Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 9, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Timberwolves	65%	108	113	114.1	99	99.2
	25	Magic	35%	102	92	92.9	99	98.7

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

-18

ORL

+18

-12

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.27 63.5%

ORL

0.87 43.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	35.1	15	75%	9	1	1	0	2	1	0	9	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	33.8	28	74%	6	5	3	0	2	2	1	5	1-1	100%	6-14	43%	5-5	100%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	33.6	21	88%	12	1	1	3	2	3	1	11	5-6	83%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	31.0	11	61%	3	10	2	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	3-6	50%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	25.6	6	38%	4	3	0	0	5	3	1	3	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%

Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	21.4	11	69%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	21.0	13	72%	10	2	0	0	3	3	2	8	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	18.1	0	0%	2	3	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	15.5	4	67%	0	5	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	2.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	2.5	4	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	INACTIVE
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	64%	48	34	8	5	18	18	5	43	15-19	79%	31-50	62%	12-30	40%

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5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	35.1	15	75%	9	1	1	0	2	1	0	9	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	33.8	28	74%	6	5	3	0	2	2	1	5	1-1	100%	6-14	43%	5-5	100%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	33.6	21	88%	12	1	1	3	2	3	1	11	5-6	83%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	31.0	11	61%	3	10	2	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	3-6	50%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	25.6	6	38%	4	3	0	0	5	3	1	3	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%

Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	21.4	11	69%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	21.0	13	72%	10	2	0	0	3	3	2	8	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	18.1	0	0%	2	3	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	15.5	4	67%	0	5	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	2.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	2.5	4	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	INACTIVE
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	64%	48	34	8	5	18	18	5	43	15-19	79%	31-50	62%	12-30	40%

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25 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	35.1	18	38%	2	3	3	1	4	4	0	2	1-4	25%	7-18	39%	1-4	25%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	34.1	8	33%	7	2	0	0	0	2	3	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-10	20%
Chuma Okeke #3 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 25	27.0	3	15%	10	1	0	1	0	2	2	8	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-8	13%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	26.7	20	71%	5	2	3	0	2	2	1	4	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	4-8	50%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	16.6	2	33%	6	1	1	2	1	4	4	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	31.4	21	70%	8	2	2	0	1	3	3	5	8-11	73%	5-5	100%	1-4	25%
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	28.4	11	55%	3	3	1	0	2	1	1	2	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	3-4	75%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	21.3	3	38%	1	4	3	1	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	12.7	4	29%	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	6.8	2	25%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	43%	46	20	13	4	12	22	16	30	11-18	61%	21-52	40%	13-42	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.27 63.5%

ORL

0.87 43.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

72%

ORL

52%

Midrange

MIN

44%

ORL

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

18.0

40%

60%

ORL

19.5

31%

46%

Free Throws

MIN

79%

ORL

61%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Towns	28	74%	14.0 / 19
R. Gobert	21	88%	10.5 / 12
J. McDaniels	15	75%	7.5 / 10
N. Reid	13	72%	6.5 / 9
M. Conley	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Anderson	11	69%	5.5 / 8
A. Edwards	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. McLaughlin	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Milton	4	100%	2.0 / 2
N. Alexander-Walker	0	-	0.0 / 5
T. Brown Jr.	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Wagner	21	70%	10.5 / 15
J. Suggs	20	71%	10.0 / 14
P. Banchero	18	38%	9.0 / 24
T. Queen	11	55%	5.5 / 10
C. Houstan	8	33%	4.0 / 12
M. Fultz	4	29%	2.0 / 7
C. Okeke	3	15%	1.5 / 10
A. Black	3	38%	1.5 / 4
G. Bitadze	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Anthony	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.7 22 113.0	MIN 114.1 +21.2 ORL 92.9
Pace	22 97.9 27 97.4	MIN 99.2 +0.5 ORL 98.7
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.0 2 15.2	MIN 14.5 −0.1 ORL 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.9% 15 54.1%	MIN 61.3% +18.2% ORL 43.1%
TO %	22 13.6% 24 14.1%	MIN 16.9% ORL 11.3% −5.6%
ORB %	22 23.1% 7 25.3%	MIN 14.3% ORL 27.1% +12.8%
FTrt	5 27.0 1 28.7	MIN 23.8 +4.7 ORL 19.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.6% 22 61.0%	MIN 79.1% +20.3% ORL 58.8%
STL %	6 8.0% 4 8.3%	MIN 8.1% ORL 13.1% +5.0%
BLK %	4 11.0% 13 9.5%	MIN 9.6% +1.6% ORL 8.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.7% 18 56.2%	MIN 63.5% +20.1% ORL 43.4%
Rim FG%	15 64.3% 9 65.4%	MIN 71.9% +20.0% ORL 51.9%
Mid FG%	16 42.6% 29 38.9%	MIN 44.4% +16.4% ORL 28.0%
3P %	3 38.7% 24 35.2%	MIN 40.0% +9.0% ORL 31.0%
FT %	18 77.7% 26 75.9%	MIN 78.9% +17.8% ORL 61.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 34.1% 1 38.2%	MIN 40.0% +11.3% ORL 28.7%
Mid Att. %	16 27.5% 5 24.9%	MIN 22.5% −4.1% ORL 26.6%
3P Att. %	17 38.4% 25 36.9%	MIN 37.5% ORL 44.7% +7.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Game Totals	MIN	ORL
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.1
Points	113	92
Rebounds	48	46
Assists	34	20
Steals	8	13
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	18	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (3)	16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (1)	30 (1)
Field Goals	43-80	34-94
At-the-Rim FG	23-32	14-27
Midrange FG	8-18	7-25
2-Point FG	31-50	21-52
3-Point FG	12-30	13-42
Free Throws	15-19	11-18
Fast Break Pts	18	16
2nd Chance Pts	5	12
Points in Paint	60	38
Pts off Turnovers	19	23
Bench Points	32	41
Biggest Lead	34	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg