Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 12, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Blazers	10%	96	93	93.9	99	94.2
	3	Timberwolves	90%	115	116	117.2	99	104.3

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+14

-19

MIN

+10

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.99 49.5%

MIN

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	30.5	13	41%	0	1	2	0	0	3	0	0	3-3	100%	2-8	25%	2-7	29%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	28.8	5	21%	2	3	0	1	3	0	0	2	5-5	100%	0-8	0%	0-2	0%
Scoot Henderson #00 · SG · 6'3" 207 · 20	25.2	8	57%	2	4	0	0	6	2	0	2	2-7	29%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	24.8	14	70%	5	0	0	1	3	1	2	3	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	23.9	14	47%	6	0	1	1	1	4	3	3	0-3	0%	4-8	50%	2-6	33%

Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	32.5	17	71%	13	3	1	0	4	4	2	11	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	25.9	9	50%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	14.4	3	50%	1	0	2	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	9.5	2	50%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	9.5	3	150%	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	8.5	2	100%	6	0	0	1	1	3	3	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	6.6	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Fracture
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Adductor; Soreness
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	50%	38	18	8	5	19	19	10	28	23-34	68%	20-49	41%	10-28	36%

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29 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	30.5	13	41%	0	1	2	0	0	3	0	0	3-3	100%	2-8	25%	2-7	29%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	28.8	5	21%	2	3	0	1	3	0	0	2	5-5	100%	0-8	0%	0-2	0%
Scoot Henderson #00 · SG · 6'3" 207 · 20	25.2	8	57%	2	4	0	0	6	2	0	2	2-7	29%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	24.8	14	70%	5	0	0	1	3	1	2	3	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	23.9	14	47%	6	0	1	1	1	4	3	3	0-3	0%	4-8	50%	2-6	33%

Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	32.5	17	71%	13	3	1	0	4	4	2	11	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	25.9	9	50%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	14.4	3	50%	1	0	2	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	9.5	2	50%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	9.5	3	150%	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	8.5	2	100%	6	0	0	1	1	3	3	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	6.6	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Fracture
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Adductor; Soreness
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	50%	38	18	8	5	19	19	10	28	23-34	68%	20-49	41%	10-28	36%

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3 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	28.4	24	80%	17	0	0	2	1	2	5	12	6-8	75%	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	27.8	23	105%	8	1	2	0	0	2	1	7	6-7	86%	4-5	80%	3-3	100%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	27.3	9	45%	3	6	1	1	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	23.9	9	56%	2	3	2	0	4	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	20.4	9	64%	4	10	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-5	60%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	20.7	14	58%	3	1	2	0	0	2	1	2	2-5	40%	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	18.9	2	33%	2	3	2	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	15.3	2	50%	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	12.8	2	33%	0	5	1	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	9.8	6	60%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	9.3	6	60%	2	3	0	0	3	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	9.3	2	25%	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	8.3	4	100%	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	7.8	4	50%	2	0	1	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	62%	45	35	14	5	15	23	8	37	17-24	71%	33-49	67%	11-31	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.99 49.5%

MIN

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

54%

MIN

72%

Midrange

POR

24%

MIN

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

15.0

36%

54%

MIN

16.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

POR

68%

MIN

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Walker	17	71%	8.5 / 12
T. Camara	14	70%	7.0 / 10
D. Reath	14	47%	7.0 / 15
J. Grant	13	41%	6.5 / 16
M. Brogdon	9	50%	4.5 / 9
S. Henderson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Simons	5	21%	2.5 / 12
M. Thybulle	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Minaya	3	150%	1.5 / 1
R. Rupert	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Murray	2	50%	1.0 / 2
I. Badji	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Gobert	24	80%	12.0 / 15
K. Towns	23	105%	11.5 / 11
N. Reid	14	58%	7.0 / 12
A. Edwards	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. McDaniels	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Conley	9	64%	4.5 / 7
S. Milton	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Brown Jr.	6	60%	3.0 / 5
W. Moore	4	100%	2.0 / 2
L. Miller	4	50%	2.0 / 4
N. Alexander-Walker	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Anderson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. McLaughlin	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Minott	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 17 114.7	POR 93.9 MIN 117.2 +23.2
Pace	21 97.9 22 97.9	POR 94.2 MIN 104.3 +10.1
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 3 15.0	POR 15.3 MIN 13.8 −1.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 10 55.9%	POR 45.5% MIN 61.9% +16.4%
TO %	29 14.6% 22 13.6%	POR 17.9% MIN 15.0% −2.9%
ORB %	3 27.5% 22 23.1%	POR 21.3% MIN 22.2% +0.9%
FTrt	23 22.8 5 27.0	POR 44.2 +14.2 MIN 30.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 12 64.6%	POR 60.0% MIN 79.5% +19.5%
STL %	12 7.7% 6 8.0%	POR 8.1% MIN 14.1% +6.0%
BLK %	20 9.0% 4 11.0%	POR 10.2% MIN 10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 10 57.7%	POR 49.5% MIN 61.7% +12.2%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 15 64.3%	POR 53.6% MIN 72.2% +18.6%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 16 42.6%	POR 23.8% MIN 53.8% +30.0%
3P %	30 34.5% 3 38.7%	POR 35.7% +0.2% MIN 35.5%
FT %	9 79.1% 18 77.7%	POR 67.6% MIN 70.8% +3.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 14 34.1%	POR 36.4% MIN 45.0% +8.6%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 16 27.5%	POR 27.3% MIN 16.3% −11.0%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 17 38.4%	POR 36.4% MIN 38.8% +2.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	POR	MIN
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	93	116
Rebounds	38	45
Assists	18	35
Steals	8	14
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	15 (1)
Fouls	19	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	37 (3)
Field Goals	30-77	44-80
At-the-Rim FG	15-28	26-36
Midrange FG	5-21	7-13
2-Point FG	20-49	33-49
3-Point FG	10-28	11-31
Free Throws	23-34	17-24
Fast Break Pts	11	12
2nd Chance Pts	13	13
Points in Paint	36	60
Pts off Turnovers	15	28
Bench Points	39	42
Biggest Lead	0	36

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg