FinalWin Prob.pScore
1153%106
87
1947%105
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.69194.2
ORL logo ORL
115.49187.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.87
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0MagicTrevelin Queen defensive rebound87
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:20.1HeatJett Howard blocks Josh Richardson's two point layup87
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:34.8HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MagicChuma Okeke misses three point stepback jump shot87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.1MagicChuma Okeke defensive rebound87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.7HeatJosh Richardson misses three point pullup jump shot87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MagicJett Howard makes regular free throw 2 of 287
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MagicJett Howard misses regular free throw 1 of 287
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Jett Howard draws the foul)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MagicJett Howard defensive rebound87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MagicAnthony Black misses two point stepback jump shot87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MagicChuma Okeke defensive rebound87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43HeatNikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 187
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43MagicAnthony Black shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MagicChuma Okeke misses three point jump shot85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26HeatJosh Richardson makes three point pullup jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40MagicAnthony Black turnover (traveling)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17MagicFranz Wagner misses two point turnaround jump shot82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 282
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 281
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35MagicPaolo Banchero shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)80
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 280
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 280
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54MagicFranz Wagner offensive rebound80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55MagicFranz Wagner misses two point alley-oop layup80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20MagicFranz Wagner personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving layup (Markelle Fultz assists)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MagicMagic offensive rebound80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MagicKyle Lowry blocks Jalen Suggs's two point jump shot80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MagicJalen Suggs offensive rebound80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)80
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 5:14MagicJalen Suggs personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)80
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 5:17MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)80
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 5:19MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound80
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 5:21HeatCaleb Martin misses two point jump shot80
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 5:38MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (traveling)80
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 5:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)80
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 6:23MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)78
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk78
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound76
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 6:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot76
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 7:04MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point putback layup76
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 7:04MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound76
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 7:06MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point driving floating jump shot76
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 7:21MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound76
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 7:24HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot76
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 7:33MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 176
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 7:33HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)76
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 7:49HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)76
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 7:57MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)74
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)74
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)74
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 8:34MagicPaolo Banchero makes three point jump shot (Franz Wagner assists)74
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 8:48HeatCaleb Martin makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)74
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 8:51HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound72
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 8:55MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point driving bank hook shot72
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 9:20HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)72
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 9:29MagicMarkelle Fultz personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 9:37MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving reverse layup69
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 9:39MagicMarkelle Fultz offensive rebound69
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 9:41MagicJonathan Isaac misses three point jump shot69
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 9:51MagicJoe Ingles defensive rebound69
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot69
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 10:18MagicCole Anthony makes two point driving floating bank jump shot69
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 10:24MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound69
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q4 - 10:26HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot69
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 10:36MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving floating bank jump shot69
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q4 - 10:51HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)69
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q4 - 10:51MagicMagic defensive rebound69
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q4 - 10:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot69
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q4 - 11:05MagicJonathan Isaac makes regular free throw 2 of 269
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q4 - 11:05MagicJonathan Isaac makes regular free throw 1 of 269
6.5%
82
93.5%
Q4 - 11:05HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jonathan Isaac draws the foul)69
6.8%
81
93.2%
Q4 - 11:05MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound69
7.7%
81
92.3%
Q4 - 11:08HeatMarkelle Fultz blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot69
8.1%
81
91.9%
Q4 - 11:24MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)69
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q4 - 11:24MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)69
7.6%
81
92.4%
Q4 - 11:35HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)69
7.6%
81
92.4%
Q4 - 11:35HeatHeat offensive rebound69
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q4 - 11:35HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot69
8.0%
81
92.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.69
9.1%
81
90.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MagicMagic offensive rebound69
7.6%
81
92.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MagicJoe Ingles misses three point pullup jump shot69
8.6%
81
91.4%
Q3 - 0:01.2HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup69
8.8%
81
91.2%
Q3 - 0:01.2HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound67
7.3%
81
92.7%
Q3 - 0:04.5HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot67
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q3 - 0:05.8HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound67
7.3%
81
92.7%
Q3 - 0:07.2HeatCole Anthony blocks Kyle Lowry's two point turnaround jump shot67
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q3 - 0:29.7Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Cole Anthony (Kevin Love gains possession)67
7.3%
81
92.7%
Q3 - 0:42.6HeatKyle Lowry makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)67
6.1%
81
93.9%
Q3 - 0:51.7MagicJoe Ingles turnover (traveling)65
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q3 - 1:05HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (traveling)65
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q3 - 1:14MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 265
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q3 - 1:14MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 265
6.2%
80
93.8%
Q3 - 1:14HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)65
6.5%
79
93.5%
Q3 - 1:24HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)65
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q3 - 1:25HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound65
8.4%
79
91.6%
Q3 - 1:30HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot65
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q3 - 1:45HeatHeat defensive rebound65
8.4%
79
91.6%
Q3 - 1:46MagicCole Anthony misses two point stepback jump shot65
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q3 - 1:51MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound65
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q3 - 1:55HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot65
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q3 - 2:20MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 265
9.6%
79
90.4%
Q3 - 2:20MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 265
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q3 - 2:20HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)65
10.1%
77
89.9%
Q3 - 2:39HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (discontinue dribble)65
11.0%
77
89.0%
Q3 - 2:52MagicMoritz Wagner makes two point putback layup65
13.0%
77
87.0%
Q3 - 2:52MagicMoritz Wagner offensive rebound65
14.9%
75
85.1%
Q3 - 2:55MagicCole Anthony misses two point driving floating jump shot65
16.7%
75
83.3%
Q3 - 3:08HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)65
15.9%
75
84.1%
Q3 - 3:28MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 263
14.1%
75
85.9%
Q3 - 3:28MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 263
14.4%
74
85.6%
Q3 - 3:28HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)63
14.8%
73
85.2%
Q3 - 3:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 263
15.9%
73
84.1%
Q3 - 3:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 262
15.6%
73
84.4%
Q3 - 3:39MagicJalen Suggs shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)61
15.2%
73
84.8%
Q3 - 3:43HeatKevin Love defensive rebound61
14.1%
73
85.9%
Q3 - 3:46MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point fadeaway jump shot61
13.4%
73
86.6%
Q3 - 4:15HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)61
13.1%
73
86.9%
Q3 - 4:16HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound58
10.0%
73
90.0%
Q3 - 4:21HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot58
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q3 - 4:34MagicJalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Caleb Houstan assists)58
9.9%
73
90.1%
Q3 - 4:47HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)58
13.0%
70
87.0%
Q3 - 5:12MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 2 of 258
16.2%
70
83.8%
Q3 - 5:12MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 1 of 258
16.7%
69
83.3%
Q3 - 5:12HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)58
17.2%
68
82.8%
Q3 - 5:15HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Markelle Fultz steals)58
18.2%
68
81.8%
Q3 - 5:33MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Franz Wagner assists)58
20.8%
68
79.2%
Q3 - 5:44MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound58
23.2%
66
76.8%
Q3 - 5:47HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot58
24.1%
66
75.9%
Q3 - 5:56HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound58
26.3%
66
73.7%
Q3 - 5:56MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point stepback jump shot58
25.4%
66
74.6%
Q3 - 6:07HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)58
24.1%
66
75.9%
Q3 - 6:13MagicJalen Suggs personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
21.8%
66
78.2%
Q3 - 6:25MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving floating jump shot56
21.8%
66
78.2%
Q3 - 6:38HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Loose ball) (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)56
24.1%
64
75.9%
Q3 - 6:38MagicMagic offensive rebound56
24.1%
64
75.9%
Q3 - 6:39MagicFranz Wagner misses three point stepback jump shot56
26.3%
64
73.7%
Q3 - 6:45HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)56
24.1%
64
75.9%
Q3 - 6:54HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)56
24.1%
64
75.9%
Q3 - 6:54HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound56
27.3%
64
72.7%
Q3 - 6:56HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving bank hook shot56
25.0%
64
75.0%
Q3 - 7:19MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 256
28.3%
64
71.7%
Q3 - 7:19MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 256
28.9%
63
71.1%
Q3 - 7:19HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)56
29.7%
62
70.3%
Q3 - 7:29MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound56
30.7%
62
69.3%
Q3 - 7:29HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot56
31.8%
62
68.2%
Q3 - 7:40MagicFranz Wagner makes three point stepback jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)56
34.4%
62
65.6%
Q3 - 8:00MagicMagic defensive rebound56
40.6%
59
59.4%
Q3 - 8:00HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot56
41.8%
59
58.2%
Q3 - 8:07HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound56
45.0%
59
55.0%
Q3 - 8:10MagicJalen Suggs misses two point turnaround jump shot56
43.7%
59
56.3%
Q3 - 8:15MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound56
40.8%
59
59.2%
Q3 - 8:18HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot56
42.1%
59
57.9%
Q3 - 8:32MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (offensive foul)56
44.9%
59
55.1%
Q3 - 8:32MagicMarkelle Fultz offensive foul (Charge) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)56
40.8%
59
59.2%
Q3 - 8:49HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)56
40.8%
59
59.2%
Q3 - 9:10MagicJalen Suggs makes two point cutting layup (Paolo Banchero assists)54
38.8%
59
61.2%
Q3 - 9:22HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)54
41.4%
57
58.6%
Q3 - 9:31MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving reverse layup (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)54
45.3%
57
54.7%
Q3 - 9:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup54
48.0%
55
52.0%
Q3 - 10:00MagicPaolo Banchero makes three point jump shot (Jalen Suggs assists)52
45.3%
55
54.7%
Q3 - 10:14HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)52
51.4%
52
48.6%
Q3 - 10:41MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Franz Wagner assists)49
45.6%
52
54.4%
Q3 - 10:56HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)49
48.2%
50
51.8%
Q3 - 11:08MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving floating jump shot46
42.4%
50
57.6%
Q3 - 11:14MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound46
45.4%
48
54.6%
Q3 - 11:17HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot46
46.4%
48
53.6%
Q3 - 11:30MagicMarkelle Fultz personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)46
48.8%
48
51.2%
Q3 - 11:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
48.8%
48
51.2%
Q3 - 11:42MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot46
47.7%
48
52.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.46
45.3%
48
54.7%
Q2 - 0:00.1MagicJalen Suggs turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)46
49.0%
48
51.0%
Q2 - 0:00.7HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup46
46.4%
48
53.6%
Q2 - 0:16.9HeatKevin Love defensive rebound44
42.8%
48
57.2%
Q2 - 0:17.9MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot44
42.0%
48
58.0%
Q2 - 0:31.5HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 3 of 344
40.2%
48
59.8%
Q2 - 0:31.5HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 2 of 343
39.3%
48
60.7%
Q2 - 0:31.5HeatHaywood Highsmith misses regular free throw 1 of 342
38.3%
48
61.7%
Q2 - 0:31.5MagicAnthony Black shooting foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)42
40.2%
48
59.8%
Q2 - 0:53.7MagicFranz Wagner makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)42
36.8%
48
63.2%
Q2 - 1:15HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)42
43.9%
45
56.1%
Q2 - 1:21MagicJalen Suggs turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)42
46.4%
45
53.6%
Q2 - 1:23MagicJalen Suggs offensive rebound42
43.9%
45
56.1%
Q2 - 1:27MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot42
45.6%
45
54.4%
Q2 - 1:48HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)42
43.9%
45
56.1%
Q2 - 2:06MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 239
38.4%
45
61.6%
Q2 - 2:06MagicPaolo Banchero misses regular free throw 1 of 239
39.0%
44
61.0%
Q2 - 2:06HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)39
37.0%
44
63.0%
Q2 - 2:28HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Tyler Herro assists)39
38.0%
44
62.0%
Q2 - 2:35HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound37
35.6%
44
64.4%
Q2 - 2:35MagicMoritz Wagner misses two point layup37
34.7%
44
65.3%
Q2 - 2:46MagicMoritz Wagner defensive rebound37
32.7%
44
67.3%
Q2 - 2:48HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup37
33.5%
44
66.5%
Q2 - 3:02HeatHeat defensive rebound37
36.5%
44
63.5%
Q2 - 3:02MagicJalen Suggs misses three point running jump shot37
35.5%
44
64.5%
Q2 - 3:04MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound37
33.4%
44
66.6%
Q2 - 3:08HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot37
34.3%
44
65.7%
Q2 - 3:20MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point running dunk37
36.4%
44
63.6%
Q2 - 3:23HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Markelle Fultz steals)37
38.5%
42
61.5%
Q2 - 3:39MagicPaolo Banchero makes three point pullup jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)37
41.8%
42
58.2%
Q2 - 3:55HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)37
46.8%
39
53.2%
Q2 - 4:09MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 234
42.3%
39
57.7%
Q2 - 4:09MagicMoritz Wagner misses regular free throw 1 of 234
42.7%
38
57.3%
Q2 - 4:09HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)34
40.5%
38
59.5%
Q2 - 4:09MagicMoritz Wagner offensive rebound34
42.0%
38
58.0%
Q2 - 4:11MagicJalen Suggs misses three point stepback jump shot34
44.1%
38
55.9%
Q2 - 4:37HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)34
42.0%
38
58.0%
Q2 - 4:54HeatKevin Love defensive rebound31
37.0%
38
63.0%
Q2 - 4:58MagicPaolo Banchero misses regular free throw 1 of 131
36.6%
38
63.4%
Q2 - 4:58HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)31
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 5:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot31
39.4%
36
60.6%
Q2 - 5:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound29
37.5%
36
62.5%
Q2 - 5:29MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point pullup jump shot29
36.6%
36
63.4%
Q2 - 5:41MagicJoe Ingles offensive rebound29
34.4%
36
65.6%
Q2 - 5:41MagicCole Anthony misses three point running jump shot29
36.6%
36
63.4%
Q2 - 5:45MagicJoe Ingles defensive rebound29
34.4%
36
65.6%
Q2 - 5:48HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot29
35.3%
36
64.7%
Q2 - 5:53HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound29
37.5%
36
62.5%
Q2 - 5:57MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point jump shot29
36.6%
36
63.4%
Q2 - 6:06HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Cole Anthony steals)29
35.1%
36
64.9%
Q2 - 6:11MagicJoe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)29
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q2 - 6:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot29
35.0%
36
65.0%
Q2 - 6:44MagicCole Anthony makes three point jump shot (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)27
33.1%
36
66.9%
Q2 - 6:49MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound27
37.4%
33
62.6%
Q2 - 6:52MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot27
39.6%
33
60.4%
Q2 - 6:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup27
37.4%
33
62.6%
Q2 - 7:06HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound25
35.8%
33
64.2%
Q2 - 7:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup25
34.1%
33
65.9%
Q2 - 7:10HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound25
35.8%
33
64.2%
Q2 - 7:10HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving finger roll layup25
34.1%
33
65.9%
Q2 - 7:34MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point running dunk (Cole Anthony assists)25
35.8%
33
64.2%
Q2 - 7:35MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound25
38.1%
31
61.9%
Q2 - 7:36HeatMarkelle Fultz blocks Kyle Lowry's two point tip layup25
38.9%
31
61.1%
Q2 - 7:37HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound25
40.7%
31
59.3%
Q2 - 7:38HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point running layup25
38.9%
31
61.1%
Q2 - 7:42MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)25
40.7%
31
59.3%
Q2 - 8:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot25
38.1%
31
61.9%
Q2 - 8:17MagicFranz Wagner personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)23
36.0%
31
64.0%
Q2 - 8:38MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)23
36.0%
31
64.0%
Q2 - 8:44MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound23
38.1%
29
61.9%
Q2 - 8:47HeatJosh Richardson misses three point stepback jump shot23
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q2 - 9:02MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 223
40.7%
29
59.3%
Q2 - 9:02MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 223
41.0%
28
59.0%
Q2 - 9:02HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)23
41.3%
27
58.7%
Q2 - 9:20HeatJosh Richardson turnover (offensive foul)23
43.0%
27
57.0%
Q2 - 9:20HeatJosh Richardson offensive foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)23
45.6%
27
54.4%
Q2 - 9:36MagicJonathan Isaac makes two point dunk23
45.6%
27
54.4%
Q2 - 9:44MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound23
48.0%
25
52.0%
Q2 - 9:48HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot23
48.9%
25
51.1%
Q2 - 10:05MagicAnthony Black makes regular free throw 2 of 223
50.9%
25
49.1%
Q2 - 10:05MagicAnthony Black misses regular free throw 1 of 223
51.6%
24
48.4%
Q2 - 10:05HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Anthony Black draws the foul)23
49.9%
24
50.1%
Q2 - 10:17MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound23
50.8%
24
49.2%
Q2 - 10:20HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot23
51.6%
24
48.4%
Q2 - 10:38HeatDuncan Robinson makes technical free throw 1 of 123
53.4%
24
46.6%
Q2 - 10:38MagicWendell Carter Jr. technical foul22
52.8%
24
47.2%
Q2 - 10:38HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound22
50.9%
24
49.1%
Q2 - 10:40MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot22
50.1%
24
49.9%
Q2 - 10:50MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound22
48.3%
24
51.7%
Q2 - 10:53HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving hook shot22
49.1%
24
50.9%
Q2 - 11:13MagicJonathan Isaac makes two point driving dunk (Anthony Black assists)22
50.9%
24
49.1%
Q2 - 11:31HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 322
53.3%
22
46.7%
Q2 - 11:31HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 321
53.1%
22
46.9%
Q2 - 11:31HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 320
52.7%
22
47.3%
Q2 - 11:31MagicAnthony Black shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)19
52.4%
22
47.6%
Q2 - 11:47MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)19
48.5%
22
51.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.19
46.1%
22
53.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0HeatHeat offensive rebound19
48.5%
22
51.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot19
46.8%
22
53.2%
Q1 - 0:05.3HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound19
48.5%
22
51.5%
Q1 - 0:06.1MagicFranz Wagner misses two point turnaround hook shot19
47.7%
22
52.3%
Q1 - 0:17.7HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)19
46.1%
22
53.9%
Q1 - 0:35.7HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)19
46.1%
22
53.9%
Q1 - 0:42.7HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound17
43.8%
22
56.2%
Q1 - 0:45.5MagicCole Anthony misses two point floating jump shot17
43.1%
22
56.9%
Q1 - 1:10HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)17
41.9%
22
58.1%
Q1 - 1:10HeatHeat offensive rebound17
44.1%
22
55.9%
Q1 - 1:10HeatJonathan Isaac blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot17
42.5%
22
57.5%
Q1 - 1:19HeatKevin Love offensive rebound17
44.1%
22
55.9%
Q1 - 1:24HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot17
42.5%
22
57.5%
Q1 - 1:29HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound17
44.0%
22
56.0%
Q1 - 1:32MagicJoe Ingles misses three point running pullup jump shot17
43.4%
22
56.6%
Q1 - 1:36MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound17
41.9%
22
58.1%
Q1 - 1:39HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot17
42.5%
22
57.5%
Q1 - 1:40HeatKevin Love offensive rebound17
44.0%
22
56.0%
Q1 - 1:45HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot17
42.5%
22
57.5%
Q1 - 2:01MagicAnthony Black makes two point driving layup17
44.7%
22
55.3%
Q1 - 2:22MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound17
46.5%
20
53.5%
Q1 - 2:25HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot17
47.3%
20
52.7%
Q1 - 2:37MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 217
49.2%
20
50.8%
Q1 - 2:37MagicMoritz Wagner misses regular free throw 1 of 217
49.5%
19
50.5%
Q1 - 2:37HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)17
47.6%
19
52.4%
Q1 - 2:55HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)17
48.8%
19
51.2%
Q1 - 3:18MagicAnthony Black makes three point jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)14
44.7%
19
55.3%
Q1 - 3:20MagicJalen Suggs offensive rebound14
48.6%
16
51.4%
Q1 - 3:24MagicMoritz Wagner misses two point layup14
50.6%
16
49.4%
Q1 - 3:31MagicMoritz Wagner offensive rebound14
48.6%
16
51.4%
Q1 - 3:35MagicAnthony Black misses two point driving finger roll layup14
50.6%
16
49.4%
Q1 - 3:43HeatKevin Love turnover (out of bounds bad pass)14
48.6%
16
51.4%
Q1 - 3:51MagicJalen Suggs makes two point driving floating jump shot14
51.4%
16
48.6%
Q1 - 3:58MagicJalen Suggs offensive rebound14
53.1%
14
46.9%
Q1 - 3:58MagicAnthony Black misses three point jump shot14
55.0%
14
45.0%
Q1 - 4:18HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 214
53.3%
14
46.7%
Q1 - 4:18HeatKevin Love misses regular free throw 1 of 213
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 4:18MagicMoritz Wagner shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)13
54.7%
14
45.3%
Q1 - 4:18HeatKevin Love offensive rebound13
53.7%
14
46.3%
Q1 - 4:21HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot13
52.0%
14
48.0%
Q1 - 4:36MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point turnaround jump shot13
53.7%
14
46.3%
Q1 - 5:00HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)13
55.4%
12
44.6%
Q1 - 5:06MagicJoe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)10
51.8%
12
48.2%
Q1 - 5:17MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound10
49.5%
12
50.5%
Q1 - 5:21HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot10
50.2%
12
49.8%
Q1 - 5:30MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)10
51.8%
12
48.2%
Q1 - 5:39MagicMagic offensive rebound10
53.6%
10
46.4%
Q1 - 5:40MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point pullup jump shot10
55.2%
10
44.8%
Q1 - 5:52HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Wendell Carter Jr. steals)10
53.6%
10
46.4%
Q1 - 6:13MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point cutting layup (Franz Wagner assists)10
55.7%
10
44.3%
Q1 - 6:31MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound10
57.6%
8
42.4%
Q1 - 6:33HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup10
58.2%
8
41.8%
Q1 - 6:50HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound10
59.6%
8
40.4%
Q1 - 6:53MagicFranz Wagner misses three point stepback jump shot10
59.0%
8
41.0%
Q1 - 7:04HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)10
57.6%
8
42.4%
Q1 - 7:15MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound10
57.6%
8
42.4%
Q1 - 7:19HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot10
58.3%
8
41.7%
Q1 - 7:38MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving finger roll layup10
59.8%
8
40.2%
Q1 - 7:50MagicMagic defensive rebound10
61.4%
6
38.6%
Q1 - 7:51HeatNikola Jovic misses two point running layup10
62.1%
6
37.9%
Q1 - 7:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound10
63.6%
6
36.4%
Q1 - 7:58MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot10
62.9%
6
37.1%
Q1 - 8:15HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 210
61.6%
6
38.4%
Q1 - 8:15HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 29
61.2%
6
38.8%
Q1 - 8:15MagicJalen Suggs shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)8
60.9%
6
39.1%
Q1 - 8:31MagicJalen Suggs makes two point driving layup8
60.1%
6
39.9%
Q1 - 8:37HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Suggs steals)8
61.6%
4
38.4%
Q1 - 8:38HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound8
63.7%
4
36.3%
Q1 - 8:40MagicFranz Wagner misses two point driving hook shot8
63.1%
4
36.9%
Q1 - 8:54MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound8
61.6%
4
38.4%
Q1 - 8:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot8
62.2%
4
37.8%
Q1 - 9:11MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point driving layup8
63.4%
4
36.6%
Q1 - 9:32HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)8
65.0%
2
35.0%
Q1 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
61.7%
2
38.3%
Q1 - 9:47MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot5
61.1%
2
38.9%
Q1 - 10:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 25
59.4%
2
40.6%
Q1 - 10:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 24
59.1%
2
40.9%
Q1 - 10:01MagicPaolo Banchero shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)3
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 10:10MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Franz Wagner assists)3
57.8%
2
42.2%
Q1 - 10:32HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)3
59.4%
0
40.6%
Q1 - 10:42HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound0
56.0%
0
44.0%
Q1 - 10:45MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point pullup jump shot0
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 10:51MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound0
54.0%
0
46.0%
Q1 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot0
54.6%
0
45.4%
Q1 - 11:13HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 11:17MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
55.5%
0
44.5%
Q1 - 11:30MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound0
54.0%
0
46.0%
Q1 - 11:35HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot0
54.7%
0
45.3%
Q1 - 11:37HeatHeat offensive rebound0
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 11:38HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot0
54.7%
0
45.3%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Wendell Carter Jr. (Tyler Herro gains possession)0
56.1%
0
43.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 46.8%
ORL
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
23
57%
ORL
22
30
73%
Midrange
MIA
5
20
25%
ORL
6
20
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
37
32%
49%
ORL
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
Free Throws
MIA
15
18
83%
ORL
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2255%11.0 / 20
J. Butler1568%7.5 / 11
T. Herro1243%6.0 / 14
C. Martin1179%5.5 / 7
K. Love964%4.5 / 7
D. Robinson643%3.0 / 7
H. Highsmith563%2.5 / 4
J. Richardson338%1.5 / 4
N. Jović225%1.0 / 4
K. Lowry211%1.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Banchero2063%10.0 / 16
F. Wagner1963%9.5 / 15
W. Carter1771%8.5 / 12
M. Fultz1275%6.0 / 8
J. Suggs1146%5.5 / 12
M. Wagner857%4.0 / 7
J. Isaac675%3.0 / 4
A. Black650%3.0 / 6
C. Anthony542%2.5 / 6
J. Howard150%0.5 / 1
J. Ingles0-0.0 / 2
C. Okeke0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+16
-14
93
ORL
77
+16
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 46.8%
ORL
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
113.1
MIA 95.6 +19.8
ORL 115.4
Pace
96.7
97.2
MIA 94.2 +6.3
ORL 87.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.3
MIA 15.3 +1.1
ORL 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
54.1%
MIA 45.0%
ORL 53.2% +8.2%
TO %
12.2%
14.1%
MIA 17.0%
ORL 13.4% +3.6%
ORB %
21.8%
25.3%
MIA 27.3%
ORL 33.3% +6.0%
FTrt
25.7
28.8
MIA 22.5
ORL 35.9 +13.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
61.0%
MIA 73.3% +16.5%
ORL 56.8%
STL %
7.8%
8.3%
MIA 9.9% +4.4%
ORL 5.5%
BLK %
6.9%
9.8%
MIA 2.0%
ORL 11.6% +9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.19 and 2.19.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
56.2%
MIA 46.8%
ORL 56.5% +9.7%
Rim FG%
61.2%
64.6%
MIA 56.5%
ORL 73.3% +16.8%
Mid FG%
44.2%
39.2%
MIA 25.0%
ORL 30.0% +5.0%
3P %
37.0%
35.2%
MIA 32.4% +0.3%
ORL 32.1%
FT %
81.8%
75.9%
MIA 83.3% +4.7%
ORL 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
39.2%
MIA 28.7%
ORL 38.5% +9.7%
Mid Att. %
30.2%
24.0%
MIA 25.0% +0.6%
ORL 25.6%
3P Att. %
39.4%
36.9%
MIA 46.3% +10.4%
ORL 35.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points87105
Rebounds3644
Assists2221
Steals95
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)14 (4)14 (0)
Fouls2216
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)32 (3)
Field Goals30-8037-78
At-the-Rim FG13-2322-30
Midrange FG5-206-20
2-Point FG18-4328-50
3-Point FG12-379-28
Free Throws15-1822-28
Fast Break Pts712
2nd Chance Pts1023
Points in Paint3654
Pts off Turnovers1529
Bench Points2526
Biggest Lead624

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
34.4
22
55%
11
7
2
0
5
3
6
5
6-6
100%
8-16
50%
0-1
0%
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 24
32.9
12
43%
1
2
1
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
4-11
36%
#16 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28
31.2
11
79%
4
4
0
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
29.1
15
68%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
15.0
2
25%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38
25.2
2
11%
2
3
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-6
0%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
25.0
5
63%
2
1
2
0
0
4
0
2
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30
21.2
6
43%
1
1
2
0
2
2
0
1
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
14.1
9
64%
6
0
0
0
1
4
3
3
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30
8.8
3
38%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
3.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#9 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Surgery
#21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
INACTIVE
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Groin; Strain
#4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
47%
36
22
9
1
14
22
12
24
15-18
83%
18-43
42%
12-37
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.