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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 10, 2024
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder
128
13Heat
120
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 24.7
26
28
14
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 22.7
35
32
19
9
12
1
1
0
1
1
8
2-2
100%
7-11
6-10
64%
58%
1-3
33%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 21.7
33
30
23
9
2
0
1
3
2
0
9
2-3
67%
9-10
5-8
90%
62%
1-5
20%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 21.3
20
25
9
7
2
1
1
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 25.5
34
35
28
2
8
1
2
1
3
0
2
4-5
80%
9-12
9-16
75%
56%
2-5
40%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 24.5
22
19
11
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
3-6
50%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.2
18
22
8
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
2-4
50%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.1
17
14
7
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
57%
1-2
50%
Vasilije Micic
G · 6'4" 188 · 30.0
15
6
4
1
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
12
5
3
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
1-2
50%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
8
17
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
60%
0-0
-
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
5
0
0-0
64%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 22.0
2
0
0-0
48%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 22.9
2
0
0-0
46%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.9
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 20.6
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 31.2
Keyontae Johnson
F · 6'6" 230 · 23.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
35
18
19
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-7
1-2
29%
55%
5-7
71%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.6
33
20
15
5
4
1
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
3-5
60%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 26.5
37
33
25
11
6
0
1
2
1
5
6
7-7
100%
9-16
8-14
56%
54%
0-0
-
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 22.9
34
36
21
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
6-9
67%
3-4
5-9
75%
57%
3-5
60%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 24.0
36
33
17
5
6
3
1
0
1
0
5
2-4
50%
6-16
5-10
38%
50%
1-5
20%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
25
28
3
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
57%
1-7
14%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.3
21
25
8
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
2-5
40%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 35.3
20
21
12
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
6-6
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
53%
0-2
0%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 24.8
6
0
1-1
56%
R.J. Hampton
G · 6'4" 175 · 22.9
5
0
0-1
48%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.5
2
0
0-1
56%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.4
2
0
0-1
63%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.3
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.7
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 34.3
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 37.8
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.