Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 16, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Nuggets	51%	114	121	131.5	92	93.0
	6	76ers	49%	113	126	134.0	94	93.8

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+18

-10

100

PHI

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.21 60.5%

PHI

1.34 67.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	38.5	16	62%	6	4	0	0	2	5	3	3	2-6	33%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	38.1	17	50%	3	10	0	1	2	0	1	2	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.0	25	57%	19	3	1	1	4	3	11	8	3-4	75%	11-18	61%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	33.8	20	71%	5	0	1	0	1	3	0	5	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	4-8	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	32.8	13	50%	5	2	1	0	0	2	0	5	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	19.7	10	71%	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.8	11	92%	4	0	0	1	0	3	0	4	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	11.3	5	50%	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	10.0	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	INACTIVE
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	46	23	4	3	10	19	16	30	19-25	76%	33-60	55%	12-29	41%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	38.5	16	62%	6	4	0	0	2	5	3	3	2-6	33%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	38.1	17	50%	3	10	0	1	2	0	1	2	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.0	25	57%	19	3	1	1	4	3	11	8	3-4	75%	11-18	61%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	33.8	20	71%	5	0	1	0	1	3	0	5	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	4-8	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	32.8	13	50%	5	2	1	0	0	2	0	5	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	19.7	10	71%	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.8	11	92%	4	0	0	1	0	3	0	4	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	11.3	5	50%	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	10.0	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	INACTIVE
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	46	23	4	3	10	19	16	30	19-25	76%	33-60	55%	12-29	41%

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6 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	42.9	25	54%	5	9	2	0	1	2	1	4	3-7	43%	5-11	45%	4-9	44%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	38.5	41	73%	7	10	0	1	3	4	1	6	12-15	80%	10-16	63%	3-6	50%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 32	38.0	24	92%	5	4	1	2	0	2	0	5	6-6	100%	6-6	100%	2-4	50%
Nicolas Batum #40 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35	35.0	8	100%	4	2	0	2	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 28	26.5	11	61%	5	0	1	0	2	4	0	5	0-1	0%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%

Patrick Beverley #22 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	26.6	8	57%	2	2	2	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Marcus Morris Sr. #5 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 34	18.6	7	70%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	4-5	80%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Paul Reed #44 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 25	9.4	2	100%	2	0	0	2	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 26	4.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Danuel House Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar Spine Contusion
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #35 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; AC Joint Sprain
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Tendinitis
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Inflammation
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar Spine Stress Response
Mo Bamba #7 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Fat Pad Impingement
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	67%	32	27	6	7	8	21	5	27	25-34	74%	28-45	62%	15-31	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	PHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.21 60.5%

PHI

1.34 67.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

54%

PHI

79%

Midrange

DEN

56%

PHI

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

18.0

41%

62%

PHI

22.5

48%

73%

Free Throws

DEN

76%

PHI

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	25	57%	12.5 / 22
M. Porter	20	71%	10.0 / 14
J. Murray	17	50%	8.5 / 17
A. Gordon	16	62%	8.0 / 13
K. Caldwell-Pope	13	50%	6.5 / 13
C. Braun	11	92%	5.5 / 6
R. Jackson	10	71%	5.0 / 7
P. Watson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Jordan	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Embiid	41	73%	20.5 / 28
T. Maxey	25	54%	12.5 / 23
T. Harris	24	92%	12.0 / 13
K. Oubre	11	61%	5.5 / 9
N. Batum	8	100%	4.0 / 4
P. Beverley	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Morris	7	70%	3.5 / 5
P. Reed	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 14 116.2	DEN 131.5 PHI 134.0 +2.5
Pace	26 97.4 18 98.2	DEN 93.0 PHI 93.8 +0.8
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 12 14.8	DEN 15.5 PHI 15.4 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 24 53.2%	DEN 57.3% PHI 66.4% +9.1%
TO %	7 12.1% 1 11.4%	DEN 9.9% PHI 8.1% −1.8%
ORB %	6 25.5% 13 24.8%	DEN 37.2% +22.9% PHI 14.3%
FTrt	24 22.4 6 26.4	DEN 28.1 PHI 44.7 +16.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 25 60.0%	DEN 51.1% PHI 62.8% +11.7%
STL %	20 7.3% 1 8.6%	DEN 4.3% PHI 6.4% +2.1%
BLK %	25 8.7% 5 10.8%	DEN 6.7% PHI 11.7% +5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 19 56.1%	DEN 60.5% PHI 67.0% +6.5%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 27 60.9%	DEN 54.3% PHI 78.9% +24.6%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 17 42.0%	DEN 56.0% +6.0% PHI 50.0%
3P %	10 37.4% 18 36.3%	DEN 41.4% PHI 48.4% +7.0%
FT %	25 76.2% 2 82.6%	DEN 76.0% +2.5% PHI 73.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 9 34.8%	DEN 39.3% +14.3% PHI 25.0%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 21 28.0%	DEN 28.1% −6.1% PHI 34.2%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 23 37.3%	DEN 32.6% PHI 40.8% +8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	PHI
Possessions	92	94
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.1
Points	121	126
Rebounds	46	32
Assists	23	27
Steals	4	6
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	8 (0)
Fouls	19	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	27 (1)
Field Goals	45-89	43-76
At-the-Rim FG	19-35	15-19
Midrange FG	14-25	13-26
2-Point FG	33-60	28-45
3-Point FG	12-29	15-31
Free Throws	19-25	25-34
Fast Break Pts	2	10
2nd Chance Pts	22	9
Points in Paint	50	40
Pts off Turnovers	13	12
Bench Points	30	17
Biggest Lead	6	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg