Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 6, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Bucks	65%	118	108	106.9	101	103.0
	23	Rockets	35%	112	112	113.1	99	97.1

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

-11

HOU

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.10 55.1%

HOU

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	38.9	48	69%	17	2	0	1	2	4	3	14	15-21	71%	15-23	65%	1-2	50%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	38.5	18	45%	2	8	2	0	1	1	0	2	7-10	70%	4-8	50%	1-8	13%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	32.9	10	42%	3	5	1	0	3	5	0	3	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	0-5	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	31.3	7	39%	5	0	1	1	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	16.1	3	150%	1	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%

MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	23.0	5	63%	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	19.0	9	90%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	16.9	6	50%	6	0	1	1	2	5	0	6	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	12.0	1	50%	2	0	2	0	0	3	0	2	1-1	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	8.4	1	25%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Robin Lopez #42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Marques Bolden #12 · C · 6'10" 249 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	55%	41	20	7	4	11	24	4	37	29-42	69%	26-42	62%	9-34	26%

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5 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	38.9	48	69%	17	2	0	1	2	4	3	14	15-21	71%	15-23	65%	1-2	50%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	38.5	18	45%	2	8	2	0	1	1	0	2	7-10	70%	4-8	50%	1-8	13%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	32.9	10	42%	3	5	1	0	3	5	0	3	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	0-5	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	31.3	7	39%	5	0	1	1	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	16.1	3	150%	1	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%

MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	23.0	5	63%	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	19.0	9	90%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	16.9	6	50%	6	0	1	1	2	5	0	6	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	12.0	1	50%	2	0	2	0	0	3	0	2	1-1	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	8.4	1	25%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Robin Lopez #42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Marques Bolden #12 · C · 6'10" 249 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	55%	41	20	7	4	11	24	4	37	29-42	69%	26-42	62%	9-34	26%

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23 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	40.2	14	70%	12	2	2	1	1	4	1	11	5-6	83%	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	37.3	14	50%	2	7	2	0	1	3	1	1	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	3-10	30%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	31.2	21	40%	11	4	0	0	3	5	1	10	7-10	70%	7-20	35%	0-1	0%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	28.3	16	57%	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	4	5-5	100%	4-6	67%	1-6	17%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	19.5	4	67%	8	0	1	0	0	4	3	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	34.3	16	62%	2	2	0	1	1	4	0	2	4-5	80%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	20.9	11	79%	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	15.7	4	67%	3	5	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 19	12.8	12	86%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
Dillon Brooks #9 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	46	22	7	2	10	24	7	39	27-32	84%	23-49	47%	13-34	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.10 55.1%

HOU

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

72%

HOU

50%

Midrange

MIL

47%

HOU

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

13.5

26%

40%

HOU

19.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

MIL

69%

HOU

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	48	69%	24.0 / 35
D. Lillard	18	45%	9.0 / 20
K. Middleton	10	42%	5.0 / 12
P. Connaughton	9	90%	4.5 / 5
B. Lopez	7	39%	3.5 / 9
B. Portis	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Beauchamp	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Beasley	3	150%	1.5 / 1
A. Jackson	1	50%	0.5 / 1
C. Payne	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sengun	21	40%	10.5 / 26
J. Green	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. Green	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Smith	14	70%	7.0 / 10
F. VanVleet	14	50%	7.0 / 14
C. Whitmore	12	86%	6.0 / 7
A. Holiday	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Tate	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Thompson	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.6 20 113.8	MIL 106.9 HOU 113.1 +6.2
Pace	8 100.6 13 99.6	MIL 103.0 +5.9 HOU 97.1
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.4 22 14.2	MIL 14.0 −0.8 HOU 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.8% 27 52.9%	MIL 52.0% +0.8% HOU 51.2%
TO %	10 12.2% 8 12.1%	MIL 10.4% HOU 9.3% −1.1%
ORB %	25 21.8% 10 25.1%	MIL 9.3% HOU 15.9% +6.6%
FTrt	4 27.0 9 25.7	MIL 55.3 +16.7 HOU 38.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 27 59.4%	MIL 57.1% HOU 61.1% +4.0%
STL %	28 6.7% 9 7.8%	MIL 6.9% HOU 7.1% +0.2%
BLK %	28 8.5% 11 9.7%	MIL 8.2% +3.4% HOU 4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.8% 24 55.2%	MIL 55.1% HOU 57.1% +2.0%
Rim FG%	4 67.9% 24 61.2%	MIL 72.0% +22.0% HOU 50.0%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 21 41.2%	MIL 47.1% +4.2% HOU 42.9%
3P %	11 37.3% 23 35.2%	MIL 26.5% HOU 38.2% +11.7%
FT %	19 77.4% 20 77.3%	MIL 69.0% HOU 84.4% +15.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 31.5% 6 35.5%	MIL 32.9% HOU 33.7% +0.8%
Mid Att. %	7 25.4% 3 24.7%	MIL 22.4% −2.9% HOU 25.3%
3P Att. %	4 43.0% 13 39.7%	MIL 44.7% +3.8% HOU 41.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	HOU
Possessions	101	99
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	108	112
Rebounds	41	46
Assists	20	22
Steals	7	7
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	24	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (4)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	39 (2)
Field Goals	35-76	36-83
At-the-Rim FG	18-25	14-28
Midrange FG	8-17	9-21
2-Point FG	26-42	23-49
3-Point FG	9-34	13-34
Free Throws	29-42	27-32
Fast Break Pts	18	11
2nd Chance Pts	8	13
Points in Paint	46	36
Pts off Turnovers	10	11
Bench Points	22	43
Biggest Lead	4	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg