1	11	61%	2	3	1	1	2	2	1	1	4-5	80%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	27.7	12	75%	2	1	0	2	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	26.1	20	56%	7	1	0	4	1	0	0	7	2-4	50%	6-11	55%	2-5	40%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	22.5	12	86%	4	2	1	0	1	4	0	4	3-3	100%	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Malaki Branham #22 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 21	7.5	2	20%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	31.2	19	53%	6	4	1	0	3	4	1	5	4-5	80%	6-12	50%	1-4	25%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	25.0	2	17%	4	4	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	21.4	10	56%	1	1	2	0	1	4	0	1	0-2	0%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	16.2	3	38%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	13.8	4	33%	7	2	0	0	2	4	4	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	12.5	0	0%	6	2	0	0	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	2.0	3	150%	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mamadi Diakite #29 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	50%	40	21	6	8	14	24	6	34	16-23	70%	26-54	48%	10-31	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

20 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	35.3	26	62%	5	10	1	0	4	3	0	5	9-12	75%	4-6	67%	3-9	33%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	34.3	24	71%	3	2	0	0	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	9-11	82%	2-6	33%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 24	32.0	10	31%	7	1	3	4	1	4	1	6	3-4	75%	2-10	20%	1-4	25%
Marcus Smart #36 · SF · 6'3" 220 · 30	29.7	5	28%	2	3	0	0	3	3	1	1	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 31	27.9	4	50%	8	1	1	3	2	4	2	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	28.1	13	93%	11	0	0	1	0	1	2	9	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	22.0	8	67%	5	2	0	0	2	5	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	20.7	12	86%	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	4	3-3	100%	0-0	-	3-7	43%
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	8.6	4	50%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	57%	46	24	5	8	15	23	8	38	20-25	80%	25-42	60%	12-38	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.00 50.0%

MEM

1.14 57.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

64%

MEM

72%

Midrange

SAS

34%

MEM

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

15.0

32%

48%

MEM

18.0

32%

47%

Free Throws

SAS

70%

MEM

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	20	56%	10.0 / 18
K. Johnson	19	53%	9.5 / 18
J. Sochan	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Champagnie	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. Vassell	11	61%	5.5 / 9
B. Wesley	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Barlow	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. McDermott	3	38%	1.5 / 4
S. Mamukelashvili	3	150%	1.5 / 1
M. Branham	2	20%	1.0 / 5
T. Jones	2	17%	1.0 / 6
C. Osman	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	26	62%	13.0 / 21
D. Bane	24	71%	12.0 / 17
S. Aldama	13	93%	6.5 / 7
L. Kennard	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Jackson	10	31%	5.0 / 16
V. Williams	8	67%	4.0 / 6
M. Smart	5	28%	2.5 / 9
B. Biyombo	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Rose	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.4 30 106.8	SAS 100.0 MEM 109.3 +9.3
Pace	3 101.7 17 98.6	SAS 104.9 +13.9 MEM 91.0
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.1 11 14.8	SAS 13.7 −2.1 MEM 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.2% 29 50.9%	SAS 48.2% MEM 53.8% +5.6%
TO %	26 14.3% 27 14.3%	SAS 14.4% MEM 14.2% −0.2%
ORB %	23 22.9% 19 23.8%	SAS 13.6% MEM 19.0% +5.4%
FTrt	28 22.0 18 23.8	SAS 27.1 MEM 31.3 +4.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.2% 13 64.4%	SAS 58.3% MEM 64.9% +6.6%
STL %	23 6.9% 5 8.3%	SAS 6.1% +0.9% MEM 5.2%
BLK %	10 9.7% 1 11.9%	SAS 19.0% +4.2% MEM 14.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.1% 29 52.9%	SAS 50.0% MEM 57.0% +7.0%
Rim FG%	16 64.1% 30 57.8%	SAS 64.0% MEM 72.2% +8.2%
Mid FG%	24 40.5% 26 40.3%	SAS 34.5% MEM 50.0% +15.5%
3P %	28 34.7% 29 34.6%	SAS 32.3% +0.7% MEM 31.6%
FT %	14 78.2% 23 76.4%	SAS 69.6% MEM 80.0% +10.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 34.2% 21 32.3%	SAS 29.4% +6.9% MEM 22.5%
Mid Att. %	9 25.7% 4 24.9%	SAS 34.1% MEM 30.0% −4.1%
3P Att. %	12 40.1% 5 42.8%	SAS 36.5% MEM 47.5% +11.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Game Totals	SAS	MEM
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	98	106
Rebounds	40	46
Assists	21	24
Steals	6	5
Blocks	8	8
Turnovers (Team)	14 (2)	15 (0)
Fouls	24	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (8)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	38 (1)
Field Goals	36-85	37-80
At-the-Rim FG	16-25	13-18
Midrange FG	10-29	12-24
2-Point FG	26-54	25-42
3-Point FG	10-31	12-38
Free Throws	16-23	20-25
Fast Break Pts	5	2
2nd Chance Pts	8	13
Points in Paint	44	44
Pts off Turnovers	21	12
Bench Points	41	37
Biggest Lead	3	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg