Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 3, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Magic	44%	110	135	116.4	116	93.8
	18	Kings	56%	112	138	116.9	118	100.8

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

-20

104

SAC

101

+24

-17

125

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.30 64.9%

SAC

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	45.4	43	67%	4	5	0	0	8	4	1	3	11-14	79%	7-16	44%	6-9	67%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	39.3	24	63%	3	4	2	2	4	4	1	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	6-12	50%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	28.1	6	50%	6	2	1	3	1	3	1	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	11.6	5	63%	1	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	5.3	6	75%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%

Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	38.1	5	31%	2	6	2	1	0	5	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	30.9	15	107%	2	1	4	0	1	2	0	2	3-3	100%	0-0	-	4-6	67%
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	27.4	11	110%	7	3	0	1	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	24.5	9	64%	2	4	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	21.1	9	64%	7	3	0	0	1	4	1	6	0-0	-	0-4	0%	3-3	100%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	12.8	2	33%	3	2	0	0	3	2	1	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	5.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	135	65%	39	33	10	7	20	30	7	32	22-27	81%	19-46	41%	25-44	57%

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15 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	45.4	43	67%	4	5	0	0	8	4	1	3	11-14	79%	7-16	44%	6-9	67%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	39.3	24	63%	3	4	2	2	4	4	1	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	6-12	50%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	28.1	6	50%	6	2	1	3	1	3	1	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	11.6	5	63%	1	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	5.3	6	75%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%

Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	38.1	5	31%	2	6	2	1	0	5	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	30.9	15	107%	2	1	4	0	1	2	0	2	3-3	100%	0-0	-	4-6	67%
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	27.4	11	110%	7	3	0	1	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	24.5	9	64%	2	4	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	21.1	9	64%	7	3	0	0	1	4	1	6	0-0	-	0-4	0%	3-3	100%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	12.8	2	33%	3	2	0	0	3	2	1	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	5.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	135	65%	39	33	10	7	20	30	7	32	22-27	81%	19-46	41%	25-44	57%

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18 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	45.7	28	67%	12	1	1	0	0	0	4	8	0-0	-	11-15	73%	2-6	33%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	45.5	22	65%	23	12	2	1	6	2	6	17	6-9	67%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	44.0	15	31%	4	7	1	0	3	1	3	1	3-4	75%	6-17	35%	0-5	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	36.4	17	77%	3	1	1	0	0	4	1	2	3-5	60%	1-3	33%	4-6	67%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	10.4	0	0%	0	1	1	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	46.0	37	84%	3	9	2	1	3	5	0	3	6-8	75%	5-7	71%	7-13	54%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	22.1	10	83%	3	0	0	1	0	3	3	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	17.9	2	17%	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	6	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	13.9	2	33%	1	3	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	7.8	5	83%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 31	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	138	55%	58	36	9	3	17	21	18	40	21-31	68%	36-65	55%	15-40	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.30 64.9%

SAC

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

36%

SAC

62%

Midrange

ORL

48%

SAC

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

37.5

57%

85%

SAC

22.5

38%

56%

Free Throws

ORL

81%

SAC

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	43	67%	21.5 / 32
J. Suggs	24	63%	12.0 / 19
C. Houstan	15	107%	7.5 / 7
C. Okeke	11	110%	5.5 / 5
A. Black	9	64%	4.5 / 7
W. Carter	9	64%	4.5 / 7
G. Bitadze	6	50%	3.0 / 6
F. Wagner	6	75%	3.0 / 4
G. Harris	5	63%	2.5 / 4
T. Queen	5	31%	2.5 / 8
M. Wagner	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Monk	37	84%	18.5 / 22
K. Murray	28	67%	14.0 / 21
D. Sabonis	22	65%	11.0 / 17
H. Barnes	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Fox	15	31%	7.5 / 24
T. Lyles	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. McGee	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. Huerter	2	17%	1.0 / 6
D. Mitchell	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Duarte	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 113.0 13 116.3	ORL 116.4 SAC 116.9 +0.6
Pace	27 97.4 14 99.4	ORL 93.8 SAC 100.8 +6.9
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.2 26 14.1	ORL 15.3 SAC 14.3 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.1% 14 55.6%	ORL 62.8% +7.1% SAC 55.7%
TO %	24 14.1% 12 12.5%	ORL 17.1% SAC 15.0% −2.1%
ORB %	7 25.3% 14 24.5%	ORL 14.9% SAC 36.0% +21.1%
FTrt	1 28.7 22 22.9	ORL 30.0 +0.5 SAC 29.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.0% 7 65.4%	ORL 75.0% +4.4% SAC 70.6%
STL %	4 8.3% 14 7.6%	ORL 8.6% +1.0% SAC 7.6%
BLK %	13 9.5% 27 8.6%	ORL 10.8% +4.3% SAC 6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.2% 14 57.0%	ORL 64.9% +9.7% SAC 55.2%
Rim FG%	9 65.4% 6 66.0%	ORL 36.0% SAC 61.7% +25.7%
Mid FG%	29 38.9% 9 44.9%	ORL 47.6% +8.7% SAC 38.9%
3P %	24 35.2% 16 36.6%	ORL 56.8% +19.3% SAC 37.5%
FT %	26 75.9% 30 74.5%	ORL 81.5% +13.8% SAC 67.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.2% 27 30.0%	ORL 27.8% SAC 44.8% +17.0%
Mid Att. %	5 24.9% 14 26.8%	ORL 23.3% SAC 17.1% −6.2%
3P Att. %	25 36.9% 3 43.2%	ORL 48.9% +10.8% SAC 38.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Game Totals	ORL	SAC
Possessions	116	118
Possession Minutes	29.7	28.1
Points	135	138
Rebounds	39	58
Assists	33	36
Steals	10	9
Blocks	7	3
Turnovers (Team)	20 (1)	17 (4)
Fouls	30	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (1)	18 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	40 (0)
Field Goals	44-90	51-105
At-the-Rim FG	9-25	29-47
Midrange FG	10-21	7-18
2-Point FG	19-46	36-65
3-Point FG	25-44	15-40
Free Throws	22-27	21-31
Fast Break Pts	10	19
2nd Chance Pts	11	23
Points in Paint	24	66
Pts off Turnovers	30	29
Bench Points	51	56
Biggest Lead	7	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg