Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 18, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Grizzlies	25%	98	103	107.3	96	107.5
	4	Timberwolves	75%	107	118	122.9	96	86.7

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+13

-14

MIN

+12

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.08 54.2%

MIN

1.26 62.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Xavier Tillman #2 · C · 6'8" 245 · 25	35.9	10	45%	5	6	1	1	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 23	34.6	10	56%	7	5	3	1	2	3	2	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Luke Kennard #10 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 28	31.4	18	100%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	5-7	71%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 24	27.1	36	72%	3	1	0	1	3	5	1	2	3-5	60%	12-17	71%	3-6	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	26.9	5	125%	3	2	1	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	24.9	13	43%	5	0	1	1	2	4	0	5	1-3	33%	3-9	33%	2-5	40%
David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	23.3	8	44%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 26	13.4	0	0%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	12.1	2	20%	1	2	2	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	10.4	1	13%	3	0	0	0	1	2	2	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Central Slip Tear
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	54%	34	22	9	4	14	23	8	26	11-17	65%	25-51	49%	14-34	41%

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25 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Xavier Tillman #2 · C · 6'8" 245 · 25	35.9	10	45%	5	6	1	1	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 23	34.6	10	56%	7	5	3	1	2	3	2	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Luke Kennard #10 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 28	31.4	18	100%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	5-7	71%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 24	27.1	36	72%	3	1	0	1	3	5	1	2	3-5	60%	12-17	71%	3-6	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	26.9	5	125%	3	2	1	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	24.9	13	43%	5	0	1	1	2	4	0	5	1-3	33%	3-9	33%	2-5	40%
David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	23.3	8	44%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 26	13.4	0	0%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	12.1	2	20%	1	2	2	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	10.4	1	13%	3	0	0	0	1	2	2	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Central Slip Tear
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	54%	34	22	9	4	14	23	8	26	11-17	65%	25-51	49%	14-34	41%

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4 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	38.9	17	57%	10	4	0	6	3	3	3	7	7-10	70%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	35.6	11	61%	3	0	1	1	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	34.5	28	67%	5	5	1	0	3	2	0	5	5-6	83%	10-13	77%	1-6	17%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	29.7	17	77%	4	10	2	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	29.4	14	54%	7	2	0	1	1	2	0	7	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	24.5	7	70%	2	5	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	23.8	20	77%	3	1	2	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	4-5	80%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	15.1	4	50%	3	3	1	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	7.3	0	0%	2	0	1	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	63%	39	30	8	9	14	13	6	33	16-21	76%	33-54	61%	12-28	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.08 54.2%

MIN

1.26 62.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

61%

MIN

64%

Midrange

MEM

35%

MIN

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

21.0

41%

62%

MIN

18.0

43%

64%

Free Throws

MEM

65%

MIN

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	36	72%	18.0 / 25
L. Kennard	18	100%	9.0 / 9
S. Aldama	13	43%	6.5 / 15
X. Tillman	10	45%	5.0 / 11
V. Williams	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Roddy	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Konchar	5	125%	2.5 / 2
Z. Williams	2	20%	1.0 / 5
G. Jackson	1	13%	0.5 / 4
J. Gilyard	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	28	67%	14.0 / 21
N. Reid	20	77%	10.0 / 13
R. Gobert	17	57%	8.5 / 15
M. Conley	17	77%	8.5 / 11
K. Towns	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. McDaniels	11	61%	5.5 / 9
N. Alexander-Walker	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Anderson	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 106.8 17 114.7	MEM 107.3 MIN 122.9 +15.6
Pace	17 98.6 22 97.9	MEM 107.5 +20.8 MIN 86.7
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 3 15.0	MEM 13.4 −3.2 MIN 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 50.9% 10 55.9%	MEM 54.1% MIN 62.2% +8.1%
TO %	27 14.3% 22 13.6%	MEM 14.0% −0.1% MIN 14.1%
ORB %	19 23.8% 22 23.1%	MEM 19.5% +0.7% MIN 18.8%
FTrt	18 23.8 5 27.0	MEM 20.0 MIN 25.6 +5.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.4% 12 64.6%	MEM 56.4% MIN 66.7% +10.3%
STL %	5 8.3% 6 8.0%	MEM 9.4% +1.1% MIN 8.3%
BLK %	1 11.9% 4 11.0%	MEM 7.4% MIN 17.6% +10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 52.9% 10 57.7%	MEM 54.2% MIN 62.8% +8.6%
Rim FG%	30 57.8% 15 64.3%	MEM 60.7% MIN 64.4% +3.7%
Mid FG%	26 40.3% 16 42.6%	MEM 34.8% MIN 44.4% +9.6%
3P %	29 34.6% 3 38.7%	MEM 41.2% MIN 42.9% +1.7%
FT %	23 76.4% 18 77.7%	MEM 64.7% MIN 76.2% +11.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 32.3% 14 34.1%	MEM 32.9% MIN 54.9% +21.9%
Mid Att. %	4 24.9% 16 27.5%	MEM 27.1% MIN 11.0% −16.1%
3P Att. %	5 42.8% 17 38.4%	MEM 40.0% +5.9% MIN 34.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Game Totals	MEM	MIN
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	21.4	26.6
Points	103	118
Rebounds	34	39
Assists	22	30
Steals	9	8
Blocks	4	9
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	14 (1)
Fouls	23	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	6 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (0)	33 (3)
Field Goals	39-85	45-82
At-the-Rim FG	17-28	29-45
Midrange FG	8-23	4-9
2-Point FG	25-51	33-54
3-Point FG	14-34	12-28
Free Throws	11-17	16-21
Fast Break Pts	14	15
2nd Chance Pts	7	17
Points in Paint	50	64
Pts off Turnovers	11	18
Bench Points	24	31
Biggest Lead	13	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg