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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 14, 2024
3:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Pacers
109
3Nuggets
117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 30.1
28
22
16
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
52%
2-9
22%
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'10" 215 · 23.8
25
17
8
3
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-1
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
60%
0-1
0%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
26
28
12
4
1
2
1
1
3
1
3
2-3
67%
5-7
5-8
71%
61%
0-4
0%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 27.4
33
23
18
10
6
3
1
0
2
5
5
1-3
33%
7-14
3-5
50%
55%
1-2
50%
Andrew Nembhard
G-F · 6'5" 191 · 24.0
29
20
12
2
7
0
1
0
2
1
1
4-6
67%
4-7
2-5
57%
52%
0-1
0%
Obi Toppin
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.9
25
22
11
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
66%
3-3
100%
Bennedict Mathurin
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 21.6
22
27
12
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
5-5
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'10" 205 · 22.0
20
15
12
7
1
2
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
6-9
3-4
67%
61%
0-0
-
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.8
19
22
5
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-7
4-7
29%
55%
0-2
0%
Jordan Nwora
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.3
13
7
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Jarace Walker
F · 6'8" 235 · 20.4
4
0
0-1
52%
Kendall Brown
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.7
3
0
0-1
53%
Oscar Tshiebwe
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 24.1
3
0
0-1
52%
Ben Sheppard
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
3
0
0-0
54%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 36.9
2
0
0-0
52%
Isaiah Wong
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.2
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.5
37
29
25
8
5
1
1
2
1
0
8
0-0
-
2-4
4-6
50%
60%
7-11
64%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.3
37
29
20
10
3
0
1
0
2
1
9
6-8
75%
7-9
4-7
78%
61%
0-1
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.9
33
31
25
12
9
2
1
1
7
3
9
1-2
50%
12-13
8-12
92%
65%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.9
37
30
11
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
2-3
67%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.9
36
32
25
1
8
1
1
0
5
0
1
2-4
50%
10-14
6-11
71%
54%
1-4
25%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.7
23
21
9
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
3-4
75%
3-3
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
15
17
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-4
2-3
25%
57%
0-1
0%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.3
14
17
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
59%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.5
7
11
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
69%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.8
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.0
5
0
1-1
62%
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.4
4
0
0-0
63%
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.6
3
0
0-0
55%
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.9
3
0
0-1
57%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.2
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.7
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.