Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 10, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Nuggets	66%	118	111	111.0	100	108.5
	24	Jazz	34%	112	124	122.8	101	94.5

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+12

-16

UTA

+12

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.16 57.8%

UTA

1.28 63.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	31.3	17	50%	1	6	1	2	4	3	0	1	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	30.5	27	90%	11	6	1	0	6	3	1	10	10-12	83%	7-8	88%	1-1	100%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	28.6	12	100%	5	4	1	0	2	4	2	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-2	100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	28.3	12	60%	1	1	4	1	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	24.0	5	28%	4	1	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-3	33%

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	20.3	5	36%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	17.3	3	19%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	16.7	5	63%	3	1	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	12.3	3	50%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	7.6	5	50%	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	5.8	5	83%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	5.8	2	50%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	5.8	2	100%	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	5.8	8	80%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	58%	34	26	11	4	16	23	8	26	24-28	86%	24-48	50%	13-33	39%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	31.3	17	50%	1	6	1	2	4	3	0	1	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	30.5	27	90%	11	6	1	0	6	3	1	10	10-12	83%	7-8	88%	1-1	100%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	28.6	12	100%	5	4	1	0	2	4	2	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-2	100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	28.3	12	60%	1	1	4	1	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	24.0	5	28%	4	1	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-3	33%

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	20.3	5	36%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	17.3	3	19%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	16.7	5	63%	3	1	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	12.3	3	50%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	7.6	5	50%	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	5.8	5	83%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	5.8	2	50%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	5.8	2	100%	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	5.8	8	80%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	58%	34	26	11	4	16	23	8	26	24-28	86%	24-48	50%	13-33	39%

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24 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 27	32.4	26	68%	12	2	0	1	0	2	2	10	12-12	100%	4-8	50%	2-5	40%
Kris Dunn #11 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 30	25.7	5	125%	4	3	4	1	2	4	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
John Collins #20 · C · 6'9" 226 · 26	24.1	15	68%	6	3	1	0	1	2	0	6	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 25	21.1	22	73%	2	4	1	1	1	3	1	1	4-4	100%	6-10	60%	2-4	50%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	20.5	3	30%	0	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%

Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 32	33.0	27	71%	2	9	0	0	3	1	0	2	0-1	0%	9-11	82%	3-8	38%
Keyonte George #3 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 20	22.3	6	38%	1	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	19.3	9	90%	3	5	2	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	15.0	8	100%	4	1	2	1	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	13.4	0	0%	4	1	1	2	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 26	3.3	2	100%	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	3.3	1	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jason Preston #17 · PG · 6'3" 181 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	64%	40	34	12	8	16	19	7	33	19-23	83%	33-50	66%	13-33	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.16 57.8%

UTA

1.28 63.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

57%

UTA

75%

Midrange

DEN

44%

UTA

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

19.5

39%

59%

UTA

19.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

DEN

86%

UTA

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	27	90%	13.5 / 15
J. Murray	17	50%	8.5 / 17
A. Gordon	12	100%	6.0 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope	12	60%	6.0 / 10
C. Gillespie	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Porter	5	28%	2.5 / 9
R. Jackson	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Braun	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Jordan	5	50%	2.5 / 5
Z. Nnaji	5	83%	2.5 / 3
P. Watson	3	19%	1.5 / 8
J. Holiday	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Huff	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Key	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Clarkson	27	71%	13.5 / 19
L. Markkanen	26	68%	13.0 / 19
C. Sexton	22	73%	11.0 / 15
J. Collins	15	68%	7.5 / 11
K. Olynyk	9	90%	4.5 / 5
W. Kessler	8	100%	4.0 / 4
K. George	6	38%	3.0 / 8
K. Dunn	5	125%	2.5 / 2
S. Fontecchio	3	30%	1.5 / 5
Ö. Yurtseven	2	100%	1.0 / 1
L. Samanic	1	50%	0.5 / 1
O. Agbaji	0	-	0.0 / 2
T. Hendricks	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 18 114.6	DEN 111.0 UTA 122.8 +11.8
Pace	26 97.4 9 100.5	DEN 108.5 +14.0 UTA 94.5
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 16 14.6	DEN 13.3 −2.0 UTA 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 18 53.9%	DEN 53.7% UTA 63.3% +9.6%
TO %	7 12.1% 30 14.8%	DEN 14.6% −0.8% UTA 15.4%
ORB %	6 25.5% 2 28.1%	DEN 19.5% UTA 21.2% +1.7%
FTrt	24 22.4 11 25.1	DEN 34.6 +6.9 UTA 27.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 10 64.8%	DEN 70.3% UTA 73.9% +3.6%
STL %	20 7.3% 29 6.5%	DEN 11.0% UTA 11.9% +0.9%
BLK %	25 8.7% 3 11.1%	DEN 8.0% UTA 16.7% +8.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 15 56.5%	DEN 57.8% UTA 63.9% +6.1%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 11 65.2%	DEN 56.5% UTA 75.0% +18.5%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 20 41.3%	DEN 44.0% UTA 57.7% +13.7%
3P %	10 37.4% 22 35.4%	DEN 39.4% UTA 39.4%
FT %	25 76.2% 1 83.0%	DEN 85.7% +3.1% UTA 82.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 20 32.6%	DEN 28.4% UTA 28.9% +0.5%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 15 26.8%	DEN 30.9% −0.5% UTA 31.3%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 10 40.6%	DEN 40.7% +1.0% UTA 39.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	UTA
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.6
Points	111	124
Rebounds	34	40
Assists	26	34
Steals	11	12
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls	23	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (1)	33 (1)
Field Goals	37-81	46-83
At-the-Rim FG	13-23	18-24
Midrange FG	11-25	15-26
2-Point FG	24-48	33-50
3-Point FG	13-33	13-33
Free Throws	24-28	19-23
Fast Break Pts	15	18
2nd Chance Pts	13	8
Points in Paint	40	54
Pts off Turnovers	20	27
Bench Points	38	53
Biggest Lead	2	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg