Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 12, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Pelicans	41%	110	113	111.9	101	107.4
	4	Nuggets	59%	114	125	123.8	101	95.3

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

-8

102

DEN

+14

-15

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.11 55.4%

DEN

1.25 62.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 24	35.4	30	63%	6	5	0	1	1	1	2	4	4-6	67%	13-22	59%	0-0	-
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 26	33.8	9	38%	4	6	0	0	2	2	0	4	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 32	30.2	12	55%	5	7	1	0	2	2	0	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	25.6	17	61%	6	1	0	0	0	3	2	4	6-6	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25	19.2	8	100%	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-2	100%

Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 24	27.6	6	33%	3	4	2	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-8	25%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	20.4	13	108%	2	1	2	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26	16.6	10	63%	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	15.4	2	20%	4	3	3	0	0	0	2	2	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	12.1	6	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23	1.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	INACTIVE
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	55%	35	30	9	3	8	10	8	27	16-22	73%	29-56	52%	13-33	39%

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9 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 24	35.4	30	63%	6	5	0	1	1	1	2	4	4-6	67%	13-22	59%	0-0	-
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 26	33.8	9	38%	4	6	0	0	2	2	0	4	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 32	30.2	12	55%	5	7	1	0	2	2	0	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	25.6	17	61%	6	1	0	0	0	3	2	4	6-6	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25	19.2	8	100%	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-2	100%

Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 24	27.6	6	33%	3	4	2	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-8	25%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	20.4	13	108%	2	1	2	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26	16.6	10	63%	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	15.4	2	20%	4	3	3	0	0	0	2	2	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	12.1	6	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23	1.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	INACTIVE
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	55%	35	30	9	3	8	10	8	27	16-22	73%	29-56	52%	13-33	39%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	34.1	20	67%	2	9	0	0	2	3	0	2	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	3-5	60%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	33.4	20	77%	10	1	1	1	1	2	1	9	2-3	67%	6-7	86%	2-5	40%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	32.2	27	71%	10	14	0	1	2	4	3	7	4-4	100%	10-15	67%	1-2	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	31.0	11	61%	2	3	2	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	31.0	15	58%	5	2	0	0	2	2	3	2	1-3	33%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	24.4	12	60%	2	0	1	0	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	16.7	4	40%	6	0	0	0	3	2	1	5	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	15.1	8	57%	3	0	1	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	13.9	6	100%	7	1	0	1	0	1	1	6	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	1.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	63%	48	30	5	4	15	18	10	38	11-15	73%	36-57	63%	14-33	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.11 55.4%

DEN

1.25 62.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

59%

DEN

66%

Midrange

NOP

42%

DEN

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

19.5

39%

59%

DEN

21.0

42%

64%

Free Throws

NOP

73%

DEN

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Williamson	30	63%	15.0 / 24
J. Valančiūnas	17	61%	8.5 / 14
L. Nance	13	108%	6.5 / 6
C. McCollum	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Alvarado	10	63%	5.0 / 8
B. Ingram	9	38%	4.5 / 12
H. Jones	8	100%	4.0 / 4
T. Murphy	6	33%	3.0 / 9
N. Marshall	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Daniels	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	27	71%	13.5 / 19
J. Murray	20	67%	10.0 / 15
M. Porter	20	77%	10.0 / 13
A. Gordon	15	58%	7.5 / 13
R. Jackson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	61%	5.5 / 9
P. Watson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Jordan	6	100%	3.0 / 3
C. Braun	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Gillespie	2	100%	1.0 / 1
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 116.6 5 117.9	NOP 111.9 DEN 123.8 +11.9
Pace	16 98.6 26 97.4	NOP 107.4 +12.2 DEN 95.3
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.4 4 15.0	NOP 13.4 −1.7 DEN 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.8% 8 56.2%	NOP 54.5% DEN 63.3% +8.8%
TO %	15 12.6% 7 12.1%	NOP 8.4% −6.6% DEN 15.0%
ORB %	15 24.4% 6 25.5%	NOP 17.4% DEN 27.0% +9.6%
FTrt	7 26.1 24 22.4	NOP 24.7 +8.0 DEN 16.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.4% 5 66.9%	NOP 71.4% +11.4% DEN 60.0%
STL %	2 8.4% 20 7.3%	NOP 8.9% +3.9% DEN 5.0%
BLK %	8 9.9% 25 8.7%	NOP 5.3% DEN 7.1% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.7% 11 57.5%	NOP 55.4% DEN 62.5% +7.1%
Rim FG%	19 63.2% 17 63.6%	NOP 59.4% DEN 65.9% +6.5%
Mid FG%	12 44.3% 3 47.0%	NOP 41.7% DEN 56.3% +14.6%
3P %	4 38.3% 10 37.4%	NOP 39.4% DEN 42.4% +3.0%
FT %	21 77.1% 25 76.2%	NOP 72.7% DEN 73.3% +0.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 34.7% 4 36.0%	NOP 36.0% DEN 45.6% +9.6%
Mid Att. %	22 28.0% 25 28.8%	NOP 27.0% DEN 17.8% −9.2%
3P Att. %	22 37.3% 30 35.2%	NOP 37.1% +0.4% DEN 36.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOP	DEN
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	113	125
Rebounds	35	48
Assists	30	30
Steals	9	5
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	15 (2)
Fouls	10	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	38 (2)
Field Goals	42-89	50-90
At-the-Rim FG	19-32	27-41
Midrange FG	10-24	9-16
2-Point FG	29-56	36-57
3-Point FG	13-33	14-33
Free Throws	16-22	11-15
Fast Break Pts	13	19
2nd Chance Pts	6	16
Points in Paint	50	56
Pts off Turnovers	19	13
Bench Points	37	32
Biggest Lead	5	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg