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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 18, 2024
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pacers36%117126
16Kings64%122121
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 30.1
36
23
12
5
8
1
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
2-6
33%
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'10" 215 · 23.8
25
20
17
13
1
0
0
1
0
1
12
4-4
100%
5-5
3-5
100%
61%
1-2
50%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
32
24
18
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
5-7
71%
5-8
4-7
63%
62%
1-4
25%
Bennedict Mathurin
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 21.6
37
25
25
3
4
1
1
2
3
1
2
1-1
100%
9-15
4-7
60%
52%
2-6
33%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.8
33
20
20
1
10
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-3
67%
9-14
4-7
64%
56%
0-0
-
Ben Sheppard
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
28
10
7
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
54%
2-3
67%
Obi Toppin
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.9
24
20
10
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
66%
2-4
50%
Jarace Walker
F · 6'8" 235 · 20.4
20
11
15
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
53%
3-8
38%
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'10" 205 · 22.0
5
14
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
61%
0-0
-
Kendall Brown
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.7
6
0
1-1
55%
Oscar Tshiebwe
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 24.1
6
0
1-2
55%
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.9
Andrew Nembhard
G-F · 6'5" 191 · 24.0
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.3
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 29.8
Isaiah Wong
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 31.6
22
28
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.4
38
30
27
9
0
2
1
1
1
3
6
4-5
80%
10-13
4-7
77%
57%
1-5
20%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 27.7
38
36
21
11
10
0
1
1
3
0
11
5-8
63%
8-12
8-13
67%
63%
0-1
0%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 25.4
39
23
31
2
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
58%
7-12
58%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.1
40
35
24
6
6
1
1
0
1
1
5
5-9
56%
5-13
7-12
38%
57%
3-7
43%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.0
26
28
9
3
4
1
1
2
1
1
2
1-6
17%
1-3
4-7
33%
54%
2-6
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 28.2
19
20
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
0-2
0%
Sasha Vezenkov
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
11
11
7
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
59%
2-3
67%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 30.6
5
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
61%
0-0
-
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 24.0
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
58%
0-0
-
Chris Duarte
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.6
6
0
0-1
48%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 25.4
3
0
0-1
54%
Juan Toscano-Anderson
F · 6'6" 209 · 30.8
3
0
0-0
58%
Kessler Edwards
F · 6'7" 203 · 23.4
2
0
0-0
54%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 36.0
2
0
0-1
64%
Jordan Ford
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.6
Colby Jones
G · 6'6" 207 · 21.6
Jalen Slawson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.