Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 7, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Hawks	53%	115	110	103.8	106	98.1
	24	Magic	47%	114	117	109.3	107	94.8

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

-12

103

ORL

+16

-11

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.06 52.9%

ORL

1.04 51.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	42.0	31	60%	4	9	1	1	5	2	0	4	7-10	70%	9-14	64%	2-9	22%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	40.3	12	50%	11	4	0	1	3	6	1	10	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-4	0%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	40.1	24	52%	6	2	0	0	3	2	0	6	6-10	60%	9-18	50%	0-2	0%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	38.2	16	67%	7	2	1	0	0	1	1	6	4-5	80%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	36.4	4	29%	12	0	3	2	1	3	4	8	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	31.8	5	63%	6	3	0	5	0	3	1	5	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	26.0	18	53%	3	1	4	0	0	5	1	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	4-9	44%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	8.5	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Subluxation
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	110	53%	50	21	9	10	12	23	8	42	17-29	59%	33-61	54%	9-30	30%

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20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	42.0	31	60%	4	9	1	1	5	2	0	4	7-10	70%	9-14	64%	2-9	22%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	40.3	12	50%	11	4	0	1	3	6	1	10	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-4	0%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	40.1	24	52%	6	2	0	0	3	2	0	6	6-10	60%	9-18	50%	0-2	0%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	38.2	16	67%	7	2	1	0	0	1	1	6	4-5	80%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	36.4	4	29%	12	0	3	2	1	3	4	8	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	31.8	5	63%	6	3	0	5	0	3	1	5	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	26.0	18	53%	3	1	4	0	0	5	1	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	4-9	44%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	8.5	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Subluxation
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	110	53%	50	21	9	10	12	23	8	42	17-29	59%	33-61	54%	9-30	30%

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24 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	44.9	35	55%	10	4	3	1	2	2	1	9	5-7	71%	9-22	41%	4-7	57%
Chuma Okeke #3 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 25	38.3	3	30%	7	2	0	0	1	0	0	7	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	36.4	25	78%	2	4	1	0	0	2	1	1	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	7-14	50%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	29.3	16	62%	5	3	1	0	1	6	1	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	4-7	57%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	27.6	11	79%	14	3	0	2	0	4	7	7	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-

Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	30.7	10	33%	9	5	0	0	4	5	0	9	4-4	100%	3-10	30%	0-3	0%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	25.4	15	58%	7	0	1	0	0	2	2	5	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	14.8	0	0%	2	4	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-4	0%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	11.6	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	6.0	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	117	52%	57	25	8	3	11	24	13	44	14-22	64%	26-57	46%	17-41	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.06 52.9%

ORL

1.04 51.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

63%

ORL

67%

Midrange

ATL

42%

ORL

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

13.5

30%

45%

ORL

25.5

41%

62%

Free Throws

ATL

59%

ORL

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	31	60%	15.5 / 26
D. Murray	24	52%	12.0 / 23
B. Bogdanović	18	53%	9.0 / 17
S. Bey	16	67%	8.0 / 12
J. Johnson	12	50%	6.0 / 12
O. Okongwu	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Capela	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	35	55%	17.5 / 32
C. Houstan	25	78%	12.5 / 16
J. Suggs	16	62%	8.0 / 13
M. Wagner	15	58%	7.5 / 13
G. Bitadze	11	79%	5.5 / 7
C. Anthony	10	33%	5.0 / 15
C. Okeke	3	30%	1.5 / 5
T. Queen	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Fultz	0	-	0.0 / 4
A. Black	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 22 113.0	ATL 103.8 ORL 109.3 +5.6
Pace	6 100.9 27 97.4	ATL 98.1 +3.3 ORL 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 2 15.2	ATL 14.7 −0.5 ORL 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 15 54.1%	ATL 51.1% ORL 52.6% +1.5%
TO %	13 12.5% 24 14.1%	ATL 11.1% ORL 10.8% −0.3%
ORB %	5 27.1% 7 25.3%	ATL 15.4% ORL 23.6% +8.2%
FTrt	12 25.1 1 28.7	ATL 31.9 +9.5 ORL 22.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 22 61.0%	ATL 50.0% ORL 58.1% +8.1%
STL %	18 7.4% 4 8.3%	ATL 8.5% +1.0% ORL 7.5%
BLK %	21 9.0% 13 9.5%	ATL 17.5% +12.6% ORL 4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 18 56.2%	ATL 52.9% +1.1% ORL 51.8%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 9 65.4%	ATL 62.9% ORL 66.7% +3.8%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 29 38.9%	ATL 42.3% +15.6% ORL 26.7%
3P %	17 36.4% 24 35.2%	ATL 30.0% ORL 41.5% +11.5%
FT %	8 79.7% 26 75.9%	ATL 58.6% ORL 63.6% +5.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 1 38.2%	ATL 38.5% +10.9% ORL 27.6%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 5 24.9%	ATL 28.6% −2.0% ORL 30.6%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 25 36.9%	ATL 33.0% ORL 41.8% +8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Game Totals	ATL	ORL
Possessions	106	107
Possession Minutes	25.9	27.1
Points	110	117
Rebounds	50	57
Assists	21	25
Steals	9	8
Blocks	10	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	11 (2)
Fouls	23	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (1)	44 (2)
Field Goals	42-91	43-98
At-the-Rim FG	22-35	18-27
Midrange FG	11-26	8-30
2-Point FG	33-61	26-57
3-Point FG	9-30	17-41
Free Throws	17-29	14-22
Fast Break Pts	15	11
2nd Chance Pts	6	25
Points in Paint	60	42
Pts off Turnovers	10	17
Bench Points	23	27
Biggest Lead	9	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg