Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 7, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Pelicans	44%	114	133	138.5	96	95.8
	11	Kings	56%	116	100	105.3	95	95.2

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+13

-16

SAC

+11

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.43 71.5%

SAC

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 26	29.8	15	58%	4	8	1	1	1	0	0	4	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 32	27.4	30	88%	7	4	0	2	3	0	1	6	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	7-10	70%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25	26.0	9	56%	3	2	0	1	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Trey Murphy III #25 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 24	24.4	11	79%	2	5	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	22.0	15	68%	12	1	0	1	1	2	1	11	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%

Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	29.1	14	117%	5	6	0	0	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-2	100%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	24.0	12	60%	3	2	0	1	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	1-5	20%
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	22.1	11	92%	6	2	0	0	1	2	2	4	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	14.3	2	25%	7	4	0	1	2	1	2	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	10.0	7	88%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31	7.1	7	88%	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-COVID; Illness
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	72%	51	35	2	2	16	14	9	42	14-16	88%	31-47	66%	19-35	54%

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14 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 26	29.8	15	58%	4	8	1	1	1	0	0	4	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 32	27.4	30	88%	7	4	0	2	3	0	1	6	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	7-10	70%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25	26.0	9	56%	3	2	0	1	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Trey Murphy III #25 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 24	24.4	11	79%	2	5	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	22.0	15	68%	12	1	0	1	1	2	1	11	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%

Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	29.1	14	117%	5	6	0	0	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-2	100%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	24.0	12	60%	3	2	0	1	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	1-5	20%
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	22.1	11	92%	6	2	0	0	1	2	2	4	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	14.3	2	25%	7	4	0	1	2	1	2	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	10.0	7	88%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31	7.1	7	88%	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-COVID; Illness
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	72%	51	35	2	2	16	14	9	42	14-16	88%	31-47	66%	19-35	54%

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11 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	28.9	17	71%	10	6	1	0	3	2	0	10	0-1	0%	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	26.0	8	40%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	25.6	3	15%	2	4	0	0	4	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-6	0%	1-4	25%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	22.1	10	56%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	14.9	1	13%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	24.3	17	71%	1	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	3-4	75%	4-4	100%	2-6	33%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	20.6	11	61%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-5	20%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	20.6	6	33%	1	5	1	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-6	33%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	12.0	13	108%	2	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-3	100%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	10.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	10.4	4	40%	1	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	9.9	0	0%	1	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	8.1	10	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	6.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 31	Inactive - Not With Team \| Waived
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	52%	25	28	9	9	9	12	8	17	9-12	75%	23-46	50%	15-45	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.43 71.5%

SAC

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

66%

SAC

64%

Midrange

NOP

67%

SAC

15%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

28.5

54%

81%

SAC

22.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

NOP

88%

SAC

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	30	88%	15.0 / 17
B. Ingram	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Valančiūnas	15	68%	7.5 / 11
D. Daniels	14	117%	7.0 / 6
J. Hawkins	12	60%	6.0 / 10
T. Murphy	11	79%	5.5 / 7
N. Marshall	11	92%	5.5 / 6
H. Jones	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Robinson-Earl	7	88%	3.5 / 4
C. Zeller	7	88%	3.5 / 4
L. Nance	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Sabonis	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Huerter	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Ellis	13	108%	6.5 / 6
A. Vezenkov	11	61%	5.5 / 9
H. Barnes	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Edwards	10	100%	5.0 / 5
K. Murray	8	40%	4.0 / 10
M. Monk	6	33%	3.0 / 9
C. Jones	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Fox	3	15%	1.5 / 10
C. Duarte	1	13%	0.5 / 4
D. Mitchell	0	-	0.0 / 2
A. Len	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. McGee	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 116.6 13 116.3	NOP 138.5 +33.3 SAC 105.3
Pace	16 98.6 14 99.4	NOP 95.8 +0.6 SAC 95.2
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.4 26 14.1	NOP 15.0 −0.1 SAC 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.8% 14 55.6%	NOP 72.6% +22.6% SAC 50.0%
TO %	15 12.6% 12 12.5%	NOP 15.2% SAC 8.5% −6.7%
ORB %	15 24.4% 14 24.5%	NOP 34.6% +18.6% SAC 16.0%
FTrt	7 26.1 22 22.9	NOP 19.5 +6.3 SAC 13.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.4% 7 65.4%	NOP 70.0% SAC 73.7% +3.7%
STL %	2 8.4% 14 7.6%	NOP 2.1% SAC 9.5% +7.4%
BLK %	8 9.9% 27 8.6%	NOP 4.3% SAC 19.1% +14.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.7% 14 57.0%	NOP 71.5% +20.0% SAC 51.5%
Rim FG%	19 63.2% 6 66.0%	NOP 65.6% +2.0% SAC 63.6%
Mid FG%	12 44.3% 9 44.9%	NOP 66.7% +51.3% SAC 15.4%
3P %	4 38.3% 16 36.6%	NOP 54.3% +21.0% SAC 33.3%
FT %	21 77.1% 30 74.5%	NOP 87.5% +12.5% SAC 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 34.7% 27 30.0%	NOP 39.0% +2.8% SAC 36.3%
Mid Att. %	22 28.0% 14 26.8%	NOP 18.3% SAC 14.3% −4.0%
3P Att. %	22 37.3% 3 43.2%	NOP 42.7% SAC 49.5% +6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOP	SAC
Possessions	96	95
Possession Minutes	24.1	24.0
Points	133	100
Rebounds	51	25
Assists	35	28
Steals	2	9
Blocks	2	9
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	9 (0)
Fouls	14	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (3)	17 (2)
Field Goals	50-82	38-91
At-the-Rim FG	21-32	21-33
Midrange FG	10-15	2-13
2-Point FG	31-47	23-46
3-Point FG	19-35	15-45
Free Throws	14-16	9-12
Fast Break Pts	19	6
2nd Chance Pts	15	11
Points in Paint	48	44
Pts off Turnovers	12	23
Bench Points	53	61
Biggest Lead	50	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg