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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 21, 2024
6:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Heat53%10687
19Magic47%105105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 34.4
29.1
32.6
15
69%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
6-11
40%
52%
3-5
60%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.6
15.0
19.0
2
23%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 26.5
34.4
36.6
22
56%
11
7
2
1
0
5
6
5
6-6
100%
8-16
8-15
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'5" 205 · 28.3
31.2
25.8
11
79%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
53%
1-1
100%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.0
32.9
32.7
12
43%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
5-10
0%
50%
4-11
36%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 37.8
25.2
24.0
2
11%
2
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-6
0%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'5" 220 · 27.1
25.0
15.2
5
58%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
21.2
23.7
6
39%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
56%
0-3
0%
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 35.4
14.1
12.0
9
65%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
2-5
40%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.3
8.8
22.1
3
38%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.5
3.0
2.1
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.5
2.9
0
1-1
62%
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.7
Dru Smith
G · 6'2" 203 · 26.1
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
Jamal Cain
F · 6'6" 191 · 24.8
R.J. Hampton
G · 6'4" 175 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Franz Wagner
F · 6'10" 220 · 22.4
27.8
25.2
19
63%
2
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
5-5
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
56%
2-5
40%
Paolo Banchero
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
31.2
33.2
20
62%
10
2
0
1
0
2
0
10
3-5
60%
4-9
7-14
44%
50%
3-5
60%
Wendell Carter Jr.
C-F · 6'10" 270 · 24.8
34.1
20.7
17
72%
9
2
1
0
0
1
2
7
2-2
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
59%
1-3
33%
Jalen Suggs
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.6
28.5
24.3
11
46%
4
1
1
1
0
2
4
0
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
52%
1-6
17%
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 209 · 25.6
29.0
22.7
12
75%
1
4
2
1
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
6-8
4-7
75%
53%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 36.3
17.1
18.6
0
0%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-2
0%
Cole Anthony
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.7
16.5
21.8
5
42%
6
2
1
1
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
1-2
50%
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.3
13.8
12.5
6
77%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Anthony Black
G · 6'7" 200 · 20.0
13.8
10.3
6
51%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
57%
1-2
50%
Moritz Wagner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.7
10.9
10.0
8
61%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
6-8
75%
1-3
2-3
33%
66%
0-0
-
Caleb Houstan
G · 6'8" 205 · 21.0
8.2
18.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Chuma Okeke
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
3.0
23.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-2
0%
Trevelin Queen
G · 6'5" 190 · 26.9
3.0
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Jett Howard
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.4
3.0
2.2
1
57%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Goga Bitadze
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.5
19.7
1
3-4
63%
Kevon Harris
G · 6'6" 216 · 26.6
Admiral Schofield
F · 6'5" 241 · 26.8
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.