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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 9, 2024
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Grizzlies33%109120
11Mavericks67%116103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.5
23
20
14
5
4
1
0
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
3-4
75%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
30
27
6
6
6
3
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
53%
2-5
40%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 31.4
18
23
2
2
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
58%
0-0
-
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
39
35
32
9
4
0
1
0
2
2
7
8-9
89%
9-18
5-9
50%
55%
2-9
22%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.8
21
34
23
4
1
2
2
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
53%
4-8
50%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 25.0
28
10
14
11
2
0
0
2
3
6
5
2-4
50%
6-8
1-2
75%
56%
0-1
0%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 22.3
27
19
14
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
55%
2-5
40%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 22.8
25
6
11
5
3
0
0
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
53%
1-2
50%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.8
25
5
4
7
3
0
0
1
0
3
4
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 22.2
2
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 19.1
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 23.0
16
0
2-3
57%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 24.3
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.5
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.4
Jacob Gilyard
G · 5'9" 160 · 25.5
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 27.3
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 35.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
23
26
0
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
62%
0-1
0%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 26.9
36
27
11
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
5-8
3-4
63%
63%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.5
22
22
4
4
3
2
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
71%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 31.8
40
31
33
8
4
4
1
1
3
4
4
9-10
90%
9-18
6-11
50%
56%
2-7
29%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 24.9
36
35
31
6
6
3
1
0
3
0
6
11-15
73%
7-13
7-13
54%
58%
2-8
25%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 31.8
30
28
9
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 21.5
19
15
10
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
10
14
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.1
7
19
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 34.4
6
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 23.5
5
9
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
57%
1-2
50%
Brandon Williams
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.1
3
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
3
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
62%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 31.9
10
0
0-1
59%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.5
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 28.5
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 19.9
Greg Brown III
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.