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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 12, 2024
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Rockets75%115112
30Pistons25%106110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 28.2
19.6
22.2
2
50%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
59%
0-0
-
Jabari Smith Jr.
F · 6'10" 220 · 20.7
41.0
35.7
19
57%
11
1
1
1
2
1
5
6
4-4
100%
6-12
4-6
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Alperen Sengun
C · 6'10" 243 · 21.5
37.3
33.1
29
66%
6
1
1
1
0
4
0
6
5-7
71%
12-18
9-15
67%
60%
0-1
0%
Jalen Green
G · 6'6" 186 · 21.9
39.0
31.4
28
48%
4
3
2
1
1
1
2
2
8-9
89%
7-16
4-8
44%
51%
2-9
22%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 29.9
42.5
35.2
20
61%
4
12
2
1
2
0
1
3
3-3
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
3-9
33%
Reggie Bullock Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 32.8
20.8
3.0
3
50%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
1-3
33%
Cam Whitmore
F · 6'7" 230 · 19.5
15.4
20.0
3
21%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
58%
1-5
20%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 37.4
13.1
19.3
6
104%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
62%
0-0
-
Amen Thompson
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.9
7.8
13.9
2
50%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 27.3
3.3
15.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.2
2.7
0
0-1
62%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 35.4
1.5
0
0-1
59%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 28.0
Nate Williams
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.9
Jermaine Samuels Jr.
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.2
Tari Eason
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.7
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.7
Nate Hinton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.4
35.2
20.4
19
92%
7
2
1
0
2
1
0
7
3-3
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
54%
2-4
50%
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
28.6
14.7
16
58%
7
1
0
0
0
3
0
7
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
55%
3-8
38%
Jalen Duren
C · 6'11" 250 · 20.2
31.5
27.8
15
58%
8
3
2
1
1
2
2
6
1-2
50%
7-12
6-9
58%
64%
0-0
-
Jaden Ivey
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.9
28.0
28.1
18
43%
7
8
0
1
1
3
5
2
1-4
25%
7-13
3-7
54%
50%
1-6
17%
Killian Hayes
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.5
28.8
25.8
5
39%
4
8
1
1
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 32.5
29.9
19.8
19
68%
0
1
0
1
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
5-9
56%
Ausar Thompson
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.9
18.3
14.3
4
67%
8
0
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Livers
F · 6'6" 232 · 25.5
16.5
19.2
3
38%
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
1-4
25%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 24.8
12.2
4.8
11
71%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
4-6
1-2
67%
57%
0-0
-
Marcus Sasser
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.3
10.9
13.3
0
0%
1
7
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
James Wiseman
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.8
18.1
0
3-5
59%
Stanley Umude
G · 6'6" 210 · 24.8
5.9
0
0-1
49%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 32.4
5.5
0
0-0
55%
Jared Rhoden
G · 6'6" 210 · 24.4
Malcolm Cazalon
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.4
Cade Cunningham
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.