Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 7, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Pistons	13%	107	114	117.5	97	108.6
	2	Nuggets	87%	123	131	136.5	96	86.7

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+19

-11

105

DEN

+10

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.09 54.3%

DEN

1.39 69.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 25	30.7	11	61%	5	1	1	0	0	5	2	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 20	30.0	20	71%	5	4	0	0	1	1	2	3	4-6	67%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	27.3	13	43%	4	6	1	0	4	2	1	3	5-8	63%	4-5	80%	0-6	0%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	27.1	14	58%	1	1	3	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 22	10.7	3	25%	3	3	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%

Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 22	25.1	2	20%	2	6	1	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Kevin Knox II #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	20.4	12	60%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21	20.2	5	42%	5	4	0	0	1	2	3	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Alec Burks #14 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	19.8	18	90%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	3-3	100%
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 23	18.0	9	56%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	1-3	33%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	10.6	7	50%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Harris #31 · SG · 6'6" 219 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malcolm Cazalon #20 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Monté Morris #5 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	54%	37	28	6	0	11	20	13	24	21-30	70%	33-65	51%	9-24	38%

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29 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 25	30.7	11	61%	5	1	1	0	0	5	2	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 20	30.0	20	71%	5	4	0	0	1	1	2	3	4-6	67%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	27.3	13	43%	4	6	1	0	4	2	1	3	5-8	63%	4-5	80%	0-6	0%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	27.1	14	58%	1	1	3	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 22	10.7	3	25%	3	3	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%

Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 22	25.1	2	20%	2	6	1	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Kevin Knox II #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	20.4	12	60%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21	20.2	5	42%	5	4	0	0	1	2	3	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Alec Burks #14 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	19.8	18	90%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	3-3	100%
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 23	18.0	9	56%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	1-3	33%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	10.6	7	50%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Harris #31 · SG · 6'6" 219 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malcolm Cazalon #20 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Monté Morris #5 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	54%	37	28	6	0	11	20	13	24	21-30	70%	33-65	51%	9-24	38%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	36.1	18	90%	4	0	2	1	3	2	0	4	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	30.0	37	69%	5	4	1	1	1	4	2	3	6-7	86%	11-16	69%	3-8	38%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	28.1	18	69%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	3-3	100%	6-7	86%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	24.6	4	67%	7	16	0	5	2	4	0	7	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	20.4	8	100%	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	23.4	15	63%	6	1	1	1	0	0	1	5	5-5	100%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	21.2	13	81%	3	9	1	0	1	5	2	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	21.0	7	70%	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	20.9	9	90%	7	1	0	1	3	5	0	7	3-5	60%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	4.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	2.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	70%	38	35	6	10	12	23	6	32	27-31	87%	37-53	70%	10-27	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	DET	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.09 54.3%

DEN

1.39 69.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

67%

DEN

76%

Midrange

DET

31%

DEN

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

13.5

38%

56%

DEN

15.0

37%

56%

Free Throws

DET

70%

DEN

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Duren	20	71%	10.0 / 14
A. Burks	18	90%	9.0 / 10
B. Bogdanovic	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Ivey	13	43%	6.5 / 15
K. Knox	12	60%	6.0 / 10
I. Livers	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Wiseman	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Sasser	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Thompson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
C. Cunningham	3	25%	1.5 / 6
K. Hayes	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	37	69%	18.5 / 27
K. Caldwell-Pope	18	90%	9.0 / 10
M. Porter	18	69%	9.0 / 13
P. Watson	15	63%	7.5 / 12
R. Jackson	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Jordan	9	90%	4.5 / 5
A. Gordon	8	100%	4.0 / 4
C. Braun	7	70%	3.5 / 5
N. Jokić	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Key	2	100%	1.0 / 1
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Huff	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 109.1 5 117.9	DET 117.5 DEN 136.5 +18.9
Pace	10 100.4 26 97.4	DET 108.6 +21.9 DEN 86.7
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.1 4 15.0	DET 13.3 −3.4 DEN 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.6% 8 56.2%	DET 52.2% DEN 65.0% +12.8%
TO %	28 14.5% 7 12.1%	DET 10.5% −2.5% DEN 13.0%
ORB %	18 23.9% 6 25.5%	DET 28.9% +8.9% DEN 20.0%
FTrt	15 24.6 24 22.4	DET 33.7 DEN 38.8 +5.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 62.3% 5 66.9%	DET 66.7% DEN 74.5% +7.8%
STL %	30 6.4% 20 7.3%	DET 6.2% DEN 6.3% +0.1%
BLK %	17 9.3% 25 8.7%	DET 0.0% DEN 15.4% +15.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 54.9% 11 57.5%	DET 54.3% DEN 69.7% +15.4%
Rim FG%	21 62.2% 17 63.6%	DET 66.7% DEN 75.8% +9.1%
Mid FG%	18 41.7% 3 47.0%	DET 31.0% DEN 60.0% +29.0%
3P %	26 34.8% 10 37.4%	DET 37.5% +0.5% DEN 37.0%
FT %	12 78.5% 25 76.2%	DET 70.0% DEN 87.1% +17.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 34.6% 4 36.0%	DET 40.4% DEN 41.3% +0.8%
Mid Att. %	26 29.5% 25 28.8%	DET 32.6% DEN 25.0% −7.6%
3P Att. %	27 36.0% 30 35.2%	DET 27.0% DEN 33.8% +6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DET	DEN
Possessions	97	96
Possession Minutes	21.4	26.6
Points	114	131
Rebounds	37	38
Assists	28	35
Steals	6	6
Blocks	0	10
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	12 (2)
Fouls	20	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (6)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (1)	32 (3)
Field Goals	42-89	47-80
At-the-Rim FG	24-36	25-33
Midrange FG	9-29	12-20
2-Point FG	33-65	37-53
3-Point FG	9-24	10-27
Free Throws	21-30	27-31
Fast Break Pts	12	11
2nd Chance Pts	21	9
Points in Paint	58	54
Pts off Turnovers	19	17
Bench Points	53	46
Biggest Lead	4	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg