Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 10, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Spurs	58%	116	130	134.0	97	94.5
	30	Pistons	42%	113	108	110.2	98	100.7

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+14

-5

106

DET

+16

-10

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.23 61.3%

DET

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 21	28.4	15	50%	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	6-13	46%	1-2	50%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	27.5	16	57%	3	5	1	0	1	0	0	3	3-4	75%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	27.1	11	61%	2	5	0	1	2	2	0	2	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	21.0	16	44%	12	10	0	0	0	1	3	9	4-5	80%	6-12	50%	0-4	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 23	20.9	2	33%	4	1	2	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	24.9	17	71%	1	3	2	1	0	2	0	1	8-8	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	24.1	11	69%	8	4	0	2	0	3	3	5	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	20.9	7	44%	2	3	0	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	20.9	11	79%	6	3	2	0	0	0	1	5	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	15.0	14	117%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-5	80%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	6.5	9	113%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mamadi Diakite #29 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	1.5	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	61%	46	36	7	4	5	15	10	36	23-27	85%	40-67	60%	9-27	33%

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27 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 21	28.4	15	50%	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	6-13	46%	1-2	50%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	27.5	16	57%	3	5	1	0	1	0	0	3	3-4	75%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	27.1	11	61%	2	5	0	1	2	2	0	2	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	21.0	16	44%	12	10	0	0	0	1	3	9	4-5	80%	6-12	50%	0-4	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 23	20.9	2	33%	4	1	2	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	24.9	17	71%	1	3	2	1	0	2	0	1	8-8	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	24.1	11	69%	8	4	0	2	0	3	3	5	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	20.9	7	44%	2	3	0	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	20.9	11	79%	6	3	2	0	0	0	1	5	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	15.0	14	117%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-5	80%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	6.5	9	113%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mamadi Diakite #29 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	1.5	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	61%	46	36	7	4	5	15	10	36	23-27	85%	40-67	60%	9-27	33%

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30 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	32.7	19	73%	2	2	1	0	4	1	0	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	3-5	60%
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 22	31.5	4	25%	4	12	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	30.4	19	48%	3	5	2	2	1	0	0	3	3-5	60%	5-8	63%	2-10	20%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 20	30.3	21	66%	12	2	0	0	1	4	2	10	1-1	100%	10-16	63%	0-0	-
Isaiah Livers #12 · SF · 6'6" 232 · 25	17.1	6	100%	4	1	1	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%

Kevin Knox II #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	23.6	12	55%	4	0	0	0	0	2	3	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Alec Burks #14 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	19.6	15	50%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 23	17.5	3	75%	3	3	0	0	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	16.5	6	43%	2	5	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21	15.0	3	25%	6	1	0	1	1	4	0	6	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Joe Harris #31 · SG · 6'6" 219 · 32	5.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malcolm Cazalon #20 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Strain
Monté Morris #5 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	52%	43	33	4	3	10	19	9	34	10-13	77%	34-64	53%	10-32	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DET
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DET

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.23 61.3%

DET

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

72%

DET

67%

Midrange

SAS

43%

DET

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

13.5

33%

50%

DET

15.0

31%

47%

Free Throws

SAS

85%

DET

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	17	71%	8.5 / 12
D. Vassell	16	57%	8.0 / 14
V. Wembanyama	16	44%	8.0 / 18
J. Sochan	15	50%	7.5 / 15
D. McDermott	14	117%	7.0 / 6
T. Jones	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Barlow	11	69%	5.5 / 8
C. Osman	11	79%	5.5 / 7
B. Wesley	9	113%	4.5 / 4
M. Branham	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Champagnie	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Diakite	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Duren	21	66%	10.5 / 16
B. Bogdanovic	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Ivey	19	48%	9.5 / 20
A. Burks	15	50%	7.5 / 15
K. Knox	12	55%	6.0 / 11
I. Livers	6	100%	3.0 / 3
M. Sasser	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Hayes	4	25%	2.0 / 8
J. Wiseman	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Thompson	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.4 27 109.1	SAS 134.0 +23.8 DET 110.2
Pace	3 101.7 10 100.4	SAS 94.5 DET 100.7 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.1 24 14.1	SAS 15.2 DET 14.3 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.2% 28 52.6%	SAS 56.9% +5.9% DET 51.0%
TO %	26 14.3% 28 14.5%	SAS 4.5% −4.5% DET 9.0%
ORB %	23 22.9% 18 23.9%	SAS 22.7% +2.7% DET 20.0%
FTrt	28 22.0 15 24.6	SAS 28.7 +15.2 DET 13.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.2% 17 62.3%	SAS 73.5% DET 75.0% +1.5%
STL %	23 6.9% 30 6.4%	SAS 7.2% +3.1% DET 4.1%
BLK %	10 9.7% 17 9.3%	SAS 6.3% +1.8% DET 4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.1% 26 54.9%	SAS 61.3% +9.4% DET 51.9%
Rim FG%	16 64.1% 21 62.2%	SAS 71.8% +5.1% DET 66.7%
Mid FG%	24 40.5% 18 41.7%	SAS 42.9% +7.2% DET 35.7%
3P %	28 34.7% 26 34.8%	SAS 33.3% +2.0% DET 31.3%
FT %	14 78.2% 12 78.5%	SAS 85.2% +8.3% DET 76.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 34.2% 12 34.6%	SAS 41.5% +4.0% DET 37.5%
Mid Att. %	9 25.7% 26 29.5%	SAS 29.8% DET 29.2% −0.6%
3P Att. %	12 40.1% 27 36.0%	SAS 28.7% DET 33.3% +4.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	DET
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	130	108
Rebounds	46	43
Assists	36	33
Steals	7	4
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	5 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	15	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	9 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	34 (0)
Field Goals	49-94	44-96
At-the-Rim FG	28-39	24-36
Midrange FG	12-28	10-28
2-Point FG	40-67	34-64
3-Point FG	9-27	10-32
Free Throws	23-27	10-13
Fast Break Pts	19	17
2nd Chance Pts	20	15
Points in Paint	74	62
Pts off Turnovers	16	3
Bench Points	70	39
Biggest Lead	25	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg