Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 10, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Kings	68%	117	123	130.9	94	95.2
	29	Hornets	32%	110	98	103.2	95	93.8

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+17

-9

102

CHA

+11

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.19 59.7%

CHA

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 23	31.6	25	69%	6	3	0	1	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	8-11	73%	3-7	43%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	28.2	19	63%	1	3	1	1	1	0	0	1	0-2	0%	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	28.0	24	75%	10	7	0	1	2	2	1	9	5-6	83%	8-11	73%	1-2	50%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 32	22.3	6	75%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	29.8	20	63%	4	4	0	2	1	0	0	4	7-7	100%	5-8	63%	1-5	20%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	21.2	8	67%	5	2	0	0	1	1	1	4	2-4	50%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 31	16.7	2	25%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	15.5	8	67%	10	1	1	1	1	2	4	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	13.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	13.8	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	9.3	3	50%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	4.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	4.5	8	57%	7	0	0	0	2	0	4	3	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	INACTIVE
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	60%	53	24	2	8	9	15	14	39	18-23	78%	33-54	61%	13-35	37%

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16 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 23	31.6	25	69%	6	3	0	1	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	8-11	73%	3-7	43%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	28.2	19	63%	1	3	1	1	1	0	0	1	0-2	0%	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	28.0	24	75%	10	7	0	1	2	2	1	9	5-6	83%	8-11	73%	1-2	50%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 32	22.3	6	75%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	29.8	20	63%	4	4	0	2	1	0	0	4	7-7	100%	5-8	63%	1-5	20%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	21.2	8	67%	5	2	0	0	1	1	1	4	2-4	50%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 31	16.7	2	25%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	15.5	8	67%	10	1	1	1	1	2	4	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	13.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	13.8	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	9.3	3	50%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	4.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	4.5	8	57%	7	0	0	0	2	0	4	3	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	INACTIVE
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	60%	53	24	2	8	9	15	14	39	18-23	78%	33-54	61%	13-35	37%

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29 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 26	34.0	24	57%	7	6	1	0	3	1	1	6	0-0	-	6-13	46%	4-8	50%
Terry Rozier #3 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	31.6	22	65%	4	2	1	1	0	1	0	4	7-8	88%	3-8	38%	3-6	50%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	27.9	15	68%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	4-6	67%
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	26.4	8	67%	9	3	0	1	1	3	4	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Bryce McGowens #7 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 21	10.4	4	67%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 20	25.1	11	34%	3	1	0	0	2	3	0	3	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	2-8	25%
Nathan Mensah #31 · C · 6'10" 230 · 26	21.6	2	50%	4	1	0	1	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 21	20.8	2	14%	5	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
James Bouknight #2 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	19.8	8	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 36	16.0	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Leaky Black #12 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 25	6.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Frank Ntilikina #44 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Non-Displaced Fracture
Amari Bailey #10 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Recovery
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Sprain
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Groin; Strain
Gordon Hayward #20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	50%	36	17	2	3	8	16	8	28	12-16	75%	19-49	39%	16-38	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.19 59.7%

CHA

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

69%

CHA

47%

Midrange

SAC

50%

CHA

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

19.5

37%

56%

CHA

24.0

42%

63%

Free Throws

SAC

78%

CHA

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Murray	25	69%	12.5 / 18
D. Sabonis	24	75%	12.0 / 16
M. Monk	20	63%	10.0 / 16
D. Fox	19	63%	9.5 / 15
T. Lyles	8	67%	4.0 / 6
A. Len	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. McGee	8	57%	4.0 / 7
H. Barnes	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Ellis	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Toscano-Anderson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Huerter	0	-	0.0 / 0
C. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 2
C. Duarte	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Mitchell	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	24	57%	12.0 / 21
T. Rozier	22	65%	11.0 / 17
B. Miller	15	68%	7.5 / 11
N. Smith	11	34%	5.5 / 16
N. Richards	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Bouknight	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. McGowens	4	67%	2.0 / 3
N. Mensah	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Thor	2	14%	1.0 / 7
I. Smith	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 28 108.7	SAC 130.9 +27.7 CHA 103.2
Pace	14 99.4 23 97.8	SAC 95.2 +1.3 CHA 93.8
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 13 14.7	SAC 15.1 −0.2 CHA 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 26 52.9%	SAC 59.0% +9.6% CHA 49.4%
TO %	12 12.5% 20 13.2%	SAC 9.2% −0.4% CHA 9.6%
ORB %	14 24.5% 27 21.1%	SAC 33.3% +16.3% CHA 17.0%
FTrt	22 22.9 30 21.2	SAC 25.8 +7.4 CHA 18.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 18 62.0%	SAC 52.2% +3.6% CHA 48.6%
STL %	14 7.6% 22 7.0%	SAC 2.1% CHA 2.1%
BLK %	27 8.6% 29 8.5%	SAC 16.3% +10.7% CHA 5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 28 54.6%	SAC 59.7% +9.7% CHA 50.0%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 20 63.0%	SAC 68.8% +21.4% CHA 47.4%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 23 40.5%	SAC 50.0% +16.7% CHA 33.3%
3P %	16 36.6% 21 35.5%	SAC 37.1% CHA 42.1% +5.0%
FT %	30 74.5% 11 78.6%	SAC 78.3% +3.3% CHA 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 15 33.2%	SAC 36.0% +14.1% CHA 21.8%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 19 27.7%	SAC 24.7% −9.8% CHA 34.5%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 15 39.1%	SAC 39.3% CHA 43.7% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	CHA
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	123	98
Rebounds	53	36
Assists	24	17
Steals	2	2
Blocks	8	3
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	8 (2)
Fouls	15	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (2)	28 (1)
Field Goals	46-89	35-87
At-the-Rim FG	22-32	9-19
Midrange FG	11-22	10-30
2-Point FG	33-54	19-49
3-Point FG	13-35	16-38
Free Throws	18-23	12-16
Fast Break Pts	13	5
2nd Chance Pts	13	13
Points in Paint	62	28
Pts off Turnovers	11	8
Bench Points	49	25
Biggest Lead	26	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg