Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 3, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Pelicans	32%	105	117	125.8	93	94.7
	4	Timberwolves	68%	112	106	112.8	94	92.4

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+12

-12

MIN

+13

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.26 62.9%

MIN

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25	36.9	16	73%	3	2	1	1	3	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	4-5	80%
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 26	32.3	19	73%	4	7	2	0	3	3	0	4	4-5	80%	6-8	75%	1-3	33%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 32	29.7	24	67%	3	5	0	1	2	2	0	3	4-4	100%	4-10	40%	4-6	67%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 23	28.6	27	75%	4	6	1	1	2	3	1	3	5-6	83%	11-15	73%	0-0	-
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	20.4	4	40%	7	3	0	0	1	5	1	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26	27.1	8	50%	3	3	0	1	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	23.5	7	88%	5	1	1	0	0	0	2	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	22.4	8	67%	9	2	1	1	0	1	3	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	14.1	2	25%	2	0	1	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	2.9	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31	2.2	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Non-COVID; Illness
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Surgery
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendonitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	63%	41	30	7	5	12	24	9	32	15-17	88%	33-55	60%	12-26	46%

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14 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25	36.9	16	73%	3	2	1	1	3	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	4-5	80%
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 26	32.3	19	73%	4	7	2	0	3	3	0	4	4-5	80%	6-8	75%	1-3	33%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 32	29.7	24	67%	3	5	0	1	2	2	0	3	4-4	100%	4-10	40%	4-6	67%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 23	28.6	27	75%	4	6	1	1	2	3	1	3	5-6	83%	11-15	73%	0-0	-
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	20.4	4	40%	7	3	0	0	1	5	1	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26	27.1	8	50%	3	3	0	1	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	23.5	7	88%	5	1	1	0	0	0	2	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	22.4	8	67%	9	2	1	1	0	1	3	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	14.1	2	25%	2	0	1	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	2.9	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31	2.2	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Non-COVID; Illness
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Surgery
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendonitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	63%	41	30	7	5	12	24	9	32	15-17	88%	33-55	60%	12-26	46%

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4 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	37.1	35	70%	4	5	1	1	6	1	2	2	9-10	90%	7-15	47%	4-7	57%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	36.2	22	52%	6	2	0	0	1	2	2	4	6-7	86%	8-15	53%	0-4	0%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	33.0	11	55%	0	2	2	1	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	25.9	7	70%	0	9	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	23.9	5	63%	5	0	0	1	1	4	1	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	24.6	8	50%	6	2	0	2	1	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	18.9	4	50%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	17.4	3	21%	3	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	13.4	1	17%	4	0	2	0	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	3.2	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	3.2	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	3.2	2	100%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	55%	28	26	7	6	11	13	8	20	22-27	81%	27-51	53%	10-31	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	MIN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.26 62.9%

MIN

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

70%

MIN

53%

Midrange

NOP

50%

MIN

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

18.0

46%

69%

MIN

15.0

32%

48%

Free Throws

NOP

88%

MIN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Williamson	27	75%	13.5 / 18
C. McCollum	24	67%	12.0 / 18
B. Ingram	19	73%	9.5 / 13
H. Jones	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Alvarado	8	50%	4.0 / 8
L. Nance	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Daniels	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Valančiūnas	4	40%	2.0 / 5
N. Marshall	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Hawkins	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	35	70%	17.5 / 25
K. Towns	22	52%	11.0 / 21
J. McDaniels	11	55%	5.5 / 10
N. Reid	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Conley	7	70%	3.5 / 5
R. Gobert	5	63%	2.5 / 4
S. Milton	5	125%	2.5 / 2
N. Alexander-Walker	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. McLaughlin	3	21%	1.5 / 7
T. Brown Jr.	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Minott	2	100%	1.0 / 1
K. Anderson	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 116.6 17 114.7	NOP 125.8 +13.0 MIN 112.8
Pace	16 98.6 22 97.9	NOP 94.7 +2.3 MIN 92.4
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.4 3 15.0	NOP 15.2 −0.4 MIN 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.8% 10 55.9%	NOP 63.0% +11.8% MIN 51.2%
TO %	15 12.6% 22 13.6%	NOP 13.7% MIN 12.2% −1.5%
ORB %	15 24.4% 22 23.1%	NOP 31.0% +11.0% MIN 20.0%
FTrt	7 26.1 5 27.0	NOP 21.0 MIN 32.9 +11.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.4% 12 64.6%	NOP 66.7% MIN 70.3% +3.6%
STL %	2 8.4% 6 8.0%	NOP 7.5% +0.1% MIN 7.4%
BLK %	8 9.9% 4 11.0%	NOP 9.8% MIN 10.9% +1.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.7% 10 57.7%	NOP 62.9% +7.7% MIN 55.2%
Rim FG%	19 63.2% 15 64.3%	NOP 70.4% +17.1% MIN 53.3%
Mid FG%	12 44.3% 16 42.6%	NOP 50.0% MIN 52.4% +2.4%
3P %	4 38.3% 3 38.7%	NOP 46.2% +13.9% MIN 32.3%
FT %	21 77.1% 18 77.7%	NOP 88.2% +6.7% MIN 81.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 34.7% 14 34.1%	NOP 33.3% MIN 36.6% +3.3%
Mid Att. %	22 28.0% 16 27.5%	NOP 34.6% MIN 25.6% −9.0%
3P Att. %	22 37.3% 17 38.4%	NOP 32.1% MIN 37.8% +5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOP	MIN
Possessions	93	94
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	117	106
Rebounds	41	28
Assists	30	26
Steals	7	7
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (2)	11 (2)
Fouls	24	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (4)	20 (4)
Field Goals	45-81	37-82
At-the-Rim FG	19-27	16-30
Midrange FG	14-28	11-21
2-Point FG	33-55	27-51
3-Point FG	12-26	10-31
Free Throws	15-17	22-27
Fast Break Pts	11	12
2nd Chance Pts	12	12
Points in Paint	48	50
Pts off Turnovers	16	13
Bench Points	27	26
Biggest Lead	24	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg