Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 13, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Wizards	33%	117	127	122.1	104	104.6
	15	Hawks	67%	123	99	95.2	104	106.3

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+17

-12

109

ATL

+22

-14

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.17 58.3%

ATL

0.88 44.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	37.1	19	68%	14	9	1	1	3	5	1	13	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	29.8	10	100%	6	0	1	2	1	0	0	6	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	27.4	29	63%	6	4	0	1	2	0	3	3	6-7	86%	7-15	47%	3-5	60%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	26.1	8	44%	3	7	1	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	25.8	20	63%	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	2-6	33%

Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 19	27.8	12	55%	6	3	2	1	1	4	0	6	5-6	83%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	21.9	8	57%	2	4	2	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	18.2	8	44%	9	0	0	1	2	5	3	6	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	17.6	11	69%	4	2	0	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	4.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Hamidou Diallo #9 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 25	3.7	2	50%	2	1	2	0	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27
Mike Muscala #35 · C · 6'11" 240 · 33
Danilo Gallinari #88 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Non-Covid illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	58%	54	32	10	7	12	22	12	42	21-26	81%	35-65	54%	12-32	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

26 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	37.1	19	68%	14	9	1	1	3	5	1	13	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	29.8	10	100%	6	0	1	2	1	0	0	6	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	27.4	29	63%	6	4	0	1	2	0	3	3	6-7	86%	7-15	47%	3-5	60%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	26.1	8	44%	3	7	1	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	25.8	20	63%	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	2-6	33%

Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 19	27.8	12	55%	6	3	2	1	1	4	0	6	5-6	83%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	21.9	8	57%	2	4	2	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	18.2	8	44%	9	0	0	1	2	5	3	6	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	17.6	11	69%	4	2	0	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	4.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Hamidou Diallo #9 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 25	3.7	2	50%	2	1	2	0	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27
Mike Muscala #35 · C · 6'11" 240 · 33
Danilo Gallinari #88 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Non-Covid illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	58%	54	32	10	7	12	22	12	42	21-26	81%	35-65	54%	12-32	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	36.1	21	46%	2	10	1	1	1	5	1	1	7-9	78%	4-9	44%	2-10	20%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	35.9	5	36%	6	3	0	2	4	3	0	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	31.1	13	38%	5	3	0	0	2	1	0	5	4-4	100%	3-9	33%	1-6	17%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	26.8	16	53%	7	0	4	0	1	1	6	1	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	24.2	4	25%	8	0	0	1	0	1	2	6	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	23.8	14	54%	3	2	3	0	0	2	1	2	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	3-8	38%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	19.0	9	64%	10	1	0	3	2	4	6	4	3-5	60%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	15.4	8	57%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	13.3	4	33%	2	1	1	0	2	1	0	2	2-4	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	4.8	4	100%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	4.8	1	25%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Subluxation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	44%	50	21	9	9	14	20	16	34	24-33	73%	21-53	40%	11-40	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ATL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.17 58.3%

ATL

0.88 44.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

62%

ATL

41%

Midrange

WAS

39%

ATL

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

18.0

38%

56%

ATL

16.5

28%

41%

Free Throws

WAS

81%

ATL

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	29	63%	14.5 / 23
J. Poole	20	63%	10.0 / 16
D. Avdija	19	68%	9.5 / 14
B. Coulibaly	12	55%	6.0 / 11
C. Kispert	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Gafford	10	100%	5.0 / 5
T. Jones	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Wright	8	57%	4.0 / 7
P. Baldwin	8	44%	4.0 / 9
H. Diallo	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Bernard	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	21	46%	10.5 / 23
S. Bey	16	53%	8.0 / 15
B. Bogdanović	14	54%	7.0 / 13
D. Murray	13	38%	6.5 / 17
O. Okongwu	9	64%	4.5 / 7
G. Mathews	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Johnson	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Capela	4	25%	2.0 / 8
T. Forrest	4	33%	2.0 / 6
B. Fernando	4	100%	2.0 / 2
S. Lundy	1	25%	0.5 / 2
A. Griffin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 110.3 12 116.4	WAS 122.1 +26.9 ATL 95.2
Pace	1 103.0 6 100.9	WAS 104.6 ATL 106.3 +1.6
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.6 21 14.2	WAS 13.8 ATL 13.6 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 53.8% 17 53.9%	WAS 54.6% +14.3% ATL 40.3%
TO %	19 13.1% 13 12.5%	WAS 10.0% −3.0% ATL 13.0%
ORB %	29 20.0% 5 27.1%	WAS 26.1% ATL 27.6% +1.5%
FTrt	27 22.1 12 25.1	WAS 26.8 ATL 35.5 +8.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 64.9% 19 61.8%	WAS 68.1% +2.5% ATL 65.6%
STL %	19 7.3% 18 7.4%	WAS 9.6% +0.9% ATL 8.7%
BLK %	16 9.4% 21 9.0%	WAS 13.2% ATL 13.8% +0.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.8% 16 56.3%	WAS 58.3% +14.1% ATL 44.2%
Rim FG%	8 65.7% 28 60.3%	WAS 61.9% +20.7% ATL 41.2%
Mid FG%	28 39.8% 6 45.2%	WAS 39.1% +2.3% ATL 36.8%
3P %	25 34.8% 17 36.4%	WAS 37.5% +10.0% ATL 27.5%
FT %	24 76.4% 8 79.7%	WAS 80.8% +8.1% ATL 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 35.4% 18 32.8%	WAS 43.3% +6.7% ATL 36.6%
Mid Att. %	8 25.7% 11 26.5%	WAS 23.7% ATL 20.4% −3.3%
3P Att. %	16 38.9% 9 40.8%	WAS 33.0% ATL 43.0% +10.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	ATL
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	23.9	23.5
Points	127	99
Rebounds	54	50
Assists	32	21
Steals	10	9
Blocks	7	9
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	14 (2)
Fouls	22	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	16 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (4)	34 (2)
Field Goals	47-97	32-93
At-the-Rim FG	26-42	14-34
Midrange FG	9-23	7-19
2-Point FG	35-65	21-53
3-Point FG	12-32	11-40
Free Throws	21-26	24-33
Fast Break Pts	31	8
2nd Chance Pts	22	15
Points in Paint	60	36
Pts off Turnovers	27	14
Bench Points	41	40
Biggest Lead	30	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg