Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 3, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Bucks	61%	127	130	122.6	106	104.5
	21	Pacers	39%	123	142	132.7	107	108.6

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+12

-13

105

IND

+11

-10

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.25 62.5%

IND

1.31 65.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	36.1	23	55%	2	5	3	0	2	3	1	1	9-10	90%	4-10	40%	2-8	25%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	35.7	26	72%	11	8	3	1	3	2	0	11	9-13	69%	7-11	64%	1-2	50%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	32.1	19	73%	6	7	0	2	4	2	1	5	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	4-7	57%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	28.4	16	67%	5	1	0	0	2	3	3	2	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	22.8	8	50%	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%

MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	20.9	12	67%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-3	0%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	20.3	9	41%	6	1	0	1	0	1	3	3	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	14.2	3	50%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	13.7	7	88%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	10.0	7	88%	1	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	1.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Robin Lopez #42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 36	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marques Bolden #12 · C · 6'10" 249 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	63%	42	30	6	4	13	25	10	32	24-32	75%	32-55	58%	14-37	38%

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5 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	36.1	23	55%	2	5	3	0	2	3	1	1	9-10	90%	4-10	40%	2-8	25%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	35.7	26	72%	11	8	3	1	3	2	0	11	9-13	69%	7-11	64%	1-2	50%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	32.1	19	73%	6	7	0	2	4	2	1	5	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	4-7	57%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	28.4	16	67%	5	1	0	0	2	3	3	2	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	22.8	8	50%	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%

MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	20.9	12	67%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-3	0%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	20.3	9	41%	6	1	0	1	0	1	3	3	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	14.2	3	50%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	13.7	7	88%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	10.0	7	88%	1	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	1.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Robin Lopez #42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 36	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marques Bolden #12 · C · 6'10" 249 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	63%	42	30	6	4	13	25	10	32	24-32	75%	32-55	58%	14-37	38%

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21 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	33.9	31	74%	2	12	1	3	0	1	0	2	6-6	100%	5-9	56%	5-11	45%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	30.2	15	68%	7	2	0	2	2	4	0	7	2-4	50%	5-5	100%	1-4	25%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	28.4	15	75%	5	2	0	0	4	6	0	5	5-6	83%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	21.7	9	113%	4	2	3	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-1	100%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	19.2	13	72%	7	3	0	0	1	2	2	5	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-4	25%

Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	26.8	15	54%	8	4	1	0	0	3	3	5	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	25.0	16	80%	1	3	0	0	1	4	0	1	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-2	100%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	18.7	6	43%	6	3	0	0	1	1	0	6	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	17.8	9	75%	4	3	1	0	1	3	2	2	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	13.1	10	56%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	1.9	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Mid-Back; Sprain
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	142	66%	44	34	7	5	10	27	7	37	28-34	82%	36-55	65%	14-35	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.25 62.5%

IND

1.31 65.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

69%

IND

80%

Midrange

MIL

43%

IND

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

21.0

38%

57%

IND

21.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

MIL

75%

IND

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	26	72%	13.0 / 18
D. Lillard	23	55%	11.5 / 21
K. Middleton	19	73%	9.5 / 13
B. Lopez	16	67%	8.0 / 12
M. Beauchamp	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Portis	9	41%	4.5 / 11
M. Beasley	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Jackson	7	88%	3.5 / 4
C. Payne	7	88%	3.5 / 4
P. Connaughton	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Haliburton	31	74%	15.5 / 21
B. Mathurin	16	80%	8.0 / 10
M. Turner	15	68%	7.5 / 11
B. Brown	15	75%	7.5 / 10
O. Toppin	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Smith	13	72%	6.5 / 9
B. Hield	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Nesmith	9	113%	4.5 / 4
I. Jackson	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. McConnell	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Walker	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Sheppard	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.6 2 120.6	MIL 122.6 IND 132.7 +10.1
Pace	8 100.6 2 102.3	MIL 104.5 IND 108.6 +4.1
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.4 29 13.7	MIL 13.8 IND 13.3 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.8% 1 57.8%	MIL 57.6% IND 63.3% +5.7%
TO %	10 12.2% 6 12.0%	MIL 10.9% IND 9.5% −1.4%
ORB %	25 21.8% 20 23.8%	MIL 21.3% +3.4% IND 17.9%
FTrt	4 27.0 26 22.2	MIL 34.8 IND 37.8 +3.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 6 65.4%	MIL 65.2% IND 68.0% +2.8%
STL %	28 6.7% 15 7.5%	MIL 5.7% IND 6.5% +0.8%
BLK %	28 8.5% 14 9.5%	MIL 7.3% IND 9.1% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.8% 2 59.4%	MIL 62.5% IND 65.7% +3.2%
Rim FG%	4 67.9% 7 65.9%	MIL 68.8% IND 80.0% +11.2%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 1 48.8%	MIL 43.5% IND 48.0% +4.5%
3P %	11 37.3% 9 37.4%	MIL 37.8% IND 40.0% +2.2%
FT %	19 77.4% 13 78.2%	MIL 75.0% IND 82.4% +7.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 31.5% 3 36.5%	MIL 34.8% +1.4% IND 33.3%
Mid Att. %	7 25.4% 6 25.4%	MIL 25.0% −2.8% IND 27.8%
3P Att. %	4 43.0% 20 38.0%	MIL 40.2% +1.3% IND 38.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	MIL	IND
Possessions	106	107
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.7
Points	130	142
Rebounds	42	44
Assists	30	34
Steals	6	7
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	25	27
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (0)	37 (1)
Field Goals	46-92	50-90
At-the-Rim FG	22-32	24-30
Midrange FG	10-23	12-25
2-Point FG	32-55	36-55
3-Point FG	14-37	14-35
Free Throws	24-32	28-34
Fast Break Pts	17	21
2nd Chance Pts	16	7
Points in Paint	60	64
Pts off Turnovers	14	15
Bench Points	38	59
Biggest Lead	6	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg