Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 13, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Rockets	19%	102	113	104.6	108	115.1
	1	Celtics	81%	115	145	135.5	107	100.8

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+18

-12

114

BOS

+11

-11

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.99 49.6%

BOS

1.36 67.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	27.4	9	41%	6	2	0	0	2	2	1	5	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	24.9	12	55%	1	0	1	0	0	4	1	0	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	24.4	19	53%	10	3	4	0	3	3	2	8	3-3	100%	8-15	53%	0-2	0%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	22.6	5	42%	1	7	0	1	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	20.3	10	50%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%

Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	27.8	22	69%	7	0	1	1	1	2	1	6	6-8	75%	5-6	83%	2-7	29%
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	24.9	10	42%	10	3	3	0	4	0	3	7	4-4	100%	3-10	30%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	14.0	9	75%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	12.0	2	17%	3	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	9.1	5	83%	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	9.0	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	8.8	5	42%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	8.1	3	150%	3	1	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	6.7	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	50%	50	20	10	3	12	18	15	35	26-30	87%	33-69	48%	7-30	23%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

20 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	27.4	9	41%	6	2	0	0	2	2	1	5	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	24.9	12	55%	1	0	1	0	0	4	1	0	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	24.4	19	53%	10	3	4	0	3	3	2	8	3-3	100%	8-15	53%	0-2	0%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	22.6	5	42%	1	7	0	1	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	20.3	10	50%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%

Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	27.8	22	69%	7	0	1	1	1	2	1	6	6-8	75%	5-6	83%	2-7	29%
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	24.9	10	42%	10	3	3	0	4	0	3	7	4-4	100%	3-10	30%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	14.0	9	75%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	12.0	2	17%	3	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	9.1	5	83%	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	9.0	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	8.8	5	42%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	8.1	3	150%	3	1	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	6.7	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	50%	50	20	10	3	12	18	15	35	26-30	87%	33-69	48%	7-30	23%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26	29.5	27	71%	8	5	1	1	2	2	1	7	5-7	71%	5-10	50%	4-7	57%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	28.4	32	84%	6	2	2	2	3	5	1	5	6-10	60%	7-9	78%	4-6	67%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 28	28.1	17	71%	7	5	1	3	2	3	1	6	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	26.1	11	50%	6	3	0	0	1	2	2	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	25.3	13	72%	3	5	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	22.6	19	86%	4	3	0	0	2	1	2	2	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	3-6	50%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38	20.4	7	88%	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26	20.2	6	33%	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-8	25%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28	14.3	2	50%	2	0	0	1	0	5	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	9.1	5	125%	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27	9.1	6	60%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Lamar Stevens #77 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	6.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	145	68%	50	26	7	8	11	21	10	40	19-25	76%	27-48	56%	24-47	51%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.99 49.6%

BOS

1.36 67.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

58%

BOS

64%

Midrange

HOU

35%

BOS

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

10.5

23%

35%

BOS

36.0

51%

77%

Free Throws

HOU

87%

BOS

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Whitmore	22	69%	11.0 / 16
A. Sengun	19	53%	9.5 / 18
D. Brooks	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Green	10	50%	5.0 / 10
A. Thompson	10	42%	5.0 / 12
J. Smith	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. Green	9	75%	4.5 / 6
F. VanVleet	5	42%	2.5 / 6
N. Williams	5	83%	2.5 / 3
A. Holiday	5	42%	2.5 / 6
R. Bullock	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Landale	2	17%	1.0 / 6
B. Marjanovic	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	32	84%	16.0 / 19
J. Tatum	27	71%	13.5 / 19
P. Pritchard	19	86%	9.5 / 11
K. Porziņģis	17	71%	8.5 / 12
D. White	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Holiday	11	50%	5.5 / 11
A. Horford	7	88%	3.5 / 4
S. Hauser	6	33%	3.0 / 9
S. Mykhailiuk	6	60%	3.0 / 5
O. Brissett	5	125%	2.5 / 2
L. Kornet	2	50%	1.0 / 2
L. Stevens	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.8 1 122.2	HOU 104.6 BOS 135.5 +30.9
Pace	13 99.6 19 98.0	HOU 115.1 +14.4 BOS 100.8
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 5 15.0	HOU 12.5 −1.8 BOS 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.9% 2 57.8%	HOU 43.9% BOS 66.3% +22.4%
TO %	8 12.1% 1 11.4%	HOU 10.4% BOS 10.2% −0.2%
ORB %	10 25.1% 12 24.9%	HOU 27.3% +5.1% BOS 22.2%
FTrt	9 25.7 25 22.4	HOU 30.3 +4.0 BOS 26.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.4% 21 61.3%	HOU 50.0% BOS 51.0% +1.0%
STL %	9 7.8% 26 6.9%	HOU 9.3% +2.8% BOS 6.5%
BLK %	11 9.7% 7 10.7%	HOU 6.3% BOS 11.6% +5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.2% 1 59.5%	HOU 49.6% BOS 67.8% +18.2%
Rim FG%	24 61.2% 2 68.1%	HOU 57.9% BOS 64.0% +6.1%
Mid FG%	21 41.2% 15 43.5%	HOU 35.5% BOS 47.8% +12.3%
3P %	23 35.2% 2 38.8%	HOU 23.3% BOS 51.1% +27.8%
FT %	20 77.3% 7 80.7%	HOU 86.7% +10.7% BOS 76.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.5% 26 30.1%	HOU 38.4% +12.1% BOS 26.3%
Mid Att. %	3 24.7% 1 22.8%	HOU 31.3% BOS 24.2% −7.1%
3P Att. %	13 39.7% 1 47.1%	HOU 30.3% BOS 49.5% +19.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	HOU	BOS
Possessions	108	107
Possession Minutes	22.5	25.5
Points	113	145
Rebounds	50	50
Assists	20	26
Steals	10	7
Blocks	3	8
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls	18	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (3)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	40 (3)
Field Goals	40-99	51-95
At-the-Rim FG	22-38	16-25
Midrange FG	11-31	11-23
2-Point FG	33-69	27-48
3-Point FG	7-30	24-47
Free Throws	26-30	19-25
Fast Break Pts	21	28
2nd Chance Pts	20	13
Points in Paint	54	38
Pts off Turnovers	13	18
Bench Points	58	45
Biggest Lead	6	36

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg