Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 2, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Hornets	16%	108	111	109.9	101	87.9
	15	Kings	84%	122	104	103.0	101	118.7

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

-14

SAC

+21

-20

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.21 60.3%

SAC

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 26	40.1	27	68%	5	3	1	2	3	0	0	5	6-6	100%	6-12	50%	3-6	50%
Terry Rozier #3 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	36.3	34	65%	3	6	1	2	2	3	0	3	5-6	83%	10-13	77%	3-11	27%
Cody Martin #11 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 28	32.8	10	45%	2	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	26.1	7	70%	10	1	1	2	2	2	1	9	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Bryce McGowens #7 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 21	21.4	4	50%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	29.1	17	65%	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-6	50%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	18.3	4	50%	6	4	1	0	4	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Nathan Mensah #31 · C · 6'10" 230 · 26	15.7	0	0%	1	0	2	2	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 20	14.1	6	100%	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 21	6.2	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21
James Bouknight #2 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23
Amari Bailey #10 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Leaky Black #12 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Frank Ntilikina #44 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Non-displaced fracture
Gordon Hayward #20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	60%	35	23	8	10	14	15	4	31	15-19	79%	30-48	63%	12-34	35%

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30 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 26	40.1	27	68%	5	3	1	2	3	0	0	5	6-6	100%	6-12	50%	3-6	50%
Terry Rozier #3 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	36.3	34	65%	3	6	1	2	2	3	0	3	5-6	83%	10-13	77%	3-11	27%
Cody Martin #11 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 28	32.8	10	45%	2	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	26.1	7	70%	10	1	1	2	2	2	1	9	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Bryce McGowens #7 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 21	21.4	4	50%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	29.1	17	65%	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-6	50%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	18.3	4	50%	6	4	1	0	4	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Nathan Mensah #31 · C · 6'10" 230 · 26	15.7	0	0%	1	0	2	2	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 20	14.1	6	100%	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 21	6.2	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21
James Bouknight #2 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23
Amari Bailey #10 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Leaky Black #12 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Frank Ntilikina #44 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Non-displaced fracture
Gordon Hayward #20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	60%	35	23	8	10	14	15	4	31	15-19	79%	30-48	63%	12-34	35%

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15 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	37.8	30	54%	5	6	1	1	3	2	0	5	5-8	63%	8-15	53%	3-10	30%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	37.5	10	38%	3	2	3	0	1	5	1	2	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	34.8	23	55%	19	4	1	0	11	5	9	10	0-1	0%	10-20	50%	1-1	100%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	29.5	12	55%	7	4	1	0	1	1	4	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	23.8	3	75%	1	1	2	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	20.0	6	43%	3	2	0	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	16.6	9	75%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	14.5	4	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	13.0	3	75%	4	3	0	0	1	2	0	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	12.3	4	40%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 31	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	INACTIVE
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	INACTIVE
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	51%	48	23	8	2	20	23	15	33	10-17	59%	26-56	46%	14-36	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.21 60.3%

SAC

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

59%

SAC

55%

Midrange

CHA

67%

SAC

21%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

18.0

35%

53%

SAC

21.0

39%

58%

Free Throws

CHA

79%

SAC

59%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Rozier	34	65%	17.0 / 26
M. Bridges	27	68%	13.5 / 20
P. Washington	17	65%	8.5 / 13
C. Martin	10	45%	5.0 / 11
N. Richards	7	70%	3.5 / 5
N. Smith	6	100%	3.0 / 3
B. McGowens	4	50%	2.0 / 4
I. Smith	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Thor	2	50%	1.0 / 2
N. Mensah	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	30	54%	15.0 / 28
D. Sabonis	23	55%	11.5 / 21
C. Duarte	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Murray	10	38%	5.0 / 13
T. Lyles	9	75%	4.5 / 6
M. Monk	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Mitchell	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Huerter	4	40%	2.0 / 5
H. Barnes	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Len	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 108.7 13 116.3	CHA 109.9 +6.9 SAC 103.0
Pace	23 97.8 14 99.4	CHA 87.9 SAC 118.7 +30.8
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 26 14.1	CHA 16.4 SAC 12.1 −4.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 52.9% 14 55.6%	CHA 58.5% +7.4% SAC 51.1%
TO %	20 13.2% 12 12.5%	CHA 14.2% −3.2% SAC 17.4%
ORB %	27 21.1% 14 24.5%	CHA 10.8% SAC 32.6% +21.8%
FTrt	30 21.2 22 22.9	CHA 23.2 +4.7 SAC 18.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 62.0% 7 65.4%	CHA 54.8% SAC 57.5% +2.7%
STL %	22 7.0% 14 7.6%	CHA 7.9% SAC 7.9%
BLK %	29 8.5% 27 8.6%	CHA 17.9% +13.7% SAC 4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 54.6% 14 57.0%	CHA 60.3% +9.3% SAC 51.0%
Rim FG%	20 63.0% 6 66.0%	CHA 59.3% +4.5% SAC 54.8%
Mid FG%	23 40.5% 9 44.9%	CHA 66.7% +45.3% SAC 21.4%
3P %	21 35.5% 16 36.6%	CHA 35.3% SAC 38.9% +3.6%
FT %	11 78.6% 30 74.5%	CHA 78.9% +20.1% SAC 58.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 33.2% 27 30.0%	CHA 32.9% SAC 45.7% +12.7%
Mid Att. %	19 27.7% 14 26.8%	CHA 25.6% SAC 15.2% −10.4%
3P Att. %	15 39.1% 3 43.2%	CHA 41.5% +2.3% SAC 39.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	SAC
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	27.6	20.4
Points	111	104
Rebounds	35	48
Assists	23	23
Steals	8	8
Blocks	10	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	20 (1)
Fouls	15	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (1)	15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (4)	33 (4)
Field Goals	42-82	40-92
At-the-Rim FG	16-27	23-42
Midrange FG	14-21	3-14
2-Point FG	30-48	26-56
3-Point FG	12-34	14-36
Free Throws	15-19	10-17
Fast Break Pts	12	11
2nd Chance Pts	2	22
Points in Paint	48	48
Pts off Turnovers	17	15
Bench Points	29	26
Biggest Lead	7	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg