Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Kings	41%	117	142	124.6	114	112.8
	10	Bucks	59%	120	143	126.5	113	94.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	44.9	21	95%	13	15	1	1	3	3	3	10	2-2	100%	8-9	89%	1-1	100%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	42.9	32	55%	2	5	3	0	4	4	1	1	6-7	86%	10-20	50%	2-6	33%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	38.7	26	93%	10	3	1	0	1	4	0	10	0-0	-	4-5	80%	6-9	67%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 32	31.8	14	78%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	5-5	100%	1-4	25%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 23	19.5	4	22%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-2	0%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	36.3	28	56%	7	7	0	0	1	1	1	6	6-10	60%	5-12	42%	4-9	44%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	33.1	9	56%	7	2	0	0	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	11.4	4	50%	5	1	0	0	0	3	3	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	6.4	4	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 31
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	INACTIVE
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	142	61%	47	34	6	2	9	19	9	38	15-20	75%	38-64	59%	17-41	41%

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15 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	44.9	21	95%	13	15	1	1	3	3	3	10	2-2	100%	8-9	89%	1-1	100%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	42.9	32	55%	2	5	3	0	4	4	1	1	6-7	86%	10-20	50%	2-6	33%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	38.7	26	93%	10	3	1	0	1	4	0	10	0-0	-	4-5	80%	6-9	67%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 32	31.8	14	78%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	5-5	100%	1-4	25%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 23	19.5	4	22%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-2	0%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	36.3	28	56%	7	7	0	0	1	1	1	6	6-10	60%	5-12	42%	4-9	44%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	33.1	9	56%	7	2	0	0	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	11.4	4	50%	5	1	0	0	0	3	3	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	6.4	4	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 31
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	INACTIVE
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	142	61%	47	34	6	2	9	19	9	38	15-20	75%	38-64	59%	17-41	41%

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10 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	45.3	23	88%	4	5	1	0	1	5	0	4	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	5-9	56%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	41.4	29	58%	4	8	0	0	4	0	0	4	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	5-13	38%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	40.4	27	61%	10	10	3	0	4	4	1	9	9-14	64%	9-14	64%	0-2	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	40.1	17	57%	9	3	0	3	0	2	1	8	0-0	-	4-9	44%	3-6	50%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 22	10.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	33.2	5	63%	3	2	0	0	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	25.6	22	92%	10	1	0	0	2	1	2	8	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	2-2	100%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	17.5	5	42%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	11.6	15	94%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22
Robin Lopez #42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 36
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Surgery
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	143	66%	40	31	5	3	13	22	4	36	27-32	84%	28-49	57%	20-43	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.22 61.2%

MIL

1.32 66.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

21

30

70%

MIL

19

27

70%

Midrange

SAC

17

34

50%

MIL

9

22

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

17

25.5

41

41%

62%

MIL

20

30.0

43

47%

70%

Free Throws

SAC

15

20

75%

MIL

27

32

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	32	55%	16.0 / 29
M. Monk	28	56%	14.0 / 25
K. Huerter	26	93%	13.0 / 14
D. Sabonis	21	95%	10.5 / 11
H. Barnes	14	78%	7.0 / 9
T. Lyles	9	56%	4.5 / 8
K. Murray	4	22%	2.0 / 9
A. Len	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Vezenkov	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	29	58%	14.5 / 25
G. Antetokounmpo	27	61%	13.5 / 22
M. Beasley	23	88%	11.5 / 13
B. Portis	22	92%	11.0 / 12
B. Lopez	17	57%	8.5 / 15
C. Payne	15	94%	7.5 / 8
P. Connaughton	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Green	5	42%	2.5 / 6
A. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 0

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 6 117.6	SAC 124.6 MIL 126.5 +2.0
Pace	14 99.4 8 100.6	SAC 112.8 +18.4 MIL 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 19 14.4	SAC 12.8 −2.5 MIL 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 4 56.8%	SAC 60.5% MIL 63.0% +2.5%
TO %	12 12.5% 10 12.2%	SAC 7.3% −4.4% MIL 11.7%
ORB %	14 24.5% 25 21.8%	SAC 20.0% +10.5% MIL 9.5%
FTrt	22 22.9 4 27.0	SAC 19.0 MIL 34.8 +15.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 20 61.5%	SAC 61.8% MIL 64.6% +2.8%
STL %	14 7.6% 28 6.7%	SAC 5.3% +0.9% MIL 4.4%
BLK %	27 8.6% 28 8.5%	SAC 4.1% MIL 4.7% +0.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 6 58.8%	SAC 61.2% MIL 66.2% +5.0%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 4 67.9%	SAC 70.0% MIL 70.4% +0.4%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 11 44.5%	SAC 50.0% +9.1% MIL 40.9%
3P %	16 36.6% 11 37.3%	SAC 41.5% MIL 46.5% +5.0%
FT %	30 74.5% 19 77.4%	SAC 75.0% MIL 84.4% +9.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 24 31.5%	SAC 28.6% MIL 29.3% +0.8%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 7 25.4%	SAC 32.4% MIL 23.9% −8.5%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 4 43.0%	SAC 39.0% MIL 46.7% +7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	MIL
Possessions	114	113
Possession Minutes	24.3	28.7
Points	142	143
Rebounds	47	40
Assists	34	31
Steals	6	5
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	19	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	4 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (2)	36 (4)
Field Goals	55-105	48-92
At-the-Rim FG	21-30	19-27
Midrange FG	17-34	9-22
2-Point FG	38-64	28-49
3-Point FG	17-41	20-43
Free Throws	15-20	27-32
Fast Break Pts	11	14
2nd Chance Pts	4	7
Points in Paint	64	44
Pts off Turnovers	13	14
Bench Points	45	47
Biggest Lead	9	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg