Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Nuggets	39%	110	102	121.4	84	81.5
	1	Celtics	61%	114	100	114.9	87	89.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	41.6	2	14%	10	3	0	1	1	3	2	8	2-3	67%	0-3	0%	0-3	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.3	34	71%	12	9	0	0	4	1	2	10	4-4	100%	12-18	67%	2-4	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	37.5	13	65%	8	0	0	0	1	3	4	4	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	37.0	35	83%	8	5	0	0	1	3	0	8	2-3	67%	12-14	86%	3-7	43%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	36.8	5	42%	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	20.7	4	50%	2	2	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	20.6	9	41%	2	0	0	2	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	5.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	INACTIVE
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	58%	47	20	0	3	9	13	10	37	10-13	77%	34-50	68%	8-31	26%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	41.6	2	14%	10	3	0	1	1	3	2	8	2-3	67%	0-3	0%	0-3	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.3	34	71%	12	9	0	0	4	1	2	10	4-4	100%	12-18	67%	2-4	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	37.5	13	65%	8	0	0	0	1	3	4	4	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	37.0	35	83%	8	5	0	0	1	3	0	8	2-3	67%	12-14	86%	3-7	43%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	36.8	5	42%	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	20.7	4	50%	2	2	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	20.6	9	41%	2	0	0	2	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	5.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	INACTIVE
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	58%	47	20	0	3	9	13	10	37	10-13	77%	34-50	68%	8-31	26%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26	38.9	22	44%	8	5	1	0	0	1	2	6	3-3	100%	8-16	50%	1-8	13%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 28	36.2	21	70%	8	2	0	1	0	4	4	4	6-8	75%	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	35.7	13	33%	2	1	2	0	0	3	0	2	0-2	0%	5-10	50%	1-9	11%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	35.6	24	67%	3	5	2	1	1	3	1	2	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	5-12	42%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	29.9	7	50%	2	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38	27.3	6	60%	10	2	0	0	0	3	3	7	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26	16.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	12.3	3	75%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	8.1	4	100%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25
Lamar Stevens #77 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	51%	38	21	5	2	2	17	12	26	10-14	71%	24-45	53%	14-44	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.16 58.0%

BOS

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

9

11

82%

BOS

14

19

74%

Midrange

DEN

25

39

64%

BOS

10

26

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

8

12.0

31

26%

39%

BOS

14

21.0

44

32%

48%

Free Throws

DEN

10

13

77%

BOS

10

14

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	35	83%	17.5 / 21
N. Jokić	34	71%	17.0 / 24
M. Porter	13	65%	6.5 / 10
P. Watson	9	41%	4.5 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope	5	42%	2.5 / 6
R. Jackson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Gordon	2	14%	1.0 / 7
C. Braun	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. White	24	67%	12.0 / 18
J. Tatum	22	44%	11.0 / 25
K. Porziņģis	21	70%	10.5 / 15
J. Brown	13	33%	6.5 / 20
J. Holiday	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Horford	6	60%	3.0 / 5
L. Kornet	4	100%	2.0 / 2
P. Pritchard	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. Hauser	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 1 122.2	DEN 121.4 +6.5 BOS 114.9
Pace	26 97.4 19 98.0	DEN 81.5 BOS 89.7 +8.2
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 5 15.0	DEN 17.7 BOS 16.0 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 2 57.8%	DEN 56.8% +6.2% BOS 50.6%
TO %	7 12.1% 1 11.4%	DEN 11.3% BOS 3.1% −8.2%
ORB %	6 25.5% 12 24.9%	DEN 27.8% +3.3% BOS 24.5%
FTrt	24 22.4 25 22.4	DEN 16.0 +0.3 BOS 15.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 21 61.3%	DEN 47.6% BOS 55.3% +7.7%
STL %	20 7.3% 26 6.9%	DEN 0.0% BOS 5.7% +5.7%
BLK %	25 8.7% 7 10.7%	DEN 6.7% +2.7% BOS 4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 1 59.5%	DEN 58.0% +7.5% BOS 50.5%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 2 68.1%	DEN 81.8% +8.1% BOS 73.7%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 15 43.5%	DEN 64.1% +25.6% BOS 38.5%
3P %	10 37.4% 2 38.8%	DEN 25.8% BOS 31.8% +6.0%
FT %	25 76.2% 7 80.7%	DEN 76.9% +5.5% BOS 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 26 30.1%	DEN 13.6% BOS 21.3% +7.8%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 1 22.8%	DEN 48.1% BOS 29.2% −18.9%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 1 47.1%	DEN 38.3% BOS 49.4% +11.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	DEN	BOS
Possessions	84	87
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	102	100
Rebounds	47	38
Assists	20	21
Steals	0	5
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	9 (2)	2 (1)
Fouls	13	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	26 (2)
Field Goals	42-81	38-89
At-the-Rim FG	9-11	14-19
Midrange FG	25-39	10-26
2-Point FG	34-50	24-45
3-Point FG	8-31	14-44
Free Throws	10-13	10-14
Fast Break Pts	4	13
2nd Chance Pts	15	12
Points in Paint	36	40
Pts off Turnovers	2	17
Bench Points	13	13
Biggest Lead	4	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg